Weekend Monkey And Rob's Election Predictions

The election is tomorrow, so I decided to bring former 2008 Democrat presidential candidate and very accurate election handicapper Weekend Monkey to the site to hear what he has to say since he’s been right much of the time. 

 Rob: Well Weekend, nice to see you again! 

 WM: Yeah, it’s been awhile.

 Rob: Last time we spoke, you told me this was too close to call and you weren’t taking any election bets this time.

WM: Well, that’s changed…There are still lots of weird elements this time on this one… but I’ve got enough data to make a prediction.Simple math

Rob: OK, shoot. 

WM: Well first we need to think about the odd elements this time. A lot is going to depend on whose counting those mail in ballots. There’s already been a lot of voter fraud discovered. But I think that aside from some very Blue states…

Rob: California, NY, Illinois, or maybe I should just say Chicago…

WM: Yeah. But I’d add a few more…Washington, maybe Nevada or Colorado, Minnesota’s a possible. And Detroit and Philly will certainly have voter fraud. The Dems are serious…they want Trump gone, and they want to take over. 

Rob: OK, it’s a given the Dems will cheat. It depends on how much and where. It’s also obvious they’re going to go nuts a turn their Antifa and BLM Brown Shirts loose if they lose, and the turmoil will probably go on for weeks..and another element is the possibility of unfaithful electors…they have a lotof money and some of these people might be easily bought.

WM: That’s another thing I’ve considered. For those of you who don’t know what Rob’s talking about, every state in the union has ‘electors’ who are sworn to certain Presidential candidates, depending on who wins the state’s votes. They’re supposed to vote for the winning candidate in their state. If they don’t they’re called ‘unfaithful electors.’

Rob: OK, so who wins?

WM: If this was a totally up and up election, I’d have to say Trump. Since it’s not, there are several ways this could go. 

I see Trump carrying the following states – Iowa, Florida, Ohio, Texas, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Georgia, Arkansas, Louisiana, South Carolina, Mississippi, and Alabama with Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin as probables. Maybe Minnesota.He’ll also likely take West Virginia, Kentucky, Idaho, Utah, the Dakotas, Nebraska and Kansas, and Alaska. That adds up  to 261. If Trump wins Minnesota, North Carolina or Pennsylvania, he wins. He only needs one.

Biden will almost certainly carry the West Coast. He’ll likely carry New Mexico and has a shot at Colorado and Nevada, 15 more votes if he gets them. He’ll take Illinois and Virginia, as well as New York, New Jersey, Delaware and Maryland. He’ll also take New England, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Rhode Island and Maine and Vermont and Hawaii.. That gives Biden 235 electoral votes. He also has a chance at North Carolina and  Minnesota, which would give him 10 votes from Minnesota and 15 votes from North Carolina. That would bring Biden to 260. If he takes Colorado (9 votes) and  Nevada (6 votes) it puts him over. Biden’s problem is that both North Carolina and Minnesota are iffy for him, and so is Nevada. And without every state listed above, he loses.

I would say the odds are with Trump unless major shenanigans take place. Especially since the news is being spread about his grifting and corruption over the years, I think he’s assumed an  odd smell to a lot of the voters. And Kamala Harris isn’t helping him much at all. She ‘s become more and more open about her far left views. And her and Bidens ‘Green New Deal’ is going to wreck America’s energy industry and lead to outrageous tax increases as well as a lot of lost jobs, and I don’t see people going for it. Plus even with the media basically campaigning for him, I think a lot of people don’t trust him.  And his mouth and his past has definitely alienated a decent chunk of the black and Hispanic vote.

Rob: I think Trump could easily wind up with 30% of the Black vote. and a large chunk of the Latino vote, simply because they see that his policies have directly helped them and their communities.

So you don’t see Biden getting North Carolina?

WM: Hard to tell but  I see it as an uphill climb for Biden. Biden still might win, but I think the odds are with Trump…

Rob: Well, we’ll see, Monkey. Until next time. By the way, were you surprised that your old flame Elizabeth Warren didn’t get on the ticket?

WM: After the way she treated me? I wouldn’t care if Biden made her coffee girl and office trash picker upper.

Rob: Ah, the ups and downs of love!

Weekend Monkey was a Democratic candidate for president in 2008

Rob Miller writes for Joshuapundit. His articles have appeared in The Jerusalem Post, The Washington Examiner, American Thinker, The Los Angeles Times, The Atlanta Journal-Constitution, The San Francisco Chronicle, Real Clear Politics, The Times Of Israel, Breitbart.Com, Yediot and other publications.