Just Another Manic Monday

The Dow is up 116 points as of 8am.

Why?  Just because, it seems.  Asia closed down on Trade War fears but Europe is up slightly and US Futures are tracking higher on very thin trading (it’s Jewish new year, people have off in NY) as Trump tweets about how GREAT things are, even though he’s clearly lying as the S&P 500 was at 2,200 when he was elected and 2,300 when he took office but, even since the election, 2,850 – 2,200 is 650 and 650/2,200 is 29.5%, not “almost 50%” but, amazingly, no one bats an eye because, for Trump, that’s a lot closer to the truth than most of the things he says…

We’re just going with the flow for the moment.  We did add a bearish Top Trade on the S&P (SDS) last week but we also put out bullish Top Trade Alerts on  DLTR, OIH, HBI, LB, WPM, AAPL, MU and PZZA since Aug 15th, so still finding plenty of bargains – even in what we consider to be a very toppy market.  As I’ve said a lot recently – it’s a lot like 1999 but the market doubled in 1999 before actually failing in 2000 so, if we are in a bubble – we can play it bullish while it lasts – as long as we are well-hedged and ready to act if things do begin to fall apart.

When a market is hot, we look for OPPORTUNITIES to pick up stocks that get sold off for bad reasons.  Back on Aug 3rd, China Mobile (CHL) got hit on news that two of their rivals were merging but CHL is so big, they are the reason their rivals have to merge to compete so I said to our Members:

CHL – Another one we just added to the hedge fund (also uncovered).  My notes to Doug were: They may get less per subscriber but China is smaller than the US so they are covering less area but they have 887M subscribers.  They have rich people who are as rich as our rich people and those people are willing to pay whatever for high-speed services.  China’s Top

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Provided courtesy of Phil’s Stock World.