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Obama Getting Clobbered In Swing States

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The second USA Today/Gallup Swing State poll is out: Obama is losing the swing states 48 to 43 to Mitt Romney and 48 to 45 to Newt Gingrich.

The 12 swing states are Michigan, Wisconsin, Ohio, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico, Florida, North Carolina, and Virginia. The 2012 election will be decided in these states. The other states clearly lean Democrat or Republican.

According to Gallup, voter preferences haven’t changed much across four polls from August to December. The Republican field hasn’t settled, but Obama has more support nationwide than in the battleground states. In the swing states, the number of Democrats has declined by 4 percent since 2008. The number of Republicans has increased by 5 percent. 

Conservatives outnumber liberals 44 percent to 21 percent in the swing states. 35 percent of swing state voters are moderates. Republicans are following the election (71 percent to 44 percent) with much greater interest than Democrats. The polls show they are also more enthusiastic about voting (61 percent to 47 percent) in the 2012 election.

At this point in the race, it looks like Barack Hussein Obama and Eric “My People” Holder won’t be coming back for another four years. Newt Gingrich is leading Mitt Romney nationally, but he wasn’t even on the radar screen in October when the first Swing State poll was released.

Ron Paul is running neck and neck with Newt Gingrich in the Iowa Caucuses. Mitt Romney is leading Newt in New Hampshire. The South Carolina Republican Primary is scheduled for January 21, 2012. The Florida Republican Primary is scheduled for January 31, 2012.

A month from now, we will be in a better position to know if we are seriously facing the prospect of a President Gingrich.


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