Gold Didn't Fall, the Dollar Rallied: Schectman and Macleod After the Midterms
Gold Didn’t Fall, the Dollar Rallied: Schectman and Macleod After the Midterms
Andy Schectman and Alasdair Macleod both sat down on US midterm election day, and they read the same gold and silver crash in two completely different ways. Schectman calls the timing suspicious. Silver was pushed below fifty dollars and gold below four thousand on the final trading day of October, exactly at the psychological levels, while the deliveries behind the price never stopped. He puts more than six hundred tons of gold standing for delivery this year, around eighty two billion dollars, with roughly twenty billion more in silver, and he points at hedge funds whose short positions jumped almost sixty percent while their net long position fell to the lowest level in over a year. For him the price is a tool of misdirection that lets central banks and institutions reposition quietly. He also reads the new Treasury appointments as policy: David Zervos on financial repression, Stephen Miran on a dollar that is too strong, Judy Shelton on gold, and a government that took in five trillion dollars in tax revenue while spending seven. Macleod barely looks at that chart. In his reading gold did not fall at all. The dollar rallied, the long term trend is still down and accelerating, and the rising cost of fuel and food will squeeze a private sector that cannot pass those costs on. That leaves the Fed facing rising consumer prices and a slowing economy at the same time. He warns that private equity is coming unstuck as cheap debt refinances at today’s rates, that higher yields make life very difficult for banks, and that in a real liquidation mining shares get hit harder than bullion. His core point for ordinary savers is simple: only about zero point three percent of all portfolios own gold, and after fifty five years of pure fiat money most people have forgotten that gold is real money without counterparty risk. Our own evaluation follows the interview, with the current data and corrections for both men.
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