The animal spirits are still alive
The latest signals of each model are as follows:
- Ultimate market timing model: Buy equities (Last changed from “sell” on 28-Jul-2023)*
- Trend Model signal: Bullish (Last changed from “neutral” on 28-Jul-2023)*
- Trading model: Bullish (Last changed from “neutral” on 20-Nov-2023)*
* The performance chart and model readings have been delayed by a week out of respect to our paying subscribers.
Update schedule: I generally update model readings on my site on weekends. I am also on X/Twitter at @humblestudent. Subscribers receive real-time alerts of trading model changes, and a hypothetical trading record of those email alerts is shown here.
Subscribers can access the latest signal in real time here.
A healthy consolidation
The S&P 500 staged a late Friday breakout above 4600 out of a narrow consolidation range. The accompanying hourly chart shows that whenever the 14-hour RSI reaches an overbought extreme of 90 or more, it has retreated to a minimum level of 50, which it has in the latest episode. In light of the powerful momentum exhibited by the Zweig Breadth Thrust buy signal in early November, the market has met the conditions for another bull run in the near future.
I continue to believe that stocks are poised for a rally into year-end. My analysis of market internals shows that the market’s animal spirits are still alive.
Source: http://humblestudentofthemarkets.blogspot.com/2023/12/the-animal-spirits-are-still-alive.html
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