“Greed and Fear as Inverted Panic Continues”
“S&P 500 is down 12% from October highs and up 12% from December lows. The huge volatility and low liquidity, especially in late December, has managed shaking out many investors. In late December we wrote several articles on the many extreme readings that were hitting the markets such as an imploding TRADPAUS index, NYSE new lows, exploding VIX curve etc. We wrote:
‘AAII sentiment is so bearish, that we are starting to feel the contrarian in ourselves getting a bit excited about a possible mean reversion trade. As hedge funds were trapped long and wrong the urge to “hedge” in late December created the wash out move we saw. The entire violent period from early December to now has created a complex psychology among investors. People that wanted to buy the dip didn´t buy it, at least not enough. The shorts that looked like Gods only a few weeks ago are now sweating. Greed and fear is the number one driver of markets here.-”
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