Be your own weather forecaster
Ivor Williams has a useful TCW piece on weather forecasting, particularly short term forecasting of rain.
Be your own weather forecaster, and do a better job
ARE you responsible for a forthcoming outdoor event? Or are you planning to do the Southwest Coast Path (630 miles), the Scottish National Trail (537 miles), or a saunter to the park?
Summer in the UK usually brings a lot of showery weather, which means anything from a sprinkle to a flood. In these times of apps for anything, you consult the forecast the night before.
You have already made a wrong move. If showers are a likelihood, not one of the 20 or so forecast organisations can tell you what time it will rain tomorrow. They’ll give you useless information like ‘some showers possible’. Many will give you a forecast even more ridiculous: among symbols for each hour you discover that at 10am there is a 20 per cent risk of a shower. What use is that? The forecasting organisations, of course, can say they were right no matter what happens.
For those who don’t do it already, the whole piece is well worth reading as a guide to checking current weather patterns in your area.
You need to access the Met Office’s network of 15 rain radar stations, from Druim a’Starraig on the Isle of Lewis to Predannack in Cornwall, plus two in Eire and one in the Channel Islands. If you search for ‘UK rain radar’ you will find over a dozen, the Netweather site being a good example of the different variations (cloud cover, lightning strikes etc) you can call up. I cannot recommend the Met Office’s own version because the software people have got at it and ruined what should be a simple picture of the radar echoes.
Source: https://akhaart.blogspot.com/2023/07/be-your-own-weather-forecaster.html
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