Soft CPI is helpful, but it's still a bear market
- Ultimate market timing model: Sell equities*
- Trend Model signal: Neutral*
- Trading model: Neutral*
* The performance chart and model readings have been delayed by a week out of respect to our paying subscribers.
Update schedule: I generally update model readings on my site on weekends and tweet mid-week observations at @humblestudent. Subscribers receive real-time alerts of trading model changes, and a hypothetical trading record of those email alerts is shown here.
Subscribers can access the latest signal in real time here.
Despite Thursday’s explosive rally in stocks, it’s likely we’re still mired in a bear market.In fact, the magnitude of the surge itself suggests the bear is still alive and well.Consider all trading days since the Nasdaq Composite Index was created in 1971 in which it gained — as it did Thursday — more than 6%. Twenty of 26 of those days prior to Thursday occurred during a bear market, or 77% of the time, according to Ned Davis Research.
Source: http://humblestudentofthemarkets.blogspot.com/2022/11/soft-cpi-is-helpful-but-its-still-bear.html
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