A flock of hawks circle Wall Street
Preface: Explaining our market timing models
- Ultimate market timing model: Sell equities*
- Trend Model signal: Neutral*
- Trading model: Neutral*
* The performance chart and model readings have been delayed by a week out of respect to our paying subscribers.
Update schedule: I generally update model readings on my site on weekends and tweet mid-week observations at @humblestudent. Subscribers receive real-time alerts of trading model changes, and a hypothetical trading record of those email alerts is shown here.
Subscribers can access the latest signal in real time here.
- The Fed has given the obligatory nod to a “soft landing” but what’s the body language about a possible recession?
- The Fed has said higher for longer, but how much longer?
- What are its inflation projections for 2022, 2023, and 2024 in the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP)?
- How far does the dot plot get revised up, and what is the terminal rate?
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