The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on February 08 2023

When will Russian offensive begin?

Ukraine expects new Russian offensive as troops mass in Donbas

Russia’s Offensive Starts Soon? No, It’s Already Begun! 8 Feb 23 Ukraine Map Update

That’s why Putin’s Russia became the ‘Blood Enemy’ of the West! [BORZZIKMAN's Explanation]

U.S. will not be a superpower if Russia wins in Ukraine

Moscow warns Western military aid to Ukraine could lead to ‘unpredictable’ escalation of war

The Kremlin is considering declaring the Ukrainian Nazi Regime illegitimate……………………..finally.

Putin has been reported to be holding an operational meeting with members of the Russian Security Council
It’s the first time a meeting of this level has been held at night

Operation “DAGGER”: 

Lieutenant Colonel Maciej Korowaj presents a hypothetical course of a probable Russian offensive on Ukraine. – “I developed it based on the RUS operational methodology.  Given the complexity of the topic, I have limited myself to the key issues.  The thread shows the course of the entire operation in (4) stages.
 

Minimum parameters of fighting in the auxiliary direction in the first stage of the operation RUS fire superiority 7:1 attack up to 10 km/day. Main direction II and III stage 5:1 up to 15 km/day. At the key points of the 10:1 operation. Average in operation 3:1 and up to 10km/day.

1st Stage (up to 3 days) hitting the 1st throw in the auxiliary direction from the east to the direction of Kiev. Pressure in the northern direction (Regional Grouping of Forces) and in the Donbass. RUS achieve strategic surprise as to the strength and direction of the strike.

The topic of strategic redeployment is strongly emphasized by RUS and regularly trained, whether in own or allied exercises. An example is, for example, “ZAPAD 2017″ and the annual exercise of the crypt railway troops. “ECHELON”.
 

Strategic or operational surprise is achieved by RUS through tgz. “Żabi Skok” of the main forces of the Operational Union in the direction of the strike no later than 3 days before the start of the operation. 1st throw units up to 24h for 2nd throw units 72h. The third flush is about 2-3 weeks.

The OC’s entry into combat is smooth. A few days or a week before the strike, elements of the reconnaissance and forward command system are deployed along with support units. Nevertheless, it is difficult to clearly state the intention of action. They often maneuver or demonstrate.
Image
 

The 2nd stage of the operation (5-6 days) is the entry of the 2nd wave. Continued attack towards Kiev. At the same time, an attack from the south flanking the main SZU forces in Donbass.
 

The 3rd stage of the operation (day 10-12) is the entry of all the forces of the 2nd echelon simultaneously with the planned change of the direction of the main attack from east to south and the continuation of the attack from south to north. At the same time, strikes are made on the Dnieper crossings.
 

4th stage of the operation (day 20-30) the main objective is to capture the key area by the forces of the 3rd echelon and the separated 2nd echelon. At that time, the forces of the first echelon should restore combat readiness and move to the operation reserve. RUS in this case will retain the operational initiative.

Taking into account the changes in the RUS command and previous actions such as: reducing artillery fire, forcing UKR to disperse air defense units over critical infrastructure, “disappearance” of many select units from the front – something is afoot. If you like it, pass it on.”

Ukraine Braces for Grisly Russian Offensive in the East

 
Russia is sending more bodies. Ukraine doesn’t have enough. And the tanks won’t arrive in time.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/02/08/ukraine-russia-counteroffensive-abrams-tanks-putin-war/

“We expect in the next 10 days a new, huge invasion,” a Ukrainian military official, speaking on condition of anonymity to talk about intelligence matters, told Foreign Policy. Over the weekend, Ukrainian Defense Minister Oleksii Reznikov said that he expects a surge in Russian operations around the upcoming anniversary of the invasion on Feb. 24. 

Russia has also begun arming up and digging in for a coming offensive. The Ukrainian military estimates that Russia already has 1,800 tanks, 3,950 armored vehicles, 2,700 artillery systems, 810 Soviet-era multiple-rocket-launch systems such as Grad and Smerch, 400 fighter jets, and 300 helicopters ready for the new wave of attacks, the official said. 

Karolina Hird, a Russia analyst with the Institute for the Study Of War, said there has been a continued trickle of reports that suggest mobilization efforts are quietly continuing. “We’re seeing continued reports of people getting mobilization summonses or, for example, employers, enterprises, getting lists of employees that they need to send to the military registration office.” 

“I don’t know how we’re going to withstand this counteroffensive. It’s going to be extremely difficult,” said Sasha Ustinova, a Ukrainian lawmaker. “We don’t have enough rounds, or I mean—anything. The tanks are going to be later. Everything is going to be later. By the time they send us Abrams, we will already have seen how the Russian counteroffensive goes.”

About the impending large-scale provocation of the CIPSO on the border of Russia. By @rybar:

Against the backdrop of the “Bakhmut (Artemovsk) meat grinder” and the local successes of the Russian army in other areas, the Ukrainian leadership is facing a moral decline in the ranks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

Many have already managed to appreciate the footage from Ukrainian cities, in which employees of military registration and enlistment offices forcibly twist recruits and send them to slaughter.

In a situation where Kiev is waiting for a Russian offensive from the north, and total mobilization is still far from complete, the leadership of Ukraine is critically in need of demonstrative actions to boost morale. And such events will soon be implemented.

❗️Rybar’s team analyzed the plan for preparing information and psychological operations in the territories of the Russian Federation bordering Ukraine with Ukraine.

▪️Special services of Ukraine plan to distribute:

➖information about the offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the Belgorod and Kursk regions, allegedly with the aim of exchanging these territories for the liberated areas of Donbass;

➖reports of skirmishes motivated by interethnic hatred, the preparation of “blocking detachments” of the fighters of the National Guard and military personnel from the Chechen Republic, as well as a record of complaints from Russian military personnel about supplies.

Information work will be accompanied by real provocations

 Against the backdrop of the announcement of the preparation of strike drone formations, the Ukrainian side plans to simulate a massive UAV launch using LRAD-100X acoustic emitters.

The main goal of the drone attack simulation is to provoke the activation of the work of Russian electronic warfare and electronic warfare systems with noise, and divert the attention of the RF Armed Forces from performing regular tasks.

The acoustic equipment will also broadcast the sound of chainsaws, generators and engineering equipment to simulate the work of building strongholds on the border.

@rybar

Today, Russian artillery has been working all day on targets in the Sumy region of Ukraine; between five and seven massive artillery attacks were reported during the day.

This has never happened before.

Sumy  region

During the day, information is received about artillery strikes on the border positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Sumy region. Our artillery has previously delivered strikes, eliminating enemy firing points in response to shelling of Russian territory. However, today the intensity is higher.

The enemy in this direction has been showing external activity since yesterday, indicating preparations for an early defense. Positions are fortified, the area is mined.

Residents of the city of Sumy talk about audible explosions, some see signs of preparations for the evacuation of the regional administration.

Publicist Lars Berne on SwebbTV (https://inosmi.ru/20230203/shvetsiya-260304184.html) stated that Russia planned to demilitarize Ukraine but is demilitarizing NATO instead.

📌 Lars added that the Alliance is voluntarily sending its own weapons to Ukraine for disposal. In doing so, NATO risks being left without any protection at all.
“Some Western countries have already completely exhausted their stockpiles of weapons.”

📌 The expert, unfortunately, did not say that Western weapons in Ukraine are used to purposefully kill Russian-speaking civilians in the DNR, LNR, Zaporozhye, and Kherson regions rather than to protect Ukrainian fighters.

Zelenskyy Arrives to Meet Britain’s King Charles

Sunak & King Charles Meet With Zelensky. UK Promises Long Range Weapons Pilot Training To Kiev

London escalates, Russian offensive, German tanks, anti-war movement

Ukraine President Zelenskiy seeks combat aircraft from UK

Britain to train Ukrainian military pilots and Marines —The Telegraph (https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/02/08/ukraine-russia-war-latest-news-zelensky-uk-visit-parliament/#1675847674762)

Downing Street has announced plans to expand training for the Armed Forces of Ukraine to sea and air – including fighter jet pilots and marines – and accelerate the supply of military equipment.

The training would ensure pilots are able to fly sophisticated Nato-standard fighter jets in the future, it said in a statement.
Calls to send Ukraine Western-made fighter jets like the F-16 have intensified in recent weeks, after Ukraine’s pleas for main battle tanks were answered.

The UK will also offer Ukraine long-range weapons to counter Russia, the media reported on Wednesday

Government Press release (https://www.gov.uk/government/news/pm-extends-ukraine-military-training-to-pilots-and-marines-as-president-zelenskyy-makes-first-visit-to-the-uk-since-russian-invasion)

Zelensky meets King and thanks Britain ‘in advance’ for fighter jets

Earlier Mr Zelensky urged Britain to send fighter jets to Ukraine to defend against the Russian invasion, as he visited London ahead of an expected offensive by Vladimir Putin’s forces in the coming months.

In a speech to parliament, the Ukrainian president thanked Britain “in advance for powerful English planes”, which he has repeatedly asked for in a bid to gain advantage over Russia in the skies.

Prime Minister Rishi Sunak earlier announced Britain would train Ukrainian fighter pilots to fly Nato jets,a sign the UK may be set to retreat from its refusal to supply Kyiv with planes.

An interesting article from the American Seymour Hersh, who is an investigative journalist and political writer.

He’s won numerous awards such as the Polk Award 5 times, the George Orwell Award and the Pulitzer Prize once each, that was back when the Pulitzer Prize meant something.

He was famous for reporting on stories such as the My Lai Massacre in Vietnam, the Watergate Scandal, the secret Israeli Nuclear Weapons Programme, the and the mistreatment and murder of Iraqis at Abu Ghraib Prison to name a few.

Here he discusses the Nordstream Oil Pipeine and the possibility of the United States being the culprits behind the destruction.

Here is the link to his substack:

https://seymourhersh.substack.com/p/how-america-took-out-the-nord-stream

Ukrainian Nazis murdered our POWs again! The world must know the truth about the war crimes of the Kiev militants.

And our guys also need to know the truth and prepare to fight the enemy to the end.
@RVvoenkor

Archangels of Spetsnaz:
@rusich_army:

Everyone has already seen the video where our guys were shot AGAIN. These demons (I’m not ashamed of this word) will burn in hell for these actions,  the khokhols have relaxed too much, they think of themselves too much, I think the product “501” should knock on Ze’s office for war crimes.

Joker DPR on the POW execution video

“I will give a double bonus to my spy or hacker who is the first to get me the data of the Ukrainian military who are involved in the executions of prisoners. I want to hunt them down. The prize will be well worth it.”

[ Bakhmut Front ] Ukraine line collapsed entirely N of Bakhmut / W of Soledar; road to Slovyansk cut

Bakhmut in CRITICAL situation. How long can Ukraine hold out? Ukraine-Russia-War Situation Report

NORTHERN DONBASS FRONT LINES MOVING

Russian invasion of Ukraine [8 Feb 2023] ‘Today’ – eastern front update

Russian BREAKTHROUGH Past Ukrainian Defensive Line

“Bakhmut is in trouble, Russians are tearing down the road to Kostyantynivka, they have activated the air force,” Ukrainian resources

Ukrainian Interior Ministry Pavlo Dyachenko told TV details of the operational situation.

“Also in the east now the commander of the Ground Forces, Syrskyy. The stakes are at maximum.”

“It’s very hot near Bakhmut now, the Russians are tearing at the road to Konstantinovka.

“The Russians are having successes in the private sector. They have not yet reached the road to Kostyantynivka.”

“Artillery on both sides is working at full capacity 24/7,” Kiev resources write.

Wagner cut off most of the AFU Supply Lines of #Bakhmut

According to “Come and See (https://t.me/smotri_z/10931)”, the Wagner PMC Assault Squads have managed to cut off most of the Ukrainian garrison’s supply routes to #Bakhmut.

“Only the route to Chasov Yar remains. Russian SRGs are already operating in its area,” the channel’s source said.

The final blockade of #Bakhmut is the primary task at the moment. Without supplies, the AFU garrison will be doomed.

We are waiting for further confirmation!

Latest from the front: It is reported that in Artemovsk (Bakhmut) any connection has completely disappeared – Russian electronic warfare systems are working 

Battle of Artemovsk, February 9
“Wagner” continues operation to encircle AFU in Bakhmut
Still no operational encirclement,but DRG(diversion and recon groups) working on the road at Krasne,connecting Bakhmut

Zelensky said in an interview with Le Figaro that the Ukrainian military should stay in Bakhmut until Ukraine receives the necessary weapons.

He added that from a strategic point of view, Bakhmut is not very important, because the city was completely destroyed by artillery shelling.

“If they take Bakhmut, they will want to go further. This will give them an advantage. The question is what will happen after Bakhmut?”

Mykola very happy to die in strategically unimportant Bakhmut while Zelebobka giggle with overlords abroad

According to some Ukrainian TG channels, in Bakhmut (Artemovsk), there is a Ukrainian group of about ten thousand, which is supplied by the one remaining road. If this road is cut, then the whole group will be in the cauldron, without a chance.

It seems that they are deliberately set up in order to have a reason for reshuffling the leadership of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, as well as in order to beg the West for new weapons.

Clashes between Russian forces and Ukrainian Army continue in the center of Mar’inka/Мар’їнка without significant changes. The town is completely destroyed after nearby one year of clashes. First video shows Russian tanks targeting former supermarket  at Druzhby avenue while at the end of the second video the target is a house 200 metres back

The Armed Forces of Ukraine tried to counterattack in the Ugledar direction, but were discovered by scouts from the 36th brigade. The attack was repulsed, and the enemy infantry fighting vehicles were already blown up by mines during the retreat.

Ugledar is a grind for both sides. Ukrainian forces are extremely dense in the region which is detrimental against artillery and the advance on Ugledar is through fairly open fields attacking a high point with tall buildings for observation

Russian Defence Ministry Report on the Progress of the Special Military Operation (8 February 2023)

The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue the special military operation.

💥 In Kupyansk direction, the attacks, launched by Ground-Attack and Army aviation, as well as the artillery of the ‘Zapad’ Group of Forces, have resulted in the neutralisation of the manpower and hardware of the units from 14th and 92nd Mechanised Brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukrane (AFU) near Olshanka, Pershotravnevoye, Krakhmalnoye, Berestovoye (Kharkov region), and Novosyolovskoye (Lugansk People’s Republic).

◽️ Over 35 Ukrainian personnel, 1 armoured personnel carrier, and 1 motor vehicle have been eliminated.

💥 In Krasny Liman direction, Operational-Tactical and Army aviation, the artillery, and flamethrower systems of the ‘Tsentr’ Group of Forces have neutralised the manpower and hardware of the units from 66th Mechanised, 25th Airborne, 95th Airborne Assault, and 81st Airmobile Brigades of the AFU near Stelmakhovka, Chervonopopovka, Chervonaya Dibrova, Kuzmino (Lugansk People’s Republic), and Terny (Donetsk People’s Republic).

◽️ Over 130 Ukrainian personnel, 1 infantry fighting vehicle, 3 armoured fighting vehicles, 1 Grad multiple-launch rocket system (MLRS), as well as one ordnance depot of 66th Mechanised Brigade of the AFU have been eliminated near Podliman (Kharkov region).

💥 In Donetsk direction, the offensive and firepower operations, conducted by the ‘Yug’ Group of Forces, have resulted in the elimination of over 140 Ukrainian personnel, 1 tank, 3 pickups, 3 motor vehicles, and 1 Msta-B howitzer.

◽️ 2 AFU ordnance depots have been destroyed near Avdeyevka and Slavyansk (Donetsk People’s Republic).

💥 In South Donetsk direction, Army Aviation and the artillery of the ‘Vostok’ Group of Forces have neutralised the units from 72nd Mechanised, 1st Tank, and 35th Marine Brigades of the AFU near Ugledar and Vodyanoye (Donetsk People’s Republic).

◽️ Up to 75 Ukrainian personnel, 1 tank, 1 infantry fighting vehicle, 3 armoured fighting vehicles, and 2 motor vehicles have been eliminated.

◽️ 3 AFU ordnance and fuel depots have been destroyed by the artillery near Novomikhaylovka, Ugledar, and Dobrovolye (Donetsk People’s Republic).

💥 In Kherson direction, counterbattery warfare operations have resulted in the destruction of 1 AFU mortar crew near Olgovka (Kherson region).

💥 Operational-Tactical and Army aviation, Missile Troops and Artillery of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation have neutralised 74 AFU artillery units at their firing positions, manpower and military hardware in 123 areas.

💥 In Kharkov, the workshops at an aircraft industrial enterprise, that modernised unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) and loitering munitions, have been destroyed.

◽️ Moreover, the headquarters of 79th Airborne Assault Brigade of the AFU has been neutralised near Krasnogorovka (Donetsk People’s Republic).

💥 Air defence facilities have shot down 11 rocket-propelled projectiles, launched by HIMARS MLRS, and 10 UAVs near Zhitlovka, Stelmakhovka, Krasnorechenskoye (Lugansk People’s Republic), Skelki, Verkhnyaya Krinitsa (Zaporozhye region), Staraya Zburyevka (Kherson region), Trudovskoy, Kuybyshevo (Donetsk People’s Republic), and Tabayevka (Kharkov region).

Special Operation, 8 Feb 2023, Main; pub. 21:31⚡️

▪️ The Russian Ministry of Defence (MoD) said that the workshops of a Ukrainian aerospace industry enterprise in #Kharkov, where drones were being upgraded, have been destroyed;

▪️ According to MoD, more than 380 Ukrainian military personnel have been destroyed in key areas;

▪️ MoD added that Russian air defence assets destroyed 11 HIMARS MLRS rounds and 10 Ukrainian drones in a day;

▪️ The RF Armed Forces have destroyed two Ukrainian ammunition depots near #Avdeyevka and #Slavyansk in the DPR, MoD stressed;

▪️ Pasechnik, LPR’s acting head, said that Ukrainian troops have recently been mainly targeting hospitals in the LPR; Kiev used to carry out chaotic strikes, but now the targets are selective;

▪️ London is considering handing over British fighter jets to Kiev, the Wall Street Journal said;

▪️ The Telegraph newspaper said that training of the first Ukrainian pilots on British warplanes will start in spring;

▪️ Britain’s supply of fighter jets to Kiev will have military and political implications for the European continent and the world, the Russian embassy said;

▪️ Scholz said Berlin would not engage in “speculation” about deliveries of combat aircraft and submarines to #Ukraine.

War Map and the Situation on the Fronts in the Evening of 8 Feb 2023; pub. 00:06⚡️

🎖 Igor Mangushev, a hero of Novorossiya, passed away today. The RF Armed Forces captain with the call sign “Bereg”, who joined (https://t.me/readovkanews/52228) the militia back in 2014, was practically shot at point-blank range in the rear. He was unable to recover from his grievous wound and died. As of now, no official information has emerged about the incident.

⚔️ Situation on the Fronts for the past Day

🔹 #Svatovo – #Kremennaya Direction:

➖ The Ministry of Defence reported air, artillery and TLS actions in the areas of #Stelmakhovka, #Chervonopopovka, Chervonaya Dibrova, #Kuzmino LPR and Terny DPR. As a result of the strikes on four AFU brigades, the enemy lost over 130 fighters, BMPs, three armoured vehicles and Grad MLRS.

🔹#Artyomovsk (#Bakhmut) Sector:

➖ Ramzan Kadyrov stated (https://t.me/readovkanews/52241) about the capture of an important stronghold of the AFU near #Berestovoye DNR (figure 2). The fortifications have been taken by Akhmat fighters and the 2nd Brigade of the LPR.
➖ According to Strelkov, Wagner PMC fighters have taken Krasnaya Gora (figure 1), but there is no confirmation from the “bandwagon” yet. Also ours are advancing in the south of #Artyomovsk (number 3), data from the other side is also telling.

🔹#Donetsk Direction:

➖ The Russian army continues its assault on #Maryinka. Our forces were able to advance along Oktyabrskaya Street, also the Russian fighters came close to the northern part of Druzhba Avenue. Our forces also gained a foothold near the tyre repair plant.
➖ Meanwhile, the Russian Ministry of Defense said that three pickup trucks, a tank, more than 140 militants and an Msta-B howitzer were destroyed in this direction during the day. Additionally, two depots of the AFU were destroyed in the districts of #Avdeyevka and #Slavyansk.

#Chronicle of the Special Military Operation for 8 Feb 2023⚡️

⚠️ All @Rybar map reports and more Rybar content are accurately translated on t.me/sitreports!

🔹#Kursk Region:

▪️ The AFU shelled a power station in the village of #Tetkino. At least 8 arrivals were recorded. Two settlements, #Tetkino and Popovo-Lezhachi, were without electricity.

🔹#Starobelsk Direction:

▪️ In the #Kupyansk sector, Russian units supported by artillery continue to push through the enemy defence in #Sinkovka.

▪️ In the #Liman sector, Russian troops continue their offensive, reinforce their positions, as well as conduct reconnaissance of the enemy’s forward positions.

🔹#Lugansk People’s Republic:

▪️ The AFU terrorists shelled civilian targets in #Pisarevka and #Novodruzhesk. One civilian was killed and another wounded.

🔹#Bakhmut Sector:

▪️ Outside #Bakhmut (#Artyomovsk) fighting continues near Krasnaya Gora and #Paraskoviyevka, with Wagner Assault Squads consolidating success and expanding their area of control.

▪️ Russian forces continue fighting in #Bakhmut itself, steadily advancing in the city limits.

▪️ In addition, there are unconfirmed reports that the #Bakhmut – #Slavyansk highway has been cut.

🔹#Donetsk Direction (MAP (https://t.me/sitrepmaps/1114)):

▪️ In #Maryinka, Russian troops managed to break behind Druzhba Avenue and occupy the ruins of a school and muncipal buildings on the northern outskirts of the town.
➖ Ukrainian formations are trying to hold back the RF Armed Forces by shelling the eastern part of #Maryinka.

▪️ The enemy terrorists shelled populated areas of the #Donetsk agglomeration with barrel and rocket artillery. Residential buildings in the Petrovsky district of #Donetsk were hit, two civilians were killed.

🔹#Zaporozhye Direction:

▪️ Russian air defence shot down several AFU drones near# Berdyansk in #Zaporozhye region.

🔹#Kherson Direction on Southern Front:

▪️ Mutual artillery attacks continue in the #Kherson region, with Russian forces hitting enemy targets near #Kherson, #Antonovka and #Ivanovka.
➖ In turn, the Ukrainian terrorist formations shelled residential buildings and civilian infrastructure in Novaya Kakhovka.

“Sanctions on Russian Crude Oil Have Failed Completely” – Paul Sankey

Debunking claims that Zelensky asked NATO for ‘pre-emptive’ nuclear strikes against Russia

RT News | Livestream 24/7