09/02/13 St. Louis, Missouri
A long weekend for those invested on wall street, or in Chicago ! Which is most everyone who has money on this bloody planet. Where do we begin ? How about with a war ?
Last week the market rallied to a point, then pulled back, sound familiar? He ( President Obama ) had his finger on the trigger, and did not fire. No different with a major rally. There is NO fundamental reason for a sustained rally of more than 50 points here, or 75 points there. And the one day when there is seemingly good economic news, it is quickly rehashed.
Take China for example. China’s factory activity expanded for the first time in four months in August as domestic demand rebounded, a report out Monday U.S. TIME, the latest sign that the world’s second-largest economy may have avoided a sharp slowdown. China may not be recovering as fast as hoped for Economists have long doubted the accuracy of official economic data and this skepticism has increased as China plots a course towards consumption-led growth.
The official retail sales measure, for example, counts a sale from when an item is shipped, rather than when it is actually sold.The latest data, however, supports retailers’ complaints. Retail sales grew 13.2 percent in July year-on-year, a slowdown from 14.3 percent annual growth in 2012, and 17.1 percent growth in 2011.
The Nikkei average rose on Monday morning as real estate and construction stocks gained on hopes that Tokyo will win the race to host the 2020 Summer Olympics, while consumer finance shares climbed after a media report citing rising loan demand. The Nikkei was up 0.8 percent at 13,490.75 in mid-morning trade after dropping 0.5 percent to 13,388.86 on Friday. The Topix index added 0.7 percent to 1,113.84. Analysts said trading was likely to stay subdued, with U.S. markets closed for the Labor Day holiday.
Not to long ago, India was going to be the next China everyone scrambling for remedies as investors’ faith in India sagged, the government said last week it fast-tracked approval for a slew of infrastructure projects worth $28 billion: but the stroke of a pen in New Delhi will not be enough. The government hopes that speeding up the launch of hundreds of new power plants, highways and oil exploration blocks. It’s like this, as we begin to move into the fourth quarter. Everyone, who is anyone with money has bets down at the New York or Chicago trading exchanges. From billionaire fat cats, to friends who work at the local factory making plastic cups for a living with some wages earmarked for 401K. They know something is not right. Unemployment at historic highs. People with good credit who can’t secure financing on a home.
With the average American wage decreasing a rapid pace, instead of deflation, we are a strange sense high inflation. With all this said, then where can I put my money ? If I would withdraw it, and put it under a mattress the rats would eat it. And if I put in a safe in the house, I would lose interest. And worry that someone would break in and steal it anyway. This market has everyone corned. This market is more important than the war. The sole reason for war is 5 things: m o n e y .
The market is clamoring for it. But the people say no war. So, this coming week look for a dull trading. The so called quantitative easing ( printing ) 80 billion dollars a month into the economy that doesn’t end up in the economy but in private bank accounts in the Virgin Islands or Switzerland. Just the ” suggestion ” of this last summer by Federal Reserve Chairman Bernacke sent Wall Street into a panic. At this time, it’s a day to day market. This long term notion of planning long term investments are over. It’s day to day my friend.
Probably the best thing to do is start reading the Ole Farmer’s Almanac and get close with nature. You will learn more about the market’s in nature, and in the stars than any degree you might require, any certification you might earn, or any name you might give yourself to show you know more than the next guy. What is growth anymore ? Growth is this : simply having any money at all, and be thankful you do ! And if someone tells you that they understand what is going on in the markets, you better run for your life. LD
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