All Hospital Beds in the US Will Be Filled With Patients 'by About May 8th' Due to Coronavirus: Analysis
Sunday, March 8, 2020 7:41
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“All Hospital Beds In The US Will Be Filled With Patients
‘By About May 8th’ Due To Coronavirus: Analysis”
by Tyler Durden
“A sobering analysis of how coronavirus is likely to impact the US healthcare system suggests that hospitals will be quickly overwhelmed with patients, and that all available beds will be filled by around May 8th if the virus tracks with Italy’s figures and 10% of patients require an ICU. Of note, the Straits Times reported last week that thousands of people were waiting for hospital beds in South Korea as the disease surges.
Liz Specht, a PhD in biology and the associate director of Science and Technology for the Good Food Institute laid out her concerns in a lengthy Twitter thread on Friday, which you can see here on Twitter, or continue reading below.
Liz Specht @LizSpecht, Mar 6, 2020: ”I think most people aren’t aware of the risk of systemic healthcare failure due to #COVID19 because they simply haven’t run the numbers yet. Let’s talk math. Let’s conservatively assume that there are 2,000 current cases in the US today, March 6th. This is about 8x the number of confirmed (lab-diagnosed) cases. We know there is substantial under-Dx due to lack of test kits; I’ll address implications later of under-/over-estimate.
• We can expect that we’ll continue to see a doubling of cases every 6 days (this is a typical doubling time across several epidemiological studies). Here I mean *actual* cases. Confirmed cases may appear to rise faster in the short term due to new test kit rollouts.
• We’re looking at about 1M US cases by the end of April, 2M by ~May 5, 4M by ~May 11, and so on. Exponentials are hard to grasp, but this is how they go.
• As the healthcare system begins to saturate under this case load, it will become increasingly hard to detect, track, and contain new transmission chains. In absence of extreme interventions, this likely won’t slow significantly until hitting >>1% of susceptible population.
• What does a case load of this size mean for healthcare system? We’ll examine just two factors – hospital beds and masks – among many, many other things that will be impacted. The US has about 2.8 hospital beds per 1000 people. With a population of 330M, this is ~1M beds. At any given time, 65% of those beds are already occupied. That leaves about 330k beds available nationwide (perhaps a bit fewer this time of year with regular flu season, etc).
Let’s trust Italy’s numbers and assume that about 10% of cases are serious enough to require hospitalization. (Keep in mind that for many patients, hospitalization lasts for *weeks* — in other words, turnover will be *very* slow as beds fill with COVID19 patients). By this estimate, by about May 8th, all open hospital beds in the US will be filled. (This says nothing, of course, about whether these beds are suitable for isolation of patients with a highly infectious virus.)
If we’re wrong by a factor of two regarding the fraction of severe cases, that only changes the timeline of bed saturation by 6 days in either direction. If 20% of cases require hospitalization, we run out of beds by ~May 2nd. If only 5% of cases require it, we can make it until ~May 14th. 2.5% gets us to May 20th. This, of course, assumes that there is no uptick in demand for beds from *other* (non-COVID19) causes, which seems like a dubious assumption.
As healthcare system becomes increasingly burdened, Rx shortages, etc, people w/ chronic conditions that are normally well-managed may find themselves slipping into severe states of medical distress requiring intensive care & hospitalization. But let’s ignore that for now.
Alright, so that’s beds. Now masks. Feds say we have a national stockpile of 12M N95 masks and 30M surgical masks (which are not ideal, but better than nothing). There are about 18M healthcare workers in the US. Let’s assume only 6M HCW are working on any given day. (This is likely an underestimate as most people work most days of the week, but again, I’m playing conservative at every turn.)
As COVID19 cases saturate virtually every state and county, which seems likely to happen any day now, it will soon be irresponsible for all HCWs to not wear a mask. These HCWs would burn through N95 stockpile in 2 days if each HCW only got ONE mask per day. One per day would be neither sanitary nor pragmatic, though this is indeed what we saw in Wuhan, with HCWs collapsing on their shift from dehydration because they were trying to avoid changing their PPE suits as they cannot be reused.
How quickly could we ramp up production of new masks? Not very fast at all. The vast majority are manufactured overseas, almost all in China. Even when manufactured here in US, the raw materials are predominantly from overseas… again, predominantly from China. Keep in mind that all countries globally will be going through the exact same crises and shortages simultaneously. We can’t force trade in our favor.
• Now consider how these 2 factors – bed and mask shortages – compound each other’s severity. Full hospitals + few masks + HCWs running around between beds without proper PPE = very bad mix. HCWs are already getting infected even w/ access to full PPE. In the face of PPE limitations this severe, it’s only a matter of time. HCWs will start dropping from the workforce for weeks at a time, leading to a shortage of HCWs that then further compounds both issues above.
We could go on and on about thousands of factors – # of ventilators, or even simple things like saline drip bags. You see where this is going.
Importantly, I cannot stress this enough: even if I’m wrong – even VERY wrong – about core assumptions like % of severe cases or current case #, it only changes the timeline by days or weeks. This is how exponential growth in an immunologically naïve population works.
• Undeserved panic does no one any good. But neither does ill-informed complacency. It’s wrong to assuage the public by saying “only 2% will die.” People aren’t adequately grasping the national and global systemic burden wrought by this swift-moving of a disease.
• I’m an engineer. This is what my mind does all day: I run back-of-the-envelope calculations to try to estimate order-of-magnitude impacts. I’ve been on high alarm about this disease since ~Jan 19 after reading clinical indicators in the first papers emerging from Wuhan. Nothing in the last 6 weeks has dampened my alarm in the slightest. To the contrary, we’re seeing abject refusal of many countries to adequately respond or prepare. Of course some of these estimates will be wrong, even substantially wrong. But I have no reason to think they’ll be orders-of-magnitude wrong. Even if your personal risk of death is very, very low, don’t mock decisions like canceling events or closing workplaces as undue “panic”.
• These measures are the bare minimum we should be doing to try to shift the peak – to slow the rise in cases so that healthcare systems are less overwhelmed. Each day that we can delay an extra case is a big win for the HC system. And yes, you really should prepare to buckle down for a bit. All services and supply chains will be impacted. Why risk the stress of being ill-prepared? Worst case, I’m massively wrong and you now have a huge bag of rice and black beans to burn through over the next few months and enough Robitussin to trip out.
• One more thought: you’ve probably seen multiple respected epidemiologists have estimated that 20-70% of world will be infected within the next year. If you use 6-day doubling rate I mentioned above, we land at ~2-6 billion infected by sometime in July of this year. Obviously I think the doubling time will start to slow once a sizeable fraction of the population has been infected, simply because of herd immunity and a smaller susceptible population.
But take the scenarios above (full beds, no PPE, etc, at just 1% of the US population infected) and stretch them out over just a couple extra months. That timeline roughly fits with consensus end-game numbers from these highly esteemed epidemiologists. Again, we’re talking about discrepancies of mere days or weeks one direction or another, but not disagreements in the overall magnitude of the challenge.
This is not some hypothetical, fear-mongering, worst-case scenario. This is reality, as far as anyone can tell with the current available data.That’s all for now. Standard disclaimers apply: I’m a PhD biologist but *not* an epidemiologist. Thoughts my own. Yadda yadda. Stay safe out there. /end”
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Trevor Bedford @trvrb, Mar 6: If growth continues unabated, this cluster alone may be responsible for 1100 (210, 2800) active infections by March 10 and 2000 (370, 5000) by March 15. 5/7
Source: http://coyoteprime-runningcauseicantfly.blogspot.com/2020/03/all-hospital-beds-in-us-will-be-filled.html
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Moronic ecstasy…..
Lets do a proper numer crunch – just to get A REAL tangible feel
Lets Start with 100,000 Lab Confirmed “CASES”
FORMER US GOV CDC – EXPERT OPINION
- A MIN – 950,000 – Will NEVER Have…. ANY Symptoms – Or Symptoms so mild – NOBODY WOULD NOTICE
Of the OTHER 50,000 ??
EXPERT MAINTREAM UK NEWSPAPER
97 % 48,500 – Would Not Need To Go To Hospital , Or Even See A Doctor – FACT !!
FULL CALCULATION FACT BELOW
Overall REAL iNFECTED >>>> Death outside CHINA >>>>> a miniscule 0.0014
ie JUST >>> 140 People DIE …. out of 100,000
- AND They Would Be The Usual >> ELDERLY, Sick, Those With Underlying Health Conditions
or Already With Only A Short Time To Live !!!
ALL A BIT INSIGNIFICANT REALLY – ISN’T IT ??? – WHEN YOU LOOK AT >>> REAL NUMBERS – REAL FACTS
Read The REAL Experts Below
………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
SOME – REAL TRUTH – REAL FACTS – REAL EXPERTS
>>> ALL LINKS … TO SOURCES …. GIVEN
THIS IS >>>EVERYTHING…. YOU NEED TO KNOW ….. ABOUT CARONAVIRUS !!!!!
READ ON >>>
…………………………………….
CARONAVIRUS IN PERPECTIVE
IMPORTANT – HOW DANGEROUS A VIRUS IS – IS NOT – TEST DISCOVERED INFECTIONS >> AS 95% >> HAVE NO; OR NEGLIGIBLE…. SYMPTOMS
>>>> THE IMPORTANT FACTOR IS
>>>> KILL RATE
……………………
CARONAVIRUS – KILL RATE
Real Figure – CHINA 0.0034
Real Figure – OUTSIDE China 0.0014
SO TINY – IT’S … INSIGNIFICANT & IRRELEVANT – IN VIRUS TERMS !!
AND….
As you will see below – March 3, 2020 The World Health Organization on Tuesday announced
among children….. and healthy adults …..
>>>> the mortality rate >>>> is close to zero.
……………………………………… FULL EXPLANATION / CALCULATION
For Simplicity Just Using CHINA Numbers & Round Up – 80,000 Cases 3,000 Deaths + as you will see from experts below
>>>> 10X known cases of INFECTED – But Not Recorded – As they NEVER Have Symptoms OR Too Mild To Notice
Thats 800,000 UNRECORDED CASES
Revise NOW 880,000 Cases (Recorded + Unrecorded 10X more) With … 3,000 Deaths
Death rate 3,000 divided by 880,000 = 0.0034 or in percentage terms 0.34%
March 3, 2020 The World Health Organization on Tuesday announced
- The illness has a much stronger chance of causing death…. in sick and elderly patients
while among children….. and healthy adults …..
>>>> the mortality rate >>>> is close to zero.
https://www.nationalreview.com/news/coronavirus-world-health-organization-announces-mortality-rate-has-jumped-to-3-point-4-percent/#slide-1
…………………………………………………………..
Death Rate OUTSIDE China
67 divided by 47,000 (4351 + 43,500 10X As Many Unrecorded – Infected NO/Mild Symptoms)
= 0.0014 or percentage 0.14%
…………………………………………….
BASED ON – QUOTE
28 February 2020 >>> WHO Director-General’s…. opening remarks
As of 6am Geneva time this morning,
Outside China, there are now 4351 cases>>>> in 49 countries, >>>>and 67 deaths.
https://www.who.int/dg/speeches/detail/who-director-general-s-opening-remarks-at-the-media-briefing-on-covid-19—28-february-2020
……………………………………………………………………………………………………
BBC U.K National News 02 March 2020
(214 Countries …..Or State Equivalents ….REPORT to The World Health Org.)
- World Health Organization (WHO) Its chief, Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus,
said >>>> Of the 62 countries ….reporting cases…. of infection,
>>> 38 of them had >>>> 10 or >> fewer, ….. he added.
Of the nearly 8,800 cases outside China, >>> 81% are in >>> just FOUR countries – Iran, South Korea, Italy and Japan.
AND >> Around eight countries >>>> have not reported new cases >>> for two weeks
CHINA >> Hubei. The province has registered >>>more than >>> 90% of the global fatalities.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-51712437
214 Countries Report To WHO – ONLY 62 HAVE REPORTED INFECTIONS….. & 38 OF THOSE >>>> LESS THAN ….10 CASES EACH
PUTS THINGS IN PERSPECTIVE DOESN’T IT – CARONAVIRUS
>>> A TOTAL…. DUDD….OF A VIRUS
…………………………………………………………………………………………………….
THESE ARE THE OTHER FACTS – THAT YOU REALLY >>> DO NEED TO KNOW
& WELL WORTH – YOUR TIME
READ ON >>>>
…………..…………………………………………………………………………………
An Opinion From A REAL – FULL MONTY QUALIFIED – WORLD EXPERT !!!
So MILD >>> 95% Of Cases >>> WON’T EVEN NEED TO GO … TO A DOCTOR !!!
Lets Hear From ….. Dr Craig Dalton is a public health physician and conjoint Associate Professor at the University of Newcastle, Australia.
He is a former CDC …… Epidemic Intelligence …. Service Officer
- and runs Flutracking.net one of the largest national surveillance systems …. for influenza-like illness in the world.
There are many countries with cases that haven’t ….. even detected their ….first cases yet.
They may have ….thousands of cases…. Before…. the first case is detected.
- Because …most cases >>>> wont go to a doctor ……
- In fact ….. most likely >>> 95% >>> are mild
(allowing for surveillance biases towards more severe cases).
https://seekingalpha.com/instablog/48606151-craig-dalton/5413058-update-analysts-are-starting-to-understand-coronavirus
……………………………………………………………………………………………………
ANOTHER EXPERT >>> CARONAVIRUS – SO MILD – YOU WOULDN’T… FIND CASES
>>> WITHOUT ….. MASS TESTING – & LOOKING FOR IT
Marc Lipsitch, professor of epidemiology >>> at the Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health. He noted that Guangdong, a province in China, conducted surveillance
- testing of 300,000 people in fever clinics
- to find about 420 positive cases.
“If you don’t look,>>>> you won’t find cases,” he said.
https://www.propublica.org/article/cdc-coronavirus-covid-19-test
REPEAT >> They Had – TO TEST – Nearly 1/3rd Of A MILLION Chinese – To Scrape up
>>>> JUST 420 (repeat 420) …. Positive Cases – Yes Moving Heaven & Earth To
>>> Hype Up The PROPAGANDA Figures !!
……………………..…..………..……………………………………………………..…………………
28 February 2020 >>> WHO Director-General’s…. opening remarks
As of 6am Geneva time this morning, China has reported a total of 78,959 cases of COVID-19 to WHO, including 2791 deaths.
Outside China, there are now 4351 cases>>>> in 49 countries, >>>>and 67 deaths.
Our greatest enemy right now ….is not the virus itself. …. It’s >>>> fear & rumours
https://www.who.int/dg/speeches/detail/who-director-general-s-opening-remarks-at-the-media-briefing-on-covid-19—28-february-2020
…………………………………………….
REPEAT WORLDWIDE … OUTSIDE CHINA >>> A TINY TINY INSIGNIFICANT NUMBER OF …. TOTAL DEATHS >>> JUST 67
….. BEING PREDOMINANTLY – THE USUAL _ THE OLD, – THOSE WITH SERIOUS UNDERLYING MEDICAL CONDITIONS – THE IMMUNO-COMPROMISED – AND THOSE ALREADY NEAR DEATH ANYWAY.
……………………………………………….
In contrast, in the US, the Centers of Disease Control estimate that so far for the 2019-20 season, at least …….
6 March 2020 – CDC estimates that so far this season there have been at least…. 32 million flu illnesses, 310,000 hospitalizations >>> and 18,000 deaths from flu.
>>> in the U.S, which has population ……of 330 million,……. about a quarter that of China.
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/index.htm
And there was virtually no coverage or concern regarding
- the Seasonal Flu,…… which in 2017 resulted >>>>> globally in 650,000 ….deaths.
https://www.globalresearch.ca/coronavirus-epidemic-who-declares-a-global-public-health-crisis-can-we-trust-the-who/5702360?utm_campaign=magnet&utm_source=article_page&utm_medium=related_articles
Caronavirus by comparison – is just a PI$$ In The Ocean !!
…………………………………………….
IN ADDITION FEB 25th
RECOVERIES – ARE ALREADY SURPASSING ……the total number of …..daily new infections
for the first time.
That occurred on February 19th, …. according to Johns Hopkins University tracking, when there were 439 new cases…. and approximately >>>> 1,800 recoveries.
The trend has continued since then >>> with fewer than 600 new confirmed COVID-19 cases each day >>>> and an even greater number ….of recoveries.
https://www.statista.com/chart/20943/new-daily-confirmed-covid-19-cases-and-recoveries
……………………………………………………………………………………………………….
YES … It’s A – Cute Pussycat Of A Virus – In VIRAL TERMS (Yes Really) – READ ON >>>>
Some TRUTH, FACTS & ACTUAL GENUINE USEFUL INFO
THE TRUTH IS >>> The Caronavirus PlayBook Is Already Written.
It’s just a repeat of ……the H1N1 Swine Flu (SARS, MERS, BIRD FLU, EBOLA) – They All Run
The Same – Fake Propaganda Virus Playbook
And We Are – Just heading into – Chapter 2.
So How Did SWINE FLU H1N1 PANDEMIC END >>> Well …, At The End Of 18 months of Swine Flu – Fear Porn
- The World Health Organisation WHO declared …. the pandemic over – & during the >>> 18 months it had killed JUST ..18,500 people globally
- averaging the figures of lab confirmed deaths – from the 214 countries that report to the W.H.O
>>>> That averages out at >>>> LESS THAN 90 (as in Ninety) …. Swine Flu Deaths Per Country
……………………………………………………………….
In Hindsight The 18 months of relentless fear porn fake propaganda headlines, >>> were over ……an insignificant, irrelevant virus – Killing On Average …. Just 90 People – PER Country !!
………………………………………………
QUOTE W.H.O OWN WEBSITE
6 August 2010 – As of 1 August 2010, worldwide… more than 214 countries and overseas territories or communities >>>> have reported laboratory confirmed cases …. of pandemic influenza H1N1 2009, including over >>> 18449 deaths.
LINK TO W.H.O. OFFICIAL WEBSITE Confirmation Of Above FACT !! >>> https://www.who.int/csr/don/2010_08_06/en/
And – This CARONAVIRUS >>> Will Be A Repeat.
……………………………………..
Caronavirus Took 2 Months/60 Days To Kill 2,400 (ie a TINY 40 Per Day)
- of old, sick, frail, immuno-compromised and already on their last legs Chinese
- Up to 95% of Infected – Have Symptoms – So Mild – They Won’t Even Notice
- and in most countries – hasn’t even reached a THOUSAND infected
Regular Annual Flu – Kills 88,000 …Chinese per year
7 Million Chinese… Die Of All Causes Per Year
-vs- Caronavirus – UNDER 3,000 !!!
Read the facts – Engage Brain & Common Sense – It’s an insignificant irrelevance – the rest is Rinse & Repeat VIRAL FEAR PORN
……………………………………………………….…
LETS GET AN OVERALL OPINION FROM EXPERTS – AT THE UK NATIONAL HEALTH SERVICE (PUBLISHED IN A UK NATIONAL NEWSPAPER) – THE INDEPENDENT
28/Feb/2020 …. QUOTE….
“As a member of the public….. you might get… coronavirus
>>> but your chances…. of being ill …. and in hospital >>>>>is not high.
On a person …. by person basis >>>>>> IT IS NOTHING TO WORRY ABOUT
(UNQUOTE)
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/health/coronavirus-uk-deaths-nhs-intensive-care-flu-wise-men-protocol-a9361916.html
…………………………………………………………………………………
So – Total Prepping Required – IF you are one of the …very few that do get infected
- and NOT one of the 90/95% infected that exhibit >>> NO Symptoms
Or Symptoms >>>> So MILD – You Would’t Even Notice Them …..
- then…………
It may be prudent to perhaps – buy a small box ….of paper hankerchiefs/tissues… & Voila …..FULLY PREPPED & Ready
>>> READ ON
…………………………………
LETS GET INITIAL OFFICIAL >>> GOVERNMENT CONFIRMATION ….(Fuller Details Lower Down on THE ACTUAL NUMBERS)
………….CANADIAN GOVERNMENT / HEALTH CANADA …………….
QUOTE “coronaviruses are common …..and are typically associated ….with mild illnesses,
similar to the common cold. (Unquote)
QUOTE >>> Those who are infected with COVID-19 may >>>>have little to >>> NO symptoms.
You may… NOT KNOW ……you have symptoms ….of COVID-19
because they are similar to …. a COLD or flu. (UNQUOTE)
https://www.canada.ca/en/public-health/services/diseases/2019-novel-coronavirus-infection/symptoms.html
(& see Quotes At Bottom)
…………………………………….…………….
For the… very few …that do get infected noticeable symptoms, …. typical signs include
- A RUNNY NOSE
- A COUGH
- A SORE THROAT / Fever (high temperature).
The vast majority of patients – at least 97 per cent, ….. based on available data – will recover from these
>>>> without any issues ….. or medical help.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-7987001/Death-toll-killer-coronavirus-10-TIMES-higher-average-Chinas-Hubei-province.html
………………………………………………….
Its such a happy clappy insignificant symptoms virus – its about as pleasant as you could make – thank you to God or Whoever
- A Good Job !
Lest We Forget ….. Oooooh 200 .. Cases …Out Of 300 MILLION Americans – That’s ‘erm, well – nicely .… very significantly ….LESS than a PI$$ In The Ocean…. too really ….isn’t it
And Based On How Things Have Gone In CHINA So Far – It A case Of >>>> READ ON
…………………………………………………………………………………………….
MOVE ALONG FOLKS – NOTHING TO SEE HERE – ALL OVER – JUST MOVE ALONG – GET ON WITH YOUR LIVES
CHINA
Yes 2,400 Died Of Caronavirous in 2 months (60 Days) – An Average >>> Really VERY TINY >> 40 Deaths A Day
- Seasonal Flu Kills An Average 88,000 Per Year (Caronavirus Has Managed 2,400)
- 7 MILLION Chinese Die Per Year – Caronavirus Has Accounted For 2,400
And Studies/Reports State whilst there are only 80,000 Confirmed Infections – There Will be >>> 10X that number
- YES 3/4 MILLION + with Symptoms SO MILD – they Won’t EVEN NOTICE THEM
………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
So Move Along Folks – Everywhere Is Opening Up Again – Just Move Along Folks – It Was Just The Usual Fear PORN – Move Along …CONTINUED
INTERNATIONAL NEWS CHANEL RT NEWS ….. Evidence …..
>>>> Propaganda Fatigue ….Setting In
Already Macau CHINA , the world’s biggest gambling hub, …..will allow casinos to…. resume operations from…. February 20,
…. after authorities imposed a two-week suspension to curb the coronavirus’ spread, authorities said on Monday,
Macau has not reported >>> any new cases of the virus>>> since February 4, … officials said (As At 20 Feb)
.
There have been >>>> ONLY 10 … confirmed cases of the virus >>> in total there.
Government services, which had mostly been suspended since the start of February, ….. have gradually resumed operations this week.
https://www.rt.com/newsline/481005-macau-casinos-virus-fear/
So Move Along Folks – Move Along – Nothing To see Here – Get On With Life – It’s All Over Folks 2,400 deaths and new cases plummeting -
DEATHS >> Predominantly Sick, Elderly, Immunocompromised, & usual already on their last legs ….. out of 1.3 BILLION CHINESE
………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
NB 10 February 2020 BLOOMBERG
The new coronavirus might have infected….. at least 500,000 people in Wuhan, ….the Chinese city at the epicenter of the global outbreak, …..by the time it peaks in coming weeks.
But…… most of those people…..>>>> won’t even know it.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-02-08/virus-outbreak-in-wuhan-may-soon-peak-with-more-than-5-infected
…………………………………………….
LOS ANGELES TIMES
Thousands of people in China and elsewhere ….have been infected ….. but have had…
>>>> such mild reactions that >>>> no one even noticed,
- said Dr. Tom Inglesby, director of the Center for Health Security at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health.
https://www.latimes.com/science/story/2020-01-24/china-coronavirus-panic
……………………………………………………………………………………………..
The UK’s NATIONAL BBC News COMMENTS
– Re INFECTED – HAVING SUCH MILD REACTIONS >>> NO ONE NOTICED
>>> FROM THE LARGEST STUDY TO DATE (The paper by the CCDC, released on Monday and published in the Chinese Journal of Epidemiology, looked at more than 44,000 confirmed cases of Covid-19 in China as of 11 February
………………………………….
– So Known Infections Quoted In Study – 72,436 x 10 = 724,000 Who Will Have Had Symptoms – Too Mild – To Notice
– YES >> ¾ Million
…………………………………..
BBC – QUOTE >>> Re The Known 72,436 infections
- Scientists have estimated there could be …..10 times as many people infected ….. as are ending up in the official statistics.
That ALSO means the….. overall death rate IN THE REST OF CHINA (Outside Hubei) is likely to be
>>> lower than the 0.4% (rest of China) reported in this study (ie 10X LOWER – Making the death rate potentially ONLY 0.04)
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-china-51540981
……………………………………………………………………..
So Theres Proof Of Precedence – How This Caronavirus Runs
So Ignore the PROPAGANDA FEAR PORN – ENGAGE BRAIN PUT COMMON SENSE IN GEAR & JUST PARTY ON
WHY are people panic buying toilet paper and tomato soup??? Anyone know?
GOT IT! Will report back on May 8th.