COVID-19 Deaths and Incredible WHO Estimates
“Death Toll Hits 9 as Outbreak Spreads,” was the scary Wall Street Journal headline in print before it was toned down online. COVID-19 deaths at a nursing home and hospital in Washington state were unrelated to the virus spreading “across the U.S.” The facts tell us much more about the exceptionally high risks of fatal infection from COVID-19 (or pneumonia or flu) among elderly people living close together in nursing homes or hospitals, many of them already sick.
The ongoing COPD-19 outbreak in Kirkland Washington at the Life Care nursing home and Evergreen hospital represents high‐risk concentrations of vulnerable seniors. Among those who died in Washington, all but two were in their 70s or 80s (the other two in their 50s) and most had “underlying health conditions.” Evergreen hospital has two more in critical condition, in their 70s and 90s, both with underlying conditions.
What we just learned from Washington was already known from China’s experience A February 24 article by Katarina Zimmer in The Scientist provides an excellent summary:
“The latest data from China stem from an analysis of nearly 45,000 confirmed cases, and on the whole suggest that the people most likely to develop severe forms of COVID-19 are those with pre‐existing illnesses and the elderly.While less than 1 percent of people who were otherwise healthy died from the disease, the fatality rate for people with cardiovascular disease was 10.5 percent. That figure was 7.3 percent for diabetes patients and around 6 percent for those with chronic respiratory disease, hypertension, or cancer. While overall, 2.3 percent of known cases [in China] proved fatal—which many experts say is likely an overestimate of the mortality rate, given that many mild cases might go undiagnosed—patients 80 years or older were most at risk, with 14.8 percent of them dying.”
The Scientist article point about the death rate being “less than 1 percent” among the healthy and also the point about the 2.3% Chinese estimate being a “an overestimate” because “many mild cases might go undiagnosed” underscore similar points I made in a March 2 blog. My concern is that misinformation about COVID-19 has fueled excessive fear of the virus by greatly exaggerating the actual death rate per hundred people infected (the infection fatality rate).
I suggested that if we took unreported mild cases into account, the actual death rate among infected people outside China may be as low as 0.5%. Skeptics greeted death rates of 0.5–1.0% as Panglossian heresy. Yet the rigorous February 10 study I cited, from Imperial College London, concluded the global infection fatality ratio was about 1.0. My estimate is lower than 1.0 because I exclude China where (I argue) high fatality rates in Wuhan were exaggerated by overcounting institutionalized elderly with serious infection.
On February 29, Denise Grady, The New York Times’ veteran health and medicine reporter, independently came to conclusions not unlike those Katarina Zimmer and I did within a few days of each other – namely than fewer than 1% of people infected with COVID-19 are likely to die from it, and that the odds of death are lower that that for healthy non‐elderly people. Ms. Grady explained these facts in The New York Times as follows [with emphasis added]:
“Early estimates of the coronavirus death rate from China, the epicenter of the outbreak, have been around 2 percent. But a new report on 1,099 cases from many parts of China, published on Friday in The New England Journal of Medicine, finds a lower rate: 1.4 percent. The coronavirus death rate may be even lower, if — as most experts suspect — there are many mild or symptom‐free cases that have not been detected. The true death rate could turn out to be similar to that of a severe seasonal flu, below 1 percent, according to an editorial published in the journal by Dr. Anthony S. Fauci and Dr. H. Clifford Lane, of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, and Dr. Robert R. Redfield, director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.”
Despite two health science writers and one economist trying to warn people that widely hyped mortality rates greatly exaggerate the risk (not to mention Drs. Fauci, Lane and Redfield) exaggerated estimates continue to grab the headlines.
On March 4, The New York Times reported, “Dr. Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, the organization’s director general, said in a news conference in Geneva that… ‘Globally, about 3.4 percent of reported Covid‐19 cases have died.” “By comparison,” he added, ” seasonal flu generally kills far fewer than 1 percent of those infected.”
To the newspaper’s credit, The New York Times apparently felt obliged to caution readers that the WHO’s 3.4 percent death rate is quite implausible, if not wildly inaccurate: “The figure does not include mild cases that do not require medical attention and is skewed by Wuhan, where the death rate is several times higher than elsewhere in China. It is also quite possible that there are many undetected cases that would push the mortality rate lower. Still, it was the first time that the organization had offered a global mortality rate for the disease.”
Ironically, my previous blog quoted Dr. Tedros Adhanom saying, “Most people will have mild disease and get better without needing any special care.”
Because most cases are mild, as he said, and because mild cases are excluded by definition from “reported cases,” the WHO’s alleged 3.4% mortality rate is nothing more than sensationalist nonsense.
Source: https://www.cato.org/blog/covid-19-deaths-incredible-who-estimates
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Whistler Blowers, Insiders
IMPORTANT – HOW DANGEROUS A VIRUS IS – IS NOT – TEST DISCOVERED INFECTIONS >> 95% >> HAVE NO OR NEGLIGIBLE…. SYMPTOMS
>>>> THE IMPORTANT FACTOR IS
>>>> KILL RATE
……………………
CARONAVIRUS – KILL RATE
Real Figure – CHINA 0.0034
Real Figure – OUTSIDE China 0.0014
As you will see below – March 3, 2020 The World Health Organization on Tuesday announced
among children….. and healthy adults …..
>>>> the mortality rate >>>> is close to zero.
……………………………………… FULL EXPLANATION / CALCULATION
For Simplicity Just Using CHINA Numbers & Round Up – 80,000 Cases 3,000 Deaths + as you will see from experts below
>>>> 10X known cases of INFECTED – But Not Recorded – As they NEVER Have Symptoms OR Too Mild To Notice
Thats 800,000 UNRECORDED CASES
Revise NOW 880,000 Cases (Recorded + Unrecorded 10X more) With … 3,000 Deaths
Death rate 3,000 divided by 880,000 = 0.0034 or in percentage terms 0.34%
March 3, 2020 The World Health Organization on Tuesday announced
- The illness has a much stronger chance of causing death…. in sick and elderly patients
while among children….. and healthy adults …..
>>>> the mortality rate >>>> is close to zero.
https://www.nationalreview.com/news/coronavirus-world-health-organization-announces-mortality-rate-has-jumped-to-3-point-4-percent/#slide-1
…………………………………………………………..
Death Rate OUTSIDE China
67 divided by 47,000 (4351 + 43,500 10X As Many Unrecorded – Infected NO/Mild Symptoms)
= 0.0014 or percentage 0.14%
…………………………………………….
BASED ON – QUOTE
8 February 2020 >>> WHO Director-General’s…. opening remarks
As of 6am Geneva time this morning,
Outside China, there are now 4351 cases>>>> in 49 countries, >>>>and 67 deaths.
https://www.who.int/dg/speeches/detail/who-director-general-s-opening-remarks-at-the-media-briefing-on-covid-19—28-february-2020
…………..…………………………………………………………………………………
THESE ARE THE OTHER FACTS – THAT YOU REALLY >>> DO NEED TO KNOW & WELL WORTH – YOUR TIME
READ ON >>>>
…………………………………………………………………………………
An Opinion From A REAL – FULL MONTY QUALIFIED – WORLD EXPERT !!!
So MILD >>> 95% Of Cases >>> WON’T EVEN NEED TO GO … TO A DOCTOR !!!
Lets Hear From ….. Dr Craig Dalton is a public health physician and conjoint Associate Professor at the University of Newcastle, Australia.
He is a former CDC …… Epidemic Intelligence …. Service Officer
- and runs Flutracking.net one of the largest national surveillance systems …. for influenza-like illness in the world.
There are many countries with cases that haven’t ….. even detected their ….first cases yet.
They may have ….thousands of cases…. Before…. the first case is detected.
- Because …most cases >>>> wont go to a doctor ……
- In fact ….. most likely >>> 95% >>> are mild
(allowing for surveillance biases towards more severe cases).
https://seekingalpha.com/instablog/48606151-craig-dalton/5413058-update-analysts-are-starting-to-understand-coronavirus
……………………………………………………………………………………………………
ANOTHER EXPERT >>> CARONAVIRUS – SO MILD – YOU WOULDN’T… FIND CASES
>>> WITHOUT ….. MASS TESTING – & LOOKING FOR IT
Marc Lipsitch, professor of epidemiology >>> at the Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health. He noted that Guangdong, a province in China, conducted surveillance
- testing of 300,000 people in fever clinics
- to find about 420 positive cases.
“If you don’t look,>>>> you won’t find cases,” he said.
https://www.propublica.org/article/cdc-coronavirus-covid-19-test
REPEAT >> They Had – TO TEST – Nearly 1/3rd Of A MILLION Chinese – To Scrape up
>>>> JUST 420 (repeat 420) …. Positive Cases – Yes Moving Heaven & Earth To
>>> Hype Up The PROPAGANDA Figures !!
……………………..…..………..……………………………………………………..…………………
28 February 2020 >>> WHO Director-General’s…. opening remarks
As of 6am Geneva time this morning, China has reported a total of 78,959 cases of COVID-19 to WHO, including 2791 deaths.
Outside China, there are now 4351 cases>>>> in 49 countries, >>>>and 67 deaths.
Our greatest enemy right now ….is not the virus itself. …. It’s >>>> fear & rumours
https://www.who.int/dg/speeches/detail/who-director-general-s-opening-remarks-at-the-media-briefing-on-covid-19—28-february-2020
…………………………………………….
REPEAT WORLDWIDE … OUTSIDE CHINA >>> A TINY TINY INSIGNIFICANT NUMBER OF …. TOTAL DEATHS >>> JUST 67
….. BEING PREDOMINANTLY – THE USUAL _ THE OLD, – THOSE WITH SERIOUS UNDERLYING MEDICAL CONDITIONS – THE IMMUNO-COMPROMISED – AND THOSE ALREADY NEAR DEATH ANYWAY.
……………………………………………….
In contrast, in the US, the Centers of Disease Control estimate that so far for the 2019-20 season, at least …….
>>> 15 million flu virus illnesses, >>> 140,000 hospitalizations and >>8,200 deaths in the U.S, which has population ……of 330 million,……. about a quarter that of China.
And there was virtually no coverage or concern regarding
- the Seasonal Flu,…… which in 2017 resulted >>>>> globally in 650,000 ….deaths.
https://www.globalresearch.ca/coronavirus-epidemic-who-declares-a-global-public-health-crisis-can-we-trust-the-who/5702360?utm_campaign=magnet&utm_source=article_page&utm_medium=related_articles
Caronavirus by comparison – is just a PI$$ In The Ocean !!
…………………………………………….
IN ADDITION FEB 25th
RECOVERIES – ARE ALREADY SURPASSING ……the total number of …..daily new infections
for the first time.
That occurred on February 19th, …. according to Johns Hopkins University tracking, when there were 439 new cases…. and approximately >>>> 1,800 recoveries.
The trend has continued since then >>> with fewer than 600 new confirmed COVID-19 cases each day >>>> and an even greater number ….of recoveries.
https://www.statista.com/chart/20943/new-daily-confirmed-covid-19-cases-and-recoveries
……………………………………………………………………………………………………….
YES … It’s A – Cute Pussycat Of A Virus – In VIRAL TERMS (Yes Really) – READ ON >>>>
Some TRUTH, FACTS & ACTUAL GENUINE USEFUL INFO
THE TRUTH IS >>> The Caronavirus PlayBook Is Already Written.
It’s just a repeat of ……the H1N1 Swine Flu (SARS, MERS, BIRD FLU, EBOLA) – They All Run
The Same – Fake Propaganda Virus Playbook
And We Are – Just heading into – Chapter 2.
So How Did SWINE FLU H1N1 PANDEMIC END >>> Well …, At The End Of 18 months of Swine Flu – Fear Porn
- The World Health Organisation WHO declared …. the pandemic over – & during the >>> 18 months it had killed JUST ..18,500 people globally
- averaging the figures of lab confirmed deaths – from the 214 countries that report to the W.H.O
>>>> That averages out at >>>> LESS THAN 90 (as in Ninety) …. Swine Flu Deaths Per Country
……………………………………………………………….
In Hindsight The 18 months of relentless fear porn fake propaganda headlines, >>> were over ……an insignificant, irrelevant virus – Killing On Average …. Just 90 People – PER Country !!
………………………………………………
QUOTE W.H.O OWN WEBSITE
6 August 2010 – As of 1 August 2010, worldwide… more than 214 countries and overseas territories or communities >>>> have reported laboratory confirmed cases …. of pandemic influenza H1N1 2009, including over >>> 18449 deaths.
LINK TO W.H.O. OFFICIAL WEBSITE Confirmation Of Above FACT !! >>> https://www.who.int/csr/don/2010_08_06/en/
And – This CARONAVIRUS >>> Will Be A Repeat.
……………………………………..
Caronavirus Took 2 Months/60 Days To Kill 2,400 (ie a TINY 40 Per Day)
- of old, sick, frail, immuno-compromised and already on their last legs Chinese
- Up to 95% of Infected – Have Symptoms – So Mild – They Won’t Even Notice
- and in most countries – hasn’t even reached a THOUSAND infected
Regular Annual Flu – Kills 88,000 …Chinese per year
7 Million Chinese… Die Of All Causes Per Year
-vs- Caronavirus – UNDER 3,000 !!!
Read the facts – Engage Brain & Common Sense – It’s an insignificant irrelevance – the rest is Rinse & Repeat VIRAL FEAR PORN
……………………………………………………….…
LETS GET AN OVERALL OPINION FROM EXPERTS – AT THE UK NATIONAL HEALTH SERVICE (PUBLISHED IN A UK NATIONAL NEWSPAPER) – THE INDEPENDENT
28/Feb/2020 …. QUOTE….
“As a member of the public….. you might get… coronavirus
>>> but your chances…. of being ill …. and in hospital >>>>>is not high.
On a person …. by person basis >>>>>> IT IS NOTHING TO WORRY ABOUT
(UNQUOTE)
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/health/coronavirus-uk-deaths-nhs-intensive-care-flu-wise-men-protocol-a9361916.html
…………………………………………………………………………………
So – Total Prepping Required – IF you are one of the …very few that do get infected
- and NOT one of the 90/95% infected that exhibit >>> NO Symptoms
Or Symptoms >>>> So MILD – You Would’t Even Notice Them …..
- then…………
It may be prudent to perhaps – buy a small box ….of paper hankerchiefs/tissues… & Voila …..FULLY PREPPED & Ready
>>> READ ON
…………………………………
LETS GET INITIAL OFFICIAL >>> GOVERNMENT CONFIRMATION ….(Fuller Details Lower Down on THE ACTUAL NUMBERS)
………….CANADIAN GOVERNMENT / HEALTH CANADA …………….
QUOTE “coronaviruses are common …..and are typically associated ….with mild illnesses,
similar to the common cold. (Unquote)
QUOTE >>> Those who are infected with COVID-19 may >>>>have little to >>> NO symptoms.
You may… NOT KNOW ……you have symptoms ….of COVID-19
because they are similar to …. a COLD or flu. (UNQUOTE)
https://www.canada.ca/en/public-health/services/diseases/2019-novel-coronavirus-infection/symptoms.html
(& see Quotes At Bottom)
…………………………………….…………….
For the… very few …that do get infected noticeable symptoms, …. typical signs include
- A RUNNY NOSE
- A COUGH
- A SORE THROAT / Fever (high temperature).
The vast majority of patients – at least 97 per cent, ….. based on available data – will recover from these
>>>> without any issues ….. or medical help.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-7987001/Death-toll-killer-coronavirus-10-TIMES-higher-average-Chinas-Hubei-province.html
………………………………………………….
Its such a happy clappy insignificant symptoms virus – its about as pleasant as you could make – thank you to God or Whoever
- A Good Job !
Lest We Forget ….. Ooooh 53 Suspected Cases Out Of 300 MILLION Americans – That’s ‘erm, well – nicely .… very significantly LESS than a PI$$ In The Ocean too really ….isn’t it
And Based On How Things Have Gone In CHINA So Far – It A case Of >>>> READ ON
…………………………………………………………………………………………….
MOVE ALONG FOLKS – NOTHING TO SEE HERE – ALL OVER – JUST MOVE ALONG – GET ON WITH YOUR LIVES
CHINA
Yes 2,400 Died Of Caronavirous in 2 months (60 Days) – An Average >>> Really VERY TINY >> 40 Deaths A Day
- Seasonal Flu Kills An Average 88,000 Per Year (Caronavirus Has Managed 2,400)
- 7 MILLION Chinese Die Per Year – Caronavirus Has Accounted For 2,400
And Studies/Reports State whilst there are only 80,000 Confirmed Infections – There Will be >>> 10X that number
- YES 3/4 MILLION + with Symptoms SO MILD – they Won’t EVEN NOTICE THEM
………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
So Move Along Folks – Everywhere Is Opening Up Again – Just Move Along Folks – It Was Just The Usual Fear PORN – Move Along …CONTINUED
INTERNATIONAL NEWS CHANEL RT NEWS ….. Evidence …..
>>>> Propaganda Fatigue ….Setting In
Already Macau CHINA , the world’s biggest gambling hub, …..will allow casinos to…. resume operations from…. February 20,
…. after authorities imposed a two-week suspension to curb the coronavirus’ spread, authorities said on Monday,
Macau has not reported >>> any new cases of the virus>>> since February 4, … officials said (As At 20 Feb)
.
There have been >>>> ONLY 10 … confirmed cases of the virus >>> in total there.
Government services, which had mostly been suspended since the start of February, ….. have gradually resumed operations this week.
https://www.rt.com/newsline/481005-macau-casinos-virus-fear/
So Move Along Folks – Move Along – Nothing To see Here – Get On With Life – It’s All Over Folks 2,400 deaths and new cases plummeting -
DEATHS >> Predominantly Sick, Elderly, Immunocompromised, & usual already on their last legs ….. out of 1.3 BILLION CHINESE
………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
NB 10 February 2020 BLOOMBERG
The new coronavirus might have infected….. at least 500,000 people in Wuhan, ….the Chinese city at the epicenter of the global outbreak, …..by the time it peaks in coming weeks.
But…… most of those people…..>>>> won’t even know it.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-02-08/virus-outbreak-in-wuhan-may-soon-peak-with-more-than-5-infected
…………………………………………….
LOS ANGELES TIMES
Thousands of people in China and elsewhere ….have been infected ….. but have had…
>>>> such mild reactions that >>>> no one even noticed,
- said Dr. Tom Inglesby, director of the Center for Health Security at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health.
https://www.latimes.com/science/story/2020-01-24/china-coronavirus-panic
……………………………………………………………………………………………..
The UK’s NATIONAL BBC News COMMENTS
– Re INFECTED – HAVING SUCH MILD REACTIONS >>> NO ONE NOTICED
>>> FROM THE LARGEST STUDY TO DATE (The paper by the CCDC, released on Monday and published in the Chinese Journal of Epidemiology, looked at more than 44,000 confirmed cases of Covid-19 in China as of 11 February
………………………………….
– So Known Infections Quoted In Study – 72,436 x 10 = 724,000 Who Will Have Had Symptoms – Too Mild – To Notice
– YES >> ¾ Million
…………………………………..
QUOTE >>> Re The Known 72,436 infections
- Scientists have estimated there could be …..10 times as many people infected ….. as are ending up in the official statistics.
That ALSO means the….. overall death rate IN THE REST OF CHINA (Outside Hubei) is likely to be
>>> lower than the 0.4% (rest of China) reported in this study (ie 10X LOWER – Making the death rate potentially ONLY 0.04)
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-china-51540981
……………………………………………………………………..
So Theres Proof Of Precedence – How This Caronavirus Runs
So Ignore the PROPAGANDA FEAR PORN – ENGAGE BRAIN PUT COMMON SENSE IN GEAR & JUST PARTY ON