Daily Weather Briefing for Monday, October 14, 2019

Columbus Day

Widespread fog, mainly before 8am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy through midmorning, then gradual clearing, with a high in the upper 70s. Winds out of the north 3 to 5 mph.

Tonight

Mostly clear, with a low in the mid-to-upper 40s. Calm winds.

Tuesday

Increasing clouds, with a high in the upper 60s. Calm winds in the morning increasing to come out of the southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

Tuesday Night

Showers likely. Cloudy, with a low around 55. Light winds out of the southeast. Chance of rain is 70%.

Wednesday

A 40 percent chance of showers, mainly before 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high in the mid-to-upper 60s.

Wednesday Night

Mostly clear, with a low around 40.

Columbus Day

Sunny, with a high near 65. Winds out of the northwest 5 to 10 mph.

Tonight

Mostly clear, with a low around 50. Calm winds increasing to come out of the northwest around 5 mph by midnight.

Tuesday

A slight chance of rain before 8am, then showers likely, mainly after 5pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 60. Winds out of the west 5 to 10 mph shifting to come out of the south in the afternoon. Chance of rain is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

Tuesday Night

Showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Winds out of the south 3 to 5 mph. Chance of rain is 80%.

Wednesday

A 40 percent chance of showers, mainly before 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 60.

Wednesday Night

Mostly clear, with a low in the upper 30s.

Columbus Day

Sunny, with a high near 75. Calm winds in the morning increasing to come out of the northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.

Tonight

Mostly clear, with a low around 45. Calm winds.

Tuesday

A 50 percent chance of showers, mainly after 10am. Increasing clouds, with a high in the mid-to-upper 60s. Calm winds in the morning increasing to come out of the south around 5 mph in the afternoon. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

Tuesday Night

Showers likely. Cloudy, with a low in the mid-50s. Light winds out of the southeast. Chance of rain is 70%.

Wednesday

A 40 percent chance of showers, mainly before 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high in the low-to-mid 60s.

Wednesday Night

Mostly clear, with a low in the mid-30s.

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Oct 14 2019

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Melissa, located several hundred miles south of Newfoundland, Canada.

1. A broad area of low pressure is located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean just west of the west coast of Africa with disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or so while the disturbance moves west-northwestward to northwestward near or northeast of the Cabo Verde Islands. Strong upper-level winds should prevent any further development by midweek. This system is forecast to bring locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds to portions of the Cabo Verde Islands later today through Tuesday, and interests there should monitor the progress of this system.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent.

2. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the southwestern Caribbean Sea and parts of Central America are associated with a broad area of low pressure over eastern Honduras. This system is forecast to continue moving west-northwestward across northern Honduras, southern Belize, and northern Guatemala, which should prevent tropical cyclone formation for the next couple of days. By Wednesday, however, the low is forecast to emerge over the southern Bay of Campeche where conditions could become a little more conducive for some organization to occur. Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce heavy rains over portions of Central America during the next few days, which could cause flooding and mudslides, especially in mountainous areas.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.

3. A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic is producing disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms. While thunderstorm activity has increased since yesterday, upper-level winds are not particularly conducive for significant development of this system over the next couple of days while it moves westward at around 15 mph. By Wednesday, as the wave approaches the Windward Islands, upper-level winds are forecast to become quite hostile for any further development.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent.

Weather Extremes for Macon County for the month of October
Data available from 1872 to 2018

Highest Temperature 91°F in Franklin on 10-05-1954
Lowest Temperature 12°F in Highlands on 10-30-1910
Greatest Rainfall 9.91 inches in Highlands on 10-04-1964
Greatest Snowfall 1.0 inches in Highlands on 10-20-1913

Weather Extremes for North Carolina for the month of October
Data available from 1870 to 2018

Highest Temperature 102°F Albemarle, Stanly County 10-06-1954
Lowest Temperature 8°F Banner Elk, Avery County 10-21-1952
Greatest One-Day Rainfall 14.00 in Aberdeen, Moore County 10-16-1913
Greatest One-Day Snowfall 11.0 inches on Mount Mitchell, Yancey County on 10-25-1990

Monthly Averages

Warmest Weather Station 66.5°F Hatteras, Dare County
Coldest Weather Station 46.5°F Grandfather Mountain, Avery County
Wettest Weather Station 6.29 in Lake Toxaway, Transylvania County
Driest Weather Station 2.15 in Hot Springs, Madison County