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The Bond Market Outlook

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Sorry to double up on you with videos here, but Jeff Gundlach, Founder of DoubleLine Capital was on CNBC earlier today and provided an excellent overview of the bond market.  In summary he says:

  • High yield corporates are VERY expensive.
  • Investment grade corporates are relatively attractive.
  • Municipal bonds are unattractive due to the potential for future turmoil.
  • US Treasuries are more attractive than all three of the above on a relative basis.
  • Government backed mortgage debt remains attractive.

I might add that I agree with Gundlach’s sentiments regarding the muni market.  Despite the fact the fact that I do not see major crisis ensuing in the muni market the clouds that are currently circling overhead do make this a market where the potential risks could outweigh the rewards.  As Gundlach says, there are simply better options in the current environment.  His broad market outlook can be found here if you missed it earlier this month.

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by Andrew Wilkinson, Senior Market Analyst at Interactive Brokers

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