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Do valuations matter anymore?

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How expensive are US equities? Fed Governor Lael Brainard warned about “stretched valuations” in the preamble to the May 2021 Financial Stability Report:

Vulnerabilities associated with elevated risk appetite are rising. Valuations across a range of asset classes have continued to rise from levels that were already elevated late last year…The combination of stretched valuations with very high levels of corporate indebtedness bear watching because of the potential to amplify the effects of a re-pricing event.

By most measures, the market is highly extended. As an example, the S&P 500 trailing P/E looks unreal. But stock markets always look expensive when the economy recovers from a recession because the E in the P/E ratio is compressed.

Do valuations matter anymore? Yes and No. Let me explain my reasoning.
The full post can be found here.



Source: http://humblestudentofthemarkets.blogspot.com/2021/05/do-valuations-matter-anymore.html



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