$1,000 Silver? Michael Oliver Reveals When It Could Happen
$1,000 Silver? Michael Oliver Reveals When It Could Happen
Michael Oliver says silver can reach five hundred dollars, maybe a thousand, and in this interview he walks through the arithmetic that gets him there. Oliver has traded and written about these markets since 1975 and has published Momentum Structural Analysis since 1992. He does not work from price charts; he plots momentum underneath the price, and that is where his silver case comes from. Silver’s 1980 high was about fifty dollars. It trades near fifty-two today. Copper over the same span is up more than six times, gold close to five. He argues silver has been held in what he calls a level of unreality for fifty years, and that a market correcting an error of that size usually overshoots. He also says the recent lows were the 2008 break that gold and silver investors were dreading, and that it has already happened. On the macro side he points to the big American banks breaking multi-year momentum trends, which in his view forces the Federal Reserve to reverse instead of hiking in December. He ends on the miners, where he would take silver miners over gold miners and SIL over GDX. Our own evaluation follows the interview, with current market data, two corrections and the weakest link in his argument.
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