According to a running average of polls at Real Clear Politics, the polls in key swing states are almost identical to polls taken in 2016 which suggested Hillary Clinton would win. Real Clear Politics shows that in the most competitive swing states, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and North Carolina, Biden holds roughly the same size lead Hillary Clinton did last time around.
The RCP average polling numbers show Biden four points ahead in these states, compared to Clinton’s 3.5-point lead four years ago. It means that Biden is only 0.5 points ahead of the Democratic candidate who ultimately lost in key swing states and failed to win the 2016 presidential election.
Could 2020 see another surprise Trump victory?
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