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The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on April 21 2023

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Bakhmut Front Update [21 April 2023]

Russia CUTTING Key Supply Line To Bakhmut

Wagner Swipes Through West BAKHMUT with FAB-500s

Drone attack. The Russians are advancing in Khromovo.

Nonstop Russian Advance | 3 to 1 Numerical Advantage in Bakhmut

The head of the Wagner PMCS, Yevgeny Prigozhin, commented on the rumors about the alleged boiler for the AFU in Bakhmut, which began to spread in the morning with the filing of the adviser to the head of the DPR, Yan Gagin.

“It’s too early to talk about the formation of a boiler for the APU in Bakhmut, as before, they are in the so-called operational environment when the roads are shot through. There are heavy battles going on. And those who talk their tongues outright – they only create problems for us.”

Options for the AFU in #Bakhmut – Analysis by Military Chronicles⚡️
 
On 20 and 21 April, reports emerged that Wagner PMC fighters, with fire support by the airborne troops, had approached the O-0506 route between #Bakhmut and Chasov Yar. After this, the position of the AFU in #Bakhmut could deteriorate considerably.

🔹What is this Route and why is it so important?

Route O-0506 connected the western stronghold of the AFU in Chasovy Yar directly to the city. It passes through the village of #Khromovo and was used by the AFU directly from Chasov Yar to the western neighbourhoods of #Bakhmut. Prior to the advancement of the Wagner PMCs inside the city blocks, #Bakhmut could also be reached by another route – via the southwestern route T-0504, bypassing #Krasnoye.

Route O-0506 was the last relatively safe road through which supplies and reinforcements could be brought in and the wounded transported out.

🔹What is happening in #Bakhmut now:

As the “Bandwagon” advanced deeper into #Bakhmut, fire control over the AFU supply routes intensified, with the result that Ukrainian forces began to lose up to 90% of the equipment and people sent to #Bakhmut not only from Chasov Yar, but also from #Konstantinovka, #Druzhkovka, and #Toretsk.

At the moment, the AFU retains control of no more than 10% of the city: Ukrainian troops are in the Novy and Cherema neighbourhoods, School No. 18 and defending from Chernyakhovsky Street in #Khromovo. “Orchestra” crushes the enemy from the north in the area of Metallurgov Boulevard and Roz Alley, in parallel – on the AFU units that are trying to leave the city in small groups in one or two vehicles. FAB-120/250 bombs with planning and correction modules (MPCMs) as well as Krasnopol guided artillery rounds are actively used against targets both in the immediate vicinity of #Artyomovsk and deep in the AFU defence – #Konstantinovka, #Druzhkovka and Chasov Yar. This further complicates and slows down the supply of the group, which cannot hold out without help.

🔹What options do the AFU have?

The first option is to throw reinforcements into the city and either continue defending or cover the retreat. According to preliminary estimates, the AFU’s total losses in killed, wounded, missing and prisoners of war both in and around #Bakhmut, including reinforcements destroyed almost every day, are as high as 650-730 per day.

To hold the city, the AFU is preparing to send the 93rd Mechanized Brigade and the reserve 117th Territorial Defense Brigade, prepared for a counterattack, to #Bakhmut. In the western quarters of the city, these troops should reinforce units of the AFU’s 92nd Mechanized, whose losses are estimated at 65%.

The second option is to retreat on asphalt roads. Most roads between #Bakhmut and neighbouring towns are not only shelled by artillery “banding” and airborne troops, but also severely damaged. Some bridges and crossings cannot be crossed by heavy equipment. This means that on the other side retreating AFU units have to transfer to another vehicle. It is practically impossible to do this safely.

The third option is to retreat through the fields:

It rained almost all last week in #Bakhmut, and rain will continue to fall next week. This will make the fields impassable again. Even tanks, not to mention pickup trucks and other vehicles, will find it difficult to get through them quickly in such conditions. Any AFU equipment that gets stuck will almost instantly come under artillery fire and be disabled, and after that the Ukrainian military will have to overcome the five-kilometre stretch between Chasov Yar and #Bakhmut on foot.

The fourth option is a diversionary flank counterattack:

If the AFU command feels that control over #Bakhmut is finally being lost, 80,000-strong reserves from Ray-Aleksandrovka, #Konstantinovka, #Predtechino, #Nikolayevka and #Dzerzhinsk will probably be brought into the fight.

Military Chronicles

#Bakhmut Latest – Heavy Battles – Situation on 21 Apr 2023, 11:00⚡️

At the Road west of #Khromovo, there is now very fierce fighting in the wooded area. The enemy is trying to counterattack to push the Wagner PMC forces off the road. Our troops, in turn, are trying to gain a foothold on the road.

Both sides are actively employing artillery fire. They understand the importance of this section, so they make any effort to ensure control over it.

The road itself is still being covered by artillery, mortars and ATGMs. According to various reports, up to 10-12 wheeled and tracked vehicles have been destroyed in the area over the past 24 hours.

The advance of Wagner PMC stormtroopers to the west of the city centre and in the northwestern neighbourhoods of #Artyomovsk (#Bakhmut) is also continuing.

Boris Rozhin

“The boy shouted and shouted and shouted that he was about to drown, pranked his mum and dad, and when he started drowning, they didn’t come.”

Prigozhin answered the question “when will the Ukrainian counter-offensive start.

According to Prigozhin, crests will launch a counteroffensive when the ground dries out a bit.  

Fwd from @sashakots – Guys, do you know that Artemovsk is already in the boiler? – I inform the fighters of PMC “Wagner” the latest news after morning coffee in the underground “location” near Bakhmut.

All night the attack aircraft were cut in the area of the western nine-story buildings, recapturing the high-rise buildings from the enemy – the radio air was filled with clear reports and commands. But there was nothing in them about the surroundings of the city.

“But the men don’t know,” someone recalls an old advertisement.

Adviser to the head of the DPR, Yan Gagin, said: “Musicians” went to the road Artemovsk – Chasiv Yar, along which the AFU group was supplied. Several hundred meters have been taken under control, making it impossible to supply the AFU Forces garrison. Thus, the lid of the boiler, in fact, slammed shut.

But it is not so. Fights to hold the route from Bakhmut through Khromovo continue. The enemy still has one more logistical stream through the settlement of Krasnoye. As well as field roads, on which, however, only caterpillar vehicles can now move. It rains again in the LPR and wheeled vehicles are stuck in clay. At the same time, of course, all these supply routes are shot through by both our artillery and anti-tank weapons.

The main battles are now unfolding in the western part of the city. In recent days, attack aircraft of PMC “Wagner” managed to overcome another psychological defensive line of the AFU, which went through Bakhmut by rail. Our units took the railway station and moved on, recapturing high-rise residential buildings, followed by the private sector. At the same time, from the north and south, Artemovsk is blocked by units of Russian paratroopers, who stop the threat of attacks on the city from the flanks.

Fwd from @boris_rozhin In the morning, they report that the road through Khromovo is physically cut off to the west of Khromovo in a section of several hundred meters. We are waiting for photo / video confirmation.

Despite statements about the formation of the Artemovsky cauldron, it is not yet formally closed – the neck is preserved to the south of the highway through Khromovo – this is a shot through and not yet physically cut road through Krasnoye (it is very problematic to use it) and fields between Krasnoye and Khromovo, which are problematic to move on in mud conditions (at least for wheeled vehicles, and tracked vehicles get stuck there with a bang).

So, we can rather say that our troops have come close to the formation of the Artemovsky pocket and have strengthened the operational encirclement of part of the Artemovskaya group – the affairs of the AFU are steadily deteriorating here. Original msg (https://t.me/boris_rozhin/83530)

Video shot by soldiers fighting for the Ukrainian army in Artyomovsk (Bahmut) interesting from an anthropological point of view.  People try hard to squeeze the Ukrainian language for a heroic video on Tik-tok, by the way all with different accents.  And then, when things get serious and it comes to losses, the report sounds in perfect English “he is 200 double checked”.  And those words come out without any accent.  It may seem a paradox, but in this war the most used languages   are Russian and English.  You make the conclusions.

“Lack of ammo is forcing us to retreat from our positions in Bakhmut,” Colonel of the 93rd Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Pavel Palisa in an interview  for The Washington Post

According to the Ukrainian colonel, they do not have enough shells, for which they have to pay with the lives of soldiers. For example, a mortar unit on the outskirts of a city fires only 6 shots a day, and replenishment of ammunition becomes an increasingly difficult undertaking.

To keep Bakhmut, the Ukrainian army is forced to transfer elite units to the city, but the losses have increased so much that many of the units are put out of action in just a couple of weeks.

Also of the interesting points in the article is the effective use of Russian electronic warfare systems and the proposal of the Americans to start information and psychological operations with stories about high losses among the Russian army to undermine the morale of the units storming the city. —

At Bankovaya, they began to prepare public opinion for the abandonment of Bakhmut, who is already 90% controlled by the fighters of the Wagner PMC.

Deputy Minister of Defense of Ukraine Anna Malyar:

 - “The situation in Bakhmut is complicated”;
- “In the conditions of the destruction of the city, it is extremely difficult to hold positions”;
- “Russia is a strong adversary, has a large number of troops and equipment.”

By the way, it was she who said the day before that “the Armed Forces of Ukraine are already conducting counter-offensive operations in some sectors of the front,” after which she received a message from users of Ukrainian social networks, who decided that in this way Bankova decided to “merge” and cancel the promised “offensive” in principle.

Prigozhin’s Answer on a LIVE24 Request⚡️

Dear Evgeny  Viktorovich, a meeting of representatives of the Contact Group for Military Support to Ukraine was held today at Ramstein in the Germany, and the following conclusions were drawn up afterwards:

🔷Ukraine’s priority now is ground-based air defence systems to provide protection against Russian missile attacks.

🔷Allies will provide training for tankers and air defence operators.

🔷Some 25,000 Ukrainian soldiers are already undergoing training in Germany, some 8,000 have already completed it and returned home.

🔷The West has transferred more than 230 tanks and 1,500 other armoured vehicles to Ukraine to equip nine armoured brigades.

🔷Ukraine has been given the green light to cooperate with NATO’s procurement agency, the NSPA.

🔷Partners and allies are ready to support Ukraine for as long as necessary.

How do you assess the results of Ramstein-11 and when, in your opinion, will the Ukrainian counteroffensive begin?

“Let’s talk about Ramstein-11: the supply of air defence systems is the first thing. Yes, indeed, it is important for Ukraine to protect its strategic facilities, including, domestically, where we are launching strikes. The effectiveness of these strikes needs to be assessed, but they will protect nonetheless. The second thing is that the allies are training and will continue to train, which means that, as Germany has said, 25,000 Ukrainian military personnel are training right now. That suggests that they have 25,000 places. So it could just be a flow, and they could probably easily multiply that by a factor of 3-4. So the simultaneous training will be 100 thousand. Three or four months at 100 thousand is a lot. Eight thousand completed and returning home is not bad either, although not a very large number. Their losses today are significant. But today we are killing those who were trained in Ukraine, and these people will come from Germany, they will be technologically educated. The West has handed over 230 tanks and 1,500 other armoured vehicles. This is also enough to provide serious opposition. The “green light” to buy through the NSPA means they will borrow as much as they want from whoever they want, America will pay for everything. And the last one is that the Americans, Europeans and the NATO alliance are ready to support them and this is not good for us either. The statement that all NATO members are waiting for Ukraine to join NATO is not good either, which means that we must be defensive. The jokes are over. We must not just anchor ourselves, we must anchor ourselves in such a way that we can only pull out with the claws of our rival. The second point: when will Ukraine attack? Ukraine is constantly stirring us up that it’s about to launch an offensive. This chip is called “The Boy in the Lake”. The boy shouted and shouted and shouted that he was about to drown, pranked his mum and dad, and when he started drowning, they didn’t come. They are waiting for us not to strain any more, but to think they are morons and not react to their shouting. Today the offensive is not starting for obvious reasons: it’s a monstrous slush. In the territory today, even the “pick-up trucks” cannot get through the fields properly, not to mention the Ural trucks, heavy equipment, up to and including tanks. It will take another ten days for the soil to dry out. When will they attack? They will probably decide themselves, I am not informed. But the fact is they will attack. Therefore, we have to be ready ten times, so it will not be the same as it was in 1941, when we were chewing our snot and reporting to Stalin that everything is all right, there is a treaty with Germany. There is no treaty and there will not be one. They will come and try to tear us apart, and we have to hold our ground. Mum’s not coming, Mum’s dead, so now we’re on our own, like in an orphanage, on our own.”

Prigozhin’s Hat

 

According to Russia Today UKR reinforcements have arrived in the area of Seversk, possibly preparing for an attack towards Lisichansk and Severodonetsk from the area.

The report mentions that the UKR are not shelling Russian positions very much but this is taken to be in preparation for an attack by conserving artillery ammunition.

A foothold near the AFU on the left bank of the Dnieper – does it exist, and what does it mean?

 Last night, reports appeared on the Web that the AFU were able to freely gain a foothold on the left bank of the Dnieper near the settlement of Kindiyka north of Alyoshek.

🔻 Does the bridgehead really exist?

 The enemy is indeed carrying out attacks on the left bank using small boats supplied as part of US military assistance.

However, as a rule, the AFU of Ukraine do not go further than the banks of the Dnieper due to problems with the supply, which in the current conditions is possible only with the help of small boats. To move inland, constant replenishment of ammunition and weapons is necessary, which is simply not feasible now.

In practice, the AFU had made attempts to advance further before (https://t.me/rybar/43238) – near Bolshoi Potemkin Island and the settlement of Dnepryan near Novaya Kakhovka. But they all ended in the destruction of the assault squads, cut off from ground logistics. Therefore, the presence of positions on the left bank does not guarantee the success of the AFU in the current realities.

🔻 What could be the problem?

 However, a dangerous trend is already visible. If earlier the AFU carried out sorties at night or in conditions of poor visibility, now Ukrainian detachments safely cross the Dnieper from Kherson during the day. This is indicated by recent footage from open sources.

Coordinates:

– Mooring place of the boat: 46.661271, 32.696745
 - Artillery strike of the Russian Armed Forces: 46.661045, 32.697896

 This indicates either the absence of regular fire impact on the enemy, or the demonstrative actions of the AFU, aimed at deliberately drawing the attention of Russian troops to this sector of the front. We have repeatedly pointed out (https://t.me/rybar/45807) these problems, including the lack of timely fire damage due to the slowness of the system. While this is happening, the enemy has time to either hide or change location.

❗️At the same time, the activity of the AFU right under the noses of Russian fighters may not be accidental: the Ukrainian command is well aware that the advance of a small group across the area under fire is senseless from the point of view of logic.

Specifically, in this case, the actions of the AFU are more like bait and creating the appearance of problems of the Russian Armed Forces in Kherson Region in order to divert attention from the direction (https://t.me/rybar/45940) of the main strike. While we are focusing on the AFU group near Kindiyka, a real attack is being prepared somewhere. For example, on the Kinburn Peninsula.

Similar things happened in the summer and autumn of last year – while all attention was focused on Kherson, Ukrainian formations also struck near Kharkov. It is possible that now the enemy is defiantly concentrating forces where there will either be (https://t.me/rybar/45890) a pinning blow, or it will not happen at all.

Strelkov  Regarding the enemy’s alleged bridgehead on the left bank of the Dnieper. The answer is “it is and it is not”. I explain: formally, the Ukrainians have a small bridgehead – they have secured an island of solid land in the river floodplain. They planted a garrison there, supplied it with boats and launches. In fact the use (except for propaganda) of this “springboard” is about zero. Therefore there is no sense for them to create a bridge or ferry to this bridgehead – there is nowhere to move equipment from it. But real serious landing operation – to create a real bridgehead – is probably prepared in some other place. Or in several places.

Dear comrade Rybar described in great detail the situation with a small bridgehead of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the left bank of the Dnieper north of Alyoshki. We repeat, the situation is not new and does not encourage further advancement of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, there are still trenches and layered defense ahead.

Additionally, we note that in addition to the system of reports and approvals, the Russian Armed Forces are experiencing communication problems. Even in those units where bureaucracy has been minimized, the passage of information from forward units takes an unacceptably long time, which is sufficient for the enemy to hide.

Let me remind you of the common truth that “Communication is the main means of command and control of troops.”

Two Majors

The Ukrainian TG channel “Legitimate” writes:

“The night raid of kamikaze drones fell on fuel tanks intended for the army, as well as warehouses/hangars.
It is known about at least 6 hits in 3 different objects.
It is known for sure that the arrivals were in the Vinnytsia, Poltava and Kiev regions.

At the same time, the President’s Office did not publicly report this, indicating that all kamikaze UAVs were allegedly shot down.

The purpose of silencing is to keep the masses in an information vacuum, telling them that everything is great.”

 

War Map and the Situation on the Fronts in the Evening of 21 Apr 2023; pub. 00:04⚡️

🤚 In #Artyomovsk Russian fighters cut (https://t.me/readovkaru/3094) a key road for supplying the AFU, but the enemy has not lost the ability to support the fighters in the city itself thanks to the country roads and the route through #Ivanovskoye (#Krasnoye). So it is very early to speak of a complete encirclement or a cauldron, but the fall of the city before the Russian army can definitely not be avoided.

⚔️ Situation on the Fronts for the past Day

🔹#Artyomovsk (#Bakhmut) Sector:

➖ To the north of #Artyomovsk, the “Orchestrators” have reached (https://t.me/readovkanews/57303) the O-05-06 road leading through the village of #Artyomovskoye (#Khromovo) to Chasov Yar.
➖ In the city itself, ours are advancing from the centre to the west and northwest, squeezing out the militants in the area of Metallurgov Boulevard and Rose Alley. The “Musicians” have also reached Grigory Skovoroda Street.

🔹#Donetsk Direction:

➖ Russian forces attempted to advance towards #Steponoye (#Pertovskoye) and also attacked in the direction of #Severnoye.
➖ Our forces continue to storm #Pervomayskoye and #Nevelskoye.
➖ In #Maryinka there is fierce fighting near the Fire Station.

💡 At another Meeting at the Ramstein Airbase in Germany, it was decided to send (https://t.me/readovkanews/57307) 31 Abrams tanks to the range in the FRG to train some 250 fighters. Some of the military will be trained to operate, others to repair and maintain. Of course, the armoured training vehicles will not go to the 404, other samples will go to Kiev. And the repair of western armaments is more a concern (https://t.me/readovkanews/56042) of #Poland or #Romania than #Ukraine.

#Chronicle of the Special Military Operation for 21 Apr 2023⚡️

⚡️ Overnight, Russian kamikaze UAVs Geran-2 attacked Ukrainian army facilities in #Poltava and #Vinnitsa regions.
➖ According to some reports, the targets of the attack were large oil depots in these regions.

🔹#Bryansk Region:

▪️ In #Klintsy, a Ukrainian drone fell on a private property, partially damaging a house, with no casualties.

🔹#Soledar (#Bakhmut) Direction:

▪️ Despite some claims, the Ukrainian grouping in #Bakhmut has not been surrounded. Fierce fighting continues in the town itself and on the #Bakhmut – Chasov Yar road section.

▪️ In the northern part of the city, Russian forces advanced with fighting along Chernyakhovsky and Tolbukhin streets towards the Olympic School.

▪️ To the south, fighters of the Wagner PMC, overcoming enemy resistance, managed to reach Grigory Skovoroda Street.

🔹#Donetsk Direction:

▪️ The Ukrainian terrorist formations continue shelling the #Donetsk agglomeration, the DPR capital, #Makeyevka, #Gorlovka and the surrounding settlements came under attack.

▪️ In #Maryinka, there is fierce fighting near a Fire Station and the Local Dental Clinic on the west side of Druzhba Avenue.

🔹#Zaporozhye Direction:

▪️ The situation on this section of the front remains steadily tense, with both sides conducting reconnaissance and exchanging strikes.

🔹#Kherson Direction on #SouthFront:

▪️ In the vicinity of the village of #Kindiyka north of #Alyoshki, the enemy is conducting sabotage and reconnaissance activities, attempting to divert (https://t.me/rybar/46079) and mislead the Russian military before a possible counterattack.

▪️ Artillery duels continue along the entire line of contact. Russian forces hit enemy concentrations in #Kherson, #Dudchany and #Zmiyevka.
➖ The Ukrainian terror formations, for their part, shelled the civilian infrastructure of Novaya Kakhovka, #Gornostayevka and #Kardashinka on the left bank of the #Dnieper River.

🔸Political and other Events:

▪️ Following another Ramstein meeting (https://t.me/rybar/46108) in Germany, the US and its European allies announced a new military aid package, as well as the need for additional deliveries of air defense equipment and missiles to them.

▪️ Due to problems with auctions with European operators by energy company Ukrenergo, #Ukraine has suspended electricity exports to #Slovakia and will not be able to send electricity to #Hungary.
➖ The company said that the problem arose due to the absence of the necessary regulatory framework, which was denied by the Ukrainian authorities.
➖ Experts believe that Ukrenergo is unwilling to share revenues with European operators according to #EU regulations.

▪️ Zelensky has signed a decree on introducing a mandatory constitutional, history and state language test to obtain Ukrainian citizenship.
 

Russian Defence Ministry Report on the Progress of the Special Military Operation (21 April 2023)⚡️

The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue the special military operation.
 
💥 In Kupyansk direction, Operational-Tactical and Army aviation and artillery of the Zapad Group of Forces have engaged the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) close to Stelmakhovka (Lugansk People’s Republic), Sinkovka, Timkovka, and Pershotravnevoye (Kharkov region).

💥 In addition, actions of four sabotage and reconnaissance groups of the AFU were thwarted near Liman Pervy, Sinkovka (Kharkov region), Novoselovskoye and Stelmakhovka (Lugansk People’s Republic).

◽️ An ammunition depot was annihilated close to Kislovka (Kharkov region).

◽️ Over 60 Ukrainian troops, one armoured fighting vehicle, three motor vehicles, one D-20 howitzer, and one Akatsiya self-propelled artillery gun were eliminated in this direction during the day.
 
💥 In Krasny Liman direction, Ground-Attack and Army aviation and artillery of the Tsentr Group of Forces engaged the units of the AFU close to Chervonopopovka, Chervonaya Dibrova (Lugansk People’s Republic), and Grigorovka and Serebryanka (Donetsk People’s Republic).

◽️ Up to 55 Ukrainian troops, two armoured fighting vehicles, two pick-up trucks, one D-20 howitzer, and one Gvozdika self-propelled artillery unit have been eliminated in this direction during the day.
 
💥 In Donetsk direction, the assault squads continue fighting in the west part of the city of Artyomovsk.

◽️ Airborne Troops have been impeding the attempts of the enemy to counterattack on the flanks, and support the assault squads to take control over the city.

💥 Operational-Tactical and Army aviation and artillery of the Yug Group of Forces inflicted a fire damage on the units of the AFU close to Krasnoye, Chasov Yar, and Predtechino (Donetsk People’s Republic).

◽️ The Russian aviation made 8 sotries to support the assault detachments. The artillery of the Yug Group of Forces have performed 69 fire missions.

◽️ Up to 310 Ukrainian troops, 4 armoured fighting vehicles, 3 motor vehicles, 1 Grad MLRS, 1 Msta-B howitzer, and 1 Gvozdika self-propelled artillery unit have been eliminated in this direction during the day.
 
💥 In South Donetsk and Zaporozhye directions, artillery and heavy flamethrower systems of the Vostok Group of Forces have hit AFU in the areas of Ugledar, Prechistovka (Donetsk People’s Republic), and Chervonoye.

◽️ Moreover, 2 ammunition depots of the AFU’s 65th Mechanised Brigade and 44th Artillery Brigade were destroyed close to Gulyapole and Poltavka (Zaporozhye region).

◽️ During the day in these directions the enemy suffered losses of up to 90 Ukrainian troops, 2 armoured fighting vehicles, 3 pickup trucks, and 1 Msta-B howitzer.
 
💥 In Kherson direction, up to 10 Ukrainian troops and 2 motor vehicles have been destroyed over the past 24 hours.
 
💥 Operational-Tactical and Army aviation, Missile Troops and Artillery of the Russian Group of Forces have engaged 94 AFU artillery units at their fire positions, manpower, and military hardware in 135 areas during the day.

◽️ A fuel depot for military hardware of the AFU has been destroyed near Konstantinovka (Donetsk People’s Republic).
 
◽️ Russian air defence forces have intercepted three HIMARS MLRS shells during the day.

◽️ In addition, 3 Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles have been destroyed in the areas of Opytnoye (Donetsk People’s Republic), Reshetilovskoye (Zaporozhye region), and Kakhovka (Kherson region).

Special Operation, 21 Apr 2023, Main;  

 ▪️ #Ukraine has lost up to 90 militants in the southern #Donetsk and #Zaporozhye directions, about 105 in the #Kupyansk and Krasny #Liman directions, and up to 310 in the #Donetsk direction, the Russian Ministry of Defense said;

 ▪️ Situation in #Artyomovsk remains tense, Russian forces are advancing, but it is premature to talk about a “cauldron” for Ukrainian troops, Pushilin said;

 ▪️ More than 16,000 Ukrainian servicemen have received military training as part of #EU assistance to #Ukraine, Borrel said;

 ▪️ The head of the German Ministry of Defense announced the start of a training program for over 100 Ukrainian servicemen to operate German Leopard A5 tanks starting on Saturday;

 ▪️ #Ukraine’s military operations on Russian territory are normal as long as there are no attacks on cities and civilians, Pistorius said.  Medvedev reacted to these words by saying that “that German who wants an attack on #Russia should be ready for the parade in #Berlin”.

Ukraine Western allies vow strong backing at key talks

The next big offensive. Here’s who benefits from the war

Battlefield Ukraine Operation Event Horizon

NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said that Ukraine can succeed in a counteroffensive when it finds the right moment.

“I firmly believe that when Ukraine sees the right moment for a counter-offensive with the liberation of more territory, then it can be victorious,” he said in an interview with Welt after the meeting. He said that NATO knows that Ukraine is capable of achieving success on the battlefield, and among the factors of this he named “unbelievable” military support from the West in terms of its volume. “We supplied more artillery weapons, more air defense systems, infantry fighting vehicles, tanks. And Germany was the leading country in this support,” he stressed.

Briefing by Pentagon Chief Lloyd Austin and Chief of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Mark Milley

 ðŸ”» Austin Statements:

▪️ With the help of Western countries, the Armed AFU created nine new full-fledged brigades, trained and equipped with military equipment;

▪️ Leakage of classified Pentagon materials did not lead to a split among Ukraine’s allies;

▪️ In the near future, Ukraine will primarily need anti-aircraft systems;

▪️ Germany and the Netherlands promised to provide military assistance;

▪️ The head of the Pentagon congratulated Finland on joining NATO, saying that Russia’s ambitions are the reason for the expansion of the alliance;

▪️ The US has deployed “certain forces” in Sudan and is closely monitoring the situation in the region, expanding its capabilities;

▪️ The Pentagon believes that anti-aircraft missiles, not fighters, are important for Ukraine, and this opinion will continue for several more months;

▪️ Austin gave an ambiguous answer to the question of whether the AFU have enough weapons for a counteroffensive.

🔻 Millie’s statements:

▪️The United States has allocated $55 billion in military assistance to the AFU and will continue to provide support to Kyiv in the amount that is required;

▪️ According to him, Russia is spending its manpower in Bakhmut to achieve insignificant results;

▪️ “NATO has never been so strong,” Milley said, adding that with proper support and command and control, the Abrams tanks could turn the tide of the battle;

▪️ The most important thing for Kyiv now is to protect its airspace: “We’ve been discussing this all day: air defense, air defense, air defense. Right now they need anti-aircraft missile systems.”
 #digest #NATO #Rammstein #USA #Ukraine

France refused to provide Kyiv with a detailed topographic map of Belarus, because Kyiv needs it for shelling, and the French do not want to be involved in this, telegram Shariy.  

If Zelensky risks shelling Belarus, then Lukashenka will first of all wipe out Bankovaya, the government quarter in Kyiv, from the face of the earth.  Zelensky needs an aggravation, but you have to be an idiot to open a second front.

German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius said that UAF strikes on Russian territory is an acceptable tactic.
 “As long as there are no attacks on cities, civilians and civilian areas, this has to be accepted as a necessity,” Pistorius said.
 According to the German Minister of Defense, such actions by the Armed Forces of Ukraine may not necessarily be carried out with malicious intent, these may be necessary measures to cut off supply lines.  https://t.me/RVvoenkor/43161

Pistorius obviously did not think that in this way Russian strikes on German territory would become acceptable – “to cut off the supply routes” of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

The German Defence Minister said he considered it “absolutely normal” for the AFU to carry out operations on Russian territory

But “as long as cities and civilians are not attacked”.

This is what Boris Pistorius said on the ZDF TV channel.

Dmitry Medvedev, deputy chairman of the Russian Security Council, responded to the German “warlord”:

“On Pistorius the Kraut
 
The German defence minister, without giving it too much thought, blurted out something about military operations on our territory.
He surely envies the glory of the third reich warlords.
Well, he actually needs to remember a historical omen.
The German who wishes to attack Russia, must be ready for our parade in Berlin.”

Kiev stated that NATO itself should “beg” Ukraine to join it

“NATO’s only goal is to fight Russia”, Ukrainian Ambassador to Britain Vadim Prystaiko said.  He added that Kiev has “a million armed people” for this.

“If you want to have someone who is not only ready, but knows how to do it, ask Ukraine. Beg it to become part of your alliance,” Prystaiko advised.

Good afternoon and evening to you all (there are no good mornings). The news is dead silent, even my exterior sources are quiet, and even aggregator channels are now quiet.

This is usually a sign to me that something significant is taking place.
We know that Ukraine has been probing the lines at Kremmenaya front, and we’ve had reports of attacks along the line of contact in Zaporizhye front since around 18 hours ago.

What this silence means, I cannot know – but my intuition tells me that significant events are taking place in real time and the news is now quiet as it tries to parse this information before reporting.

So, best case scenario – everybody is sleeping at the same time.
Worst case – somebody finally opened the box and observed Schrodinger’s counteroffensive and so it is now taking place as I type this.

Maybe nothing is happening and there is a lull, but my gut tells me something significant is taking place at this moment – we’ll have to wait around 20-28 hours to hear reliable word.

For the doomers, relax. Nothing will come of it.
For the mirror images of Strelkov, also relax, there is no coming counter-steamroll this week.

Russia accidentally drops bomb on own city near Ukraine border

Ukraine SCALPING Russian Soldiers. SU-34 Drops Bomb On Belgorod. Putin Confidence Hits 80.1%

Bakhmut – cauldron, Incident – Belgorod, NATO failure – Ukraine, Iran-US Submarine, SpaceX success..


Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2023/04/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on-april_21.html


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