Actually, the polls were right
After the shocking result of the 2016 election, election data science was on its heels.
How did pollsters get Trump, Clinton election so wrong? Yes, the election polls were wrong. Here’s why Earthquake science explains why election polls were so wrong
The polls almost all showed Hillary winning. How did Trump pull it off?
Because the Electoral College. The polls weren’t wrong; they predicted a 3% Hillary national popular vote win and were only off by 2; they just missed a few key states.
The primary problem is relying on national polls to predict an election that isn’t nationwide. The Electoral College system means that states elect the president, not voters nationwide. Hillary Clinton won the nationwide vote, but she lost the election, primarily because she ran up her margins in diverse major urban areas but lost almost the entire rest of the country.
Florida was the first shocker of election night. But polls showed Trump with a slim lead in Florida. Trump just slightly outperformed it.
Virginia looked closer than it should have been as returns started rolling in, but it ended up almost exactly where polls predicted.
North Carolina, which President Obama won in 2008 but narrowly lost to Romney in 2012 looked like it might flip back blue early on. Again, Trump lead the final poll average there too, so its final red hue shouldn’t have been surprising.
The real shock came in the Midwest.
Clinton lead the final poll averages in Pennsylvania by 1.9, Michigan by 3.4, and Wisconsin by 6.5. Trump won them all.
The real question then isn’t why polls were so wrong; most of them weren’t. Why were Rust Belt polls so wrong?
Source: http://www.unitedliberty.org/articles/19722-the-polls-were-right
Anyone can join.
Anyone can contribute.
Anyone can become informed about their world.
"United We Stand" Click Here To Create Your Personal Citizen Journalist Account Today, Be Sure To Invite Your Friends.
Before It’s News® is a community of individuals who report on what’s going on around them, from all around the world. Anyone can join. Anyone can contribute. Anyone can become informed about their world. "United We Stand" Click Here To Create Your Personal Citizen Journalist Account Today, Be Sure To Invite Your Friends.
LION'S MANE PRODUCT
Try Our Lion’s Mane WHOLE MIND Nootropic Blend 60 Capsules
Mushrooms are having a moment. One fabulous fungus in particular, lion’s mane, may help improve memory, depression and anxiety symptoms. They are also an excellent source of nutrients that show promise as a therapy for dementia, and other neurodegenerative diseases. If you’re living with anxiety or depression, you may be curious about all the therapy options out there — including the natural ones.Our Lion’s Mane WHOLE MIND Nootropic Blend has been formulated to utilize the potency of Lion’s mane but also include the benefits of four other Highly Beneficial Mushrooms. Synergistically, they work together to Build your health through improving cognitive function and immunity regardless of your age. Our Nootropic not only improves your Cognitive Function and Activates your Immune System, but it benefits growth of Essential Gut Flora, further enhancing your Vitality.
Our Formula includes: Lion’s Mane Mushrooms which Increase Brain Power through nerve growth, lessen anxiety, reduce depression, and improve concentration. Its an excellent adaptogen, promotes sleep and improves immunity. Shiitake Mushrooms which Fight cancer cells and infectious disease, boost the immune system, promotes brain function, and serves as a source of B vitamins. Maitake Mushrooms which regulate blood sugar levels of diabetics, reduce hypertension and boosts the immune system. Reishi Mushrooms which Fight inflammation, liver disease, fatigue, tumor growth and cancer. They Improve skin disorders and soothes digestive problems, stomach ulcers and leaky gut syndrome. Chaga Mushrooms which have anti-aging effects, boost immune function, improve stamina and athletic performance, even act as a natural aphrodisiac, fighting diabetes and improving liver function. Try Our Lion’s Mane WHOLE MIND Nootropic Blend 60 Capsules Today. Be 100% Satisfied or Receive a Full Money Back Guarantee. Order Yours Today by Following This Link.
| Visits: | 1,708,582,853 |
| Stories: | 8,450,744 |
Whistler Blowers, Insiders
BS. Without all of the illegal votes, Trump – 85%, Hillary – 10%, others – 5%.