Biden’s Polling Lead Has Collapsed

Joe Biden is collapsing. And it’s going to get worse for Biden in the coming weeks. Trump is riding high on an incredibly strong convention, an economy that is roaring back, and an energized voting base. In addition, Joe Biden will no longer be able to run his “prevent defense” campaign. Now that the race is essentially tied, Joe Biden is going to have to leave his basement and campaign outside. He is going to have to step onto the debate stage with President Trump, were his cognitive impairment will be further exposed. And don’t forget about the Durham Report that will likely be released to the public sometime after Labour Day. We have a long way to go, but it’s looking good for Team Trump.

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Biden’s Polling Lead Has Collapsed

By Dan Bongino, August 26, 2020

Just a month and a half ago, Rasmussen Reports had Joe Biden 10-points ahead of President Donald Trump in the polls. Now he’s only ahead by one point, within the margin of error.

Even if Biden’s now-slim lead in the polls were to remain frozen as of today, Trump would still have a clear path to an electoral college victory, as Hillary Clinton lead Trump in the popular vote by just over two points in the 2016 election.

While it is impossible to know the exact reason (or reasons) for Biden’s polling collapse, it comes as the economy continues to rebound from the coronavirus, riots continue to ravage liberal run cities longer than anyone expected (to no condemnation from Joe Biden and Kamala Harris), and a Democrat National Convention widely viewed to be a snoozefest was held.

It’s hard to imagine how anyone could’ve had their mind changed by the extended Zoom meeting that was the DNC, but the RNC is changing hearts and minds – or at least some.

Of note, Rasmussen was among the closest mainstream pollster in approximating the popular vote in the 2016 election. Rasmussen had Hillary Clinton up 1.7 points over Trump on election day 2016, while she ended up winning the popular vote by 2.1 points above him (48.2% vs. 46.1%). The Real Clear Politics average of polls had Hillary up for six points. Unlike the other polls, Rasmussen correctly saw Trump had a path to victory in the electoral college.