Seismically Bamboozled

Blackpool South by-election: Sir Keir Starmer hails ‘seismic win’ as Labour takes seat from Conservatives

Chris Webb wins the constituency with a majority of more than 7,000, as the Tories only just beat Reform UK into second place.

Wikipedia

A 2012 paper by six American political scientists called “A Theory of Political Parties: Groups, Policy Demands and Nominations in American Politics” challenged the idea that Republicans want a low-information electorate and argued instead that both major American parties do. Noting that 95% of incumbents in the highly polarized House of Representatives win re-election despite voters’ preference for centrist representation, the paper theorizes that voters’ infrequent penalizing of extremist behaviour represents not approval, but a lack of attention and information. This, the paper says, is supported by the fact that when congressional districts and media markets overlap to create more informed electorates, extremist House members are at much greater risk for defeat. The paper proposes that in the American political system interest groups and activists are the key actor and that the electorate is uninformed and bamboozled.