In an unusual moment, the stock market’s ability to sniff out the future is severely impaired
PUBLISHED MON, APR 6 20207:09 AM EDT
Michael Santoli@MICHAELSANTOLI
KEY POINTS
- Investors are desperate for more data to quantify the coronavirus impact on the economy and earnings, and then map the duration of a possible recovery ahead.
- Decline in the volatility index shows the market has moved on from outright shock to grinding resignation that things are bad and will be so for a while.
- The credit market, reflecting macro conditions and liquidity, will have plenty to say about whether such an equity floor can hold and any rallies get traction.
- We are in an unusual moment where the market’s vaunted ability to “sniff out” the economic path a few months out — always overstated, perhaps — is particularly impaired.
Source: http://www.trincafe.com/2020/04/in-unusual-moment-stock-markets-ability.html
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