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Public Opinion Survey on Settlements in Judea and Samaria

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Dr. Aaron Lerner – IMRA: the following is IMRA’s translation of the results
of this important poll of Israeli Jews inside the Green Line on matters
concerning Judea and Samaria.

While much of the coverage of the survey has focused on what might be termed
a shift in opinion away from support for the Jewish communities in Judea and
Samaria, it should be noted that despite the change, there remains a large
majority among Israeli Jews residing within the Green Line who oppose
accepting anything close to what the Palestinians are demanding.

This may be driven by the response to the following survey question:

30. If Israel accepts the solution of “two states for two peoples,” What do
you think it will do to the Israeli – Palestinian conflict?
1. Nothing 33%
2. Prevent the escalation of the conflict for a short time only 30%
3. Prevent the escalation for a long period 19%
4. Will end the conflict 12%
5. Do not know and other answers 6%

For the full survey in Hebrew complete with comparisons to previous years:

http://bit.ly/16imoau

———–

Public Opinion Survey on Settlements in Judea and Samaria
For: Dr. Miriam Billig and Dr. Udi Lebel R & D in Samaria and the Jordan
Valley
Carried out by:Maagar Mochot – Institute for Interdisciplinary Research and
Consulting Ltd.

[Every quote and references of the results it should be noted that it was
prepared by Dr. Miriam Billlig R & D Manager from Samaria and the Jordan
Valley, and Dr. Udi Lebel – Head of the Department of Sociology and
Anthropology at Ariel. Also please note that The survey was conducted for
Samaria and the Jordan Valley R&D , Ariel University for “The 23rd
Conference Judea and Samaria Studies, Multidisciplinary Scientific
Conference – June 2013″.

May 23, 2013

The survey was conducted for Samaria and the Jordan Valley R&D , Ariel
University for “The 23rd Conference Judea and Samaria Studies,
Multidisciplinary Scientific Conference – June 2013″.

The telephone survey was carried out on 16-20.5.2013 on a sample of 587
respondents constituting a representative sample of the adult Jewish
population (ages 18 and over) within the Green Line (not including the areas
of Judea and Samaria). Sampling error for the various estimates is 4.5%
confidence level of 95%.

2-6. Do you / agree / or disagree / with each of the following statements
regarding Jewish settlements in Judea and Samaria, on a scale of 1 =
strongly disagree to 5 = strongly agree:

Completely disagree/Disagree/So-so/Agree/Greatly Agree/Other answers

Jewish settlements are
2. Source of conflict with the Palestinians
33% 23% 24% 13% 5% 2%
3. Real Zionist act
9% 17% 19% 21% 31% 3%
4. Waste of state funds
26% 17% 17% 18% 21% 1%
5. State’s security belt
8% 20% 23% 18% 28% 3%
6. Illegal settlement
33% 21% 23% 12% 8% 3%

Completely disagree/Disagree/So-so/Agree/Greatly Agree/Other answers

7-13. Do you / agree / or disagree / with each of the following statements
regarding the Jewish residents – the settlers in Judea and Samaria, on a
scale of 1 = strongly disagree to 5 = strongly agree:
Jewish residents – West Bank settlers are ….

7. Real Zionists
16% 20% 19% 18% 24% 3%
8. Extort money
29% 24% 20% 17% 7% 3%
9. Shield of the State
11% 22% 23% 17% 25% 2%
10. Outlaws
28% 24% 26% 12% 7% 3%
11. Like any other Israeli citizen
6% 16% 18% 30% 28% 2%
12. Source of the conflict
37% 23% 18% 14% 7% 1%
13. Obstacle to peace
28% 19% 19% 17% 14% 3%

14. In your opinion, which of the following is a true representative of the
settlers in Judea and Samaria?
1. Religious Zionist serving in IDF combat units 20%
2. Hilltop Youth 3%
3. Yesha Council leaders 6%
4. Right-wing parties 4%
5. Main towns in Judea and Samaria 10%
6. Yesha Rabbis 8%
7. All the above factors * 42%
9. None of the above factors and other answers 7%

15 What do you think about the desired solution of Judea and Samaria?
1. Partial Israeli withdrawal – unilaterally (without agreement) 2%
2 Full Israeli withdrawal – unilaterally (without agreement) 2%
3. Partial Israeli withdrawal – in agreement with the Palestinian Authority
39%
4. Full Israeli withdrawal – in agreement with the Palestinian Authority 9%
5. Status quo 12%
6. Annexation of parts of the occupied 13%
7. Full annexation 14%
8. Do not know and other answers 9%

16-25. Do any of the following factors, affects or does not affect your
position in relation to the desired solution in the West Bank, on a scale of
1 = not at all to 5 = affects greatly influences:

Not affect at all/did not affect/So-so/Affect/Greatly affect/Other replies

16. The Iranian threat
43% 27% 10% 11% 4% 5%
17. Positions and statements of the PA
22% 19% 18% 25% 12% 4%
18. Hamas takeover of Gaza
20% 19% 15% 28% 16% 2%
19. Qassam rocket fire from Gaza at southern communities
7% 16% 12% 29% 23% 3%
20. Position of the U.S. government lead by President Obama
19% 18% 25% 26% 7% 5%
21. Multiplicity of settlers serving in IDF combat units
18% 22% 22% 20% 14% 4%
22. Extreme positions among the settlers (the hilltop youth, rabbis)
23% 22% 16% 20% 16% 3%
23. The condition of the evacuees from Gush Katif
14% 20% 20% 23% 20% 3%
24. Chances of achieving a peace agreement with Palestinians
9% 10% 14% 31% 22% 4%
25. Chances of achieving a peace agreement with Arab countries
18% 15% 18% 26% 17% 6%
26. Illegal Arab takeover of Land in the Negev and Galilee
15% 18% 17% 22% 22% 6%
27. “Naqba Talk” – the Palestinians will return to the borders of 1948
26% 17% 13% 19% 17% 8%

28. If it were up to you, would you be willing / ready or not to evacuate
settlements or settlements in the West Bank, excluding Jerusalem, for ending
the conflict with the Palestinians and full peace?
1. Not ready for any evacuation of settlements 24%
2. Ready to evacuate only a few illegal settlements 23%
3. Prepared to evacuate a small number of legal communities and settlements
15%
4. Ready to evacuate a large number of villages / settlements 23%
5. Ready to evacuate all Jewish settlements in Judea and Samaria 10%
8. Do not know, depends on and other answers 5%

28. If it’s up to you, Would you be willing / ready or not the leave the
Jewish settlements in Judea and Samaria after the IDF withdraws from them?
1. Not ready 48%
2. Also prepared 29%
3. Other answers 23%

30. If Israel accepts the solution of “two states for two peoples,” What do
you think it will do to the Israeli – Palestinian conflict?
1. Nothing 33%
2. Prevent the escalation of the conflict for a short time only 30%
3. Prevent the escalation for a long period 19%
4. Will end the conflict 12%
5. Do not know and other answers 6%

31-40. According to your opinion, to what extent should stipulate or should
not make the Israeli peace agreement – Palestinian (which will be an Israeli
withdrawal) in …: on a scale of 1-5 where 1 = definitely do not need to
condition and 5 = definitely need to condition.

To what extent should stipulate or not to make the Israeli peace agreement -
Palestinian (which will be an Israeli withdrawal) in …:-
Certainly no/No/so-so/yes/certainly yes/other replies

31. Keeping settlement blocs under Israeli sovereignty
6% 12% 16% 27% 35% 4%
32. United Jerusalem under Israeli sovereignty
7% 8% 11% 16% 54% 4%
33. Military presence in the Jordan Valley
3% 6% 16% 29% 39% 7%
34. Presence of Israeli settlements in the Jordan Valley and the Army
5% 10% 16% 27% 35% 7%
35. Palestinian recognition of Israel publicly and officially as the state
of the Jewish people
6% 5% 9% 20% 56% 4%
36. Palestinian commitment to end the Israeli – Palestinian conflict
2% 2% 5% 17% 70% 4%
37. Removal of Hamas from the Palestinian government
3% 9% 18% 21% 42% 7%
38. Ensuring the entrance of Israeli Jews returned to the Holy Places return
to Palestinian state
4% 5% 13% 27% 46% 5%
39. Palestinian willingness to leave Jewish settlements under their control
13% 15% 21% 20% 22% 9%
40. Transfer of sovereignty over Arab communities in Israel to the
Palestinian state, for the benefit of the demographic problem
15% 17% 19% 24% 14% 11%

41. In your opinion, will the Jewish inhabitants – the settlers in Judea and
Samaria, succeed or not to affect the decisions of the Netanyahu government
regarding the future of settlements in Judea and Samaria?

1. Won’t succeed at all 9%
2. Will slightly 25%
3. Will to a moderate degree 26%
4. Will largely 18%
5. Will very much 11%
6. Do not know and other answers 11%

42-47. Regardless of your positions in politics today, what prevents you,
today, to identify with the settlers in Judea and Samaria #?

Not affect at all/did not affect/So-so/Affect/Greatly affect/Other replies

42. Hilltop youth
19% 9% 10% 22% 31% 9%
43. The fact that most settlers are religious
38% 23% 14% 11% 6% 8%
44. Religious extremism of Yesha rabbis ruling concerning women
22% 9% 12% 22% 28% 7%
45. Hatred of the settlers towards minority groups such as Arabs and
homosexuals
21% 10% 15% 21% 25% 8%
46. The experience of the settlers impose religion in the IDF
24% 9% 13% 24% 22% 8%
47. The insistence of the settlers not to evacuate unauthorized outposts
24% 8% 16% 20% 26% 6%

48. To what extent do / agree / or disagree with the statement that the
Israeli-Palestinian conflict is a territorial dispute on the ’67 borders?
1. Disagree completely 33%
2. Disagree 21%
3. So-so 18%
4. Agree 18%
5. Strongly Agree 4%
6. Other answers 6%

49. To what extent do / agree / or disagree with the statement that the
conflict between Israel and the Palestinians is a religious national dispute
the legitimacy of the existence of a Jewish state?
1. Disagree completely 6%
2. Disagree 9%
3. So-so 14%
4. Agree 35%
5 Strongly Agree 32%
6. Other answers 4%

50 What do you think should be the policy of Israel in Samaria at this time?
1. Continued settlement everywhere 19%
2. Concentration of settlement and consolidation efforts in communities
large blocks 35%
3. Temporary freeze of settlements for negotiations 24%
4. Completely stop construction 14%
5. Other answers 8%

51-53. To what extent do / agree / or disagree / with each of the following
statements, on a scale of 1 = strongly disagree to 5 = strongly agree.

Completely disagree/Disagree/So-so/Agree/Greatly Agree/Other answers
51. In light of budget cuts, freeze the flow of money to settlements
22% 12% 13% 22% 28% 3%
52. Must determine law requiring a referendum before signing a political
agreement that would include concession of areas
10% 13% 16% 25% 33% 3%
53. Quickly build areas of strategic importance which have municipal
approval for building (like the E1 region) notwithstanding the cost of
angering the U.S. government
21% 17% 19% 14% 22% 7%

54. Do you / the trust / A or do not trust / The Israeli government will
succeed make informed decisions about the future of settlements in Judea and
Samaria?
Comparison Survey 2013 surveys 2011-2012
1. Do not trust 37%
2. So-so 42%
3. Trust 15%
4. Other answers 6%

55. In your opinion, do the Jewish inhabitants – the settlers in the West
Bank, contribute to or hurt the relationship now existing between the
government of Israel and the American administration?
1. Hurt 48%
2. Have no effect 28%
3. Help 8%
4. Other answers 16%

56. Do you expect that in the end, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu could
or could not have a positive impact on the policies President Obama,
regarding the future of Jewish settlements?
1. Could not 41%
2. So-so 37%
3. Yes 8%
4. Other answers 14%

57-63. How each of the following factors will or will not cause you to
consider a move to the West Bank?

Not at all/Not/So-so/Yes/Certainly yes/Other replies
57. Affordable housing prices
41% 15% 13% 16% 10% 5%
58. Expansion of secular settlements
45% 20% 10% 13% 7% 5%
59. Institutions and cultural and educational activities
41% 18% 9% 17% 11% 4%
60. Convenient transportation to the center
39% 15% 9% 15% 16% 6%
61. Proper level of security
36% 10% 9% 17% 23% 5%
62. Certainty about the failure to remove the settlement
38% 12% 10% 15% 22% 13%
63. Good education for children
36% 15% 7% 13% 24% 5%

64. In your opinion, what is the leadership of the settlers in the West Bank
should do now?
1. Initiating political plan concerning Judea and Samaria 19%
2. Fight to end hilltop youth and Jewish law violators in West Bank 28%
3. Go on public “connecting” campaign to influence public opinion and
through them the Prime Minister 10%
4. Launch campaign to require a referendum before signing a peace agreement
with the Palestinians 9%
5. become a large bloc in the Likud Party 4%
6. A large bloc in the Jewish Home Party 5%
7. Do not know and other responses 25%

65. Will the composition of the present government lead to the expansion of
settlements, delay and freezing or there will be no change?
1. Expansion 15%
2. Delay and freezing 19%
3. No change 46%
4. Do not know and other answers 21%

Attitudes toward the Jewish Home Party (Habayit Hayehudi)

66-68. Do you agree or disagree with any of the following regarding the
Jewish Home Party?

Completely disagree/Disagree/So-so/Agree/Greatly Agree/Other answers
66. Jewish Home is the home of the settlers
9% 17% 27% 28% 8% 11%
67. Jewish Home is a true renewal of the NRP
10% 9% 22% 34% 11% 14%
68. Jewish Home has made me improve my views regarding the settlers
25% 30% 19% 9% 6% 11%

69t. How often do you visit usually Judea and Samaria?

1. Every day or almost every day – several times a week 2%
2. Once – twice a month 6%
3. Once in several months – several times a year 17%
4. Once a year – two years 13%
5. Rarely in over in 2 years 34%
6. I had never been 24%
7. Do not remember, other answers 4%

70. Why do you generally visit Judea and Samaria?
1. Military service – regular or reserve 10%
2. Family visit, family events or friends 22%
3. Work and Business 5%
4. Study 1%
5. Trip or vacation 20%
6. Participating in demonstrations and protests 0.5%
7. Shopping 0.5%
8. Other reasons 8%
9. Do not visit and other answers 33%

71. What do you consider yourself left – center – right?
1. Very right 14%
2. Right moderate 32%
3. Center 29%
4. Moderate Left 18%
5. Very Left 3%
6 Other answers 4%

72. How would you define you religiosity?
1. Secular 58%
2. Traditional 21%
3. National Religious 9%
4. Ultra-orthodox or national religious/ultra orthodox 12%

73. What is your education?
1. Grade school 3%
2. Middle and high school yeshiva 27%
3. Secondary school, upper yeshiva and academic 65%
4. Other answers 5%

74. Are you a New Immigrant (since 1989), a veteran immigrant or born in
Israel?
1. New immigrant 19%
2. Veteran immigrant 14%
3. Native-born 67%

75. Average household income today is about NIS 11,000 net per month, your
family’s income is:
1. Well below the average 12%
2. Slightly below average 18%
3. Average 28%
4. Slightly above the average 25%
5. Well above the average 8%
6. Refuse to answer and other answers 9%

76. And the last question, which party did you vote in the last elections
held in February 2013 Knesset?
1. Kadima 2%
2. Likud – Israel Beiteinu 21%
3. Labor 14%
4. Jewish Home – New NRP 12%
5. Shas 7%
6. Meretz 6%
7. United Torah Judaism 5%
8. Yesh Atid led by Yair Lapid 15%
9. Movement led by Tzipi Livni 5%
10. I did not vote, other political parties and other responses 13%

77. Gender:
1. Men 51%
2. Women 49%

78. Area (area code)
1. Area Code 02 12%
2. Area Code 03 36%
3. Area Code 04 20%
4. Area Code 08 19%
5. Area Code 09 13%

79. Age (years)
Age groups
18-34 38%
35-44 20%
45-64 32%
65 + 10%



Source: http://www.imra.org.il/story.php3?id=61252


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