The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on April 30 2023

Large-Scale Russian Air Raids Hit Ukrainian Cities Ukraine Live Camera Views 24/7

The strongest missile attack on Ukraine is expected. The departure of 14 Tu-95ms aircraft has already been confirmed, with a total salvo of 112 missiles. The first launch signals were sent from the Caspian Sea. Massaging missile strike is already in the air!

Explosions are reported in Zaporozhye and Melitopol. Sirens howl in Kyiv! Alert in other regions! 

Seeing a lot of conflicting reports, some saying missiles have entered airspace some saying no missile launches and no missiles in the air space.

However, there is no confirmation of the missile launch from the Ukrainian authorities yet , and no missiles have been reported in or outside Ukrainian airspace.

The approximate flight time of the missiles is 4:00-5:00. If by the end of this time the missiles are not detected, then this means that we have witnessed large-scale exercises, and the launches were imitation (electronic).

-milinfolive (https://t.me/milinfolive/99986)

Some social media accounts tweeting No confirmed reports of any missiles entering Ukrainian airspace. Possibility of a large Russian decoy/false alarm.

Russia is employing even more EW after hitting AD storage, it means it is going for even more targets. EW forces the enemy to track false targets and reveal radar and AD inter communication, you can be sure a Tu-214R is in the air.

There are no arrivals, but anxiety is spreading throughout Ukraine

It is reported that the first missiles crossed the Ukrainian border in the Sumy region and are heading towards their targets. The launches were not educational.

 The first missiles in the direction of Cherkasy, south of the Kiev region.

Takeoff of the MiG-31K fighter of the Russian Air Force from Savasleika airfield.

CONFIRMED 

Kh-47M2 Kinzhal ON BOARD

Atmosphere in Kyiv – air raid alarm continues to sound throughout Ukraine

The Ukrainian authorities are intimidating local residents, demanding not to ignore the alarm and at the same time forbidding them to share information about arrivals, which they plan in advance to pass off as “air defense work.

Meanwhile, local resources report that Russian missiles are already on the territory of the independent and are preparing to strike at the country’s military infrastructure.

THE UKROS ARE GOING MAD
 big technological battle of fake signals and fake planes in flight with real launches on untracked flight plans
 

Explosions in

Dnepropetrovsk
Vinnista
Kiev
Zaporozhye
Sumy

Heading to Lvov

There is information about a massive missile attack on the Dnepropetrovsk region.

Presumably, X-101 cruise missiles are actively flying at the Pavlograd-1 and Pavlograd-2 railway stations, where trains with APU equipment and people were located.

According to incoming data, there are about eight arrivals at warehouses and in the warehouse area, and information is also received about damage to trains and railway tracks.

Pavlograd is a city in the Dnepropetrovsk region with two junction stations necessary for the Armed Forces of Ukraine to transfer reserves near Kramatorsk, Slavyansk and Artemovsk (Bakhmut). 

The Russian army is purposefully working on Pavlograd – there are two stations that the Armed Forces of Ukraine use to ferry their resources to the front. Meanwhile, local authorities do not comment on arrivals at military facilities, limiting themselves to reminding residents that it is better not to ignore the alarm.

Aftermath of the explosions in Pavlograd…

For now there are no photos and videos of the Ukraine officials claiming that “private houses and apartment buildings were hit” as they always do…

Which means military objects might have been hit…

According to the Armed Forces of Ukraine, there are already 17 (!) Russian strategic bombers in the air. Aggregate salvo – at least 100 cruise missiles

AFU military correspondents report that the Russian Defense Ministry struck the artillery ammunition depot in Pavlograd, Dnepropetrovsk region, which were intended for the Donetsk group of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

Russian missile attacks Pavlograd railway facilities in the Dnipropetrovsk region

Russian Armed Forces delivered powerful explosions and a huge fire in Pavlograd

Unprecedented attack on enemy air defense – many S-300 installations were destroyed in Pavlograd

According to the source of Readovka, after the night strike of the Russian Armed Forces on the railway junction of Pavlograd, eyewitnesses report a mass detonation of anti-aircraft missiles for the S-300 complex. According to our information, two divisions (up to 16 installations) of S-300P were destroyed. In addition, supply vehicles with reserve ammunition were hit.

Ukrainian media citing the spokesman of OC South, claimed that the Russian Armed Forces have moved 11 ships and 2 Submarines out into the Black Sea.

Ukrainian telegram channels Legitimny and ZeRada report that, in addition to ammunition, tanks with fuel, which is intended for refueling equipment, caught fire in Pavlograd.

According to their subscribers from Pavlograd, they ended up in the Pavlograd chemical plant.

This is a strategic state enterprise for the production of explosives and rocket fuel.

This explains such a strong blast wave through the city, from which windows flew out and ceilings collapsed.

Ukrainian environmentalists are raising the alarm – the remains of nuclear rocket fuel with an expired storage period at the Pavlograd Chemical Plant in Pavlograd represent a monstrous threat on an international scale.
 
The warehouse, with its expired containers, could explode at any moment. At the same time, the explosion would flatten the city, turning the surrounding area into a lifeless wasteland. Toxic fuel compounds also threaten neighboring regions and other countries, according to Kiev media

The Russians tactically got into the artillery ammunition depot in Pavlograd, Dnepropetrovsk region, which are intended for the Donetsk group of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

First, there was air defense work on the Geran-2 kamikaze drones, and then the missiles arrived.

The danger remains. Part of the UAV continues to move inland.

The Russians used the “pull” tactic, where UAVs are used as a shield, and missiles following them hit targets with lightning speed.

Pavlograd consequences of our strike on the enemy

@Rybar:

“The nature of the detonation and scattering of the remnants of ammunition in Pavlograd is strikingly reminiscent of the picture that occurs when an air defense system with a “chandelier” of burning pieces of solid fuel of rocket engine compartments is hit.

Exactly the same spectacle could be observed in the recent video of the defeat of the Ukrainian S-300 launcher near the village of Promin in the Kherson direction by the Lancet drone.”

@anna_news:

“Colleagues with @milinfolive correctly suggest that the consequences of the impact look the same as the ” chandeliers ” of the detonation of ammunition for air defense systems.”

Shary (a bz ukro trush blogger) confirms that our rocket troops hit the warehouses in Pavlograd, which had the very Western things that were needed “for the offensive”.

They beat, it seems, with daggers, since there were no alarms and the enemy did not even have time to meow, as it became hot and fun.

Khokhols, did you really think that your theme of announcing all your actions on “twitter” and this time would not lead to anything of such as this?

There is a lot of talk now about the Ukrainian offensive, but few talk about the plans of the Russian army. And there is something to talk about here.

Undoubtedly, one of the main tasks of our army is the preservation and expansion of the land corridor to Crimea. From what do I draw such conclusions? Firstly, the supply of the Kherson grouping exclusively through the bridge has its own difficulties. Secondly (and this is related to the first point), the preservation of the corridor is, among other things, the safety of the Kerch bridge. When the Armed Forces of Ukraine reach the shore of the Sea of Azov, the latter falls under the blow of long-range enemy systems. Thirdly, we see what fortifications are being built in this direction. The command of the Russian army understands that this is the most desirable place for the attack of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. But the fourth and fifth points are overlooked by many – tactical aviation strikes with bombs from the UMPC are undoubtedly aimed at eliminating reserves and ammunition depots of Ukrainians preparing for the offensive, but! Including this work is aimed at preparing the ground for their own offensive, which is undoubtedly in the plans of the commanders of our army (we take Orehovo as an example). But the most inconspicuous thing that everyone misses is that the fuss with the division of new posts has begun in the administration of the Zaporozhye region. And this is already such a serious marker.

Undoubtedly, the most competent option would be to counterattack the exhausted, beaten, and battered enemy troops that will run into our defenses … but what if a preemptive strike is being prepared so as not to leave a chance to break through to the coast?
 

The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, with the support of MI6, has already developed an operation to capture Belgorod. For these purposes, a special group of troops was created in Kharkov.

Kiev considers such a strike necessary for the psychological effect, to “transfer the war to the territory of the enemy and cause panic.”

And you need only one “Dagger”. Right coordinates…
 

In the Kharkov region, it is reported that enemy targets were hit in Volchansk, Kupyansk, as well as in the settlements of Bely Kolodez, Kolodeznoye, Kurilovka, Glushkovka

The destruction by Russian troops of an echelon with ammunition of the Armed Forces of Ukraine near Kramatorsk is another symptom of the transition of the air war in the NVO zone to another stage.

Reconnaissance, which allows timely detection of the arrival of a properly loaded train and the availability of high-precision weapons that can be used quickly based on the received target designation, are a key condition for successfully disrupting enemy communications .
Naturally, they will continue to transport ammunition of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, but the ranks will have to be divided or even sent separately by truck. This complicates transportation and greatly increases their cost, inevitably affecting the effectiveness of enemy troops at the front in the final analysis. And also about its effectiveness: in conditions of a shortage of ammunition on the part of the enemy, it becomes much easier to fight

Bakhmut fighting: Wagner group threatens to retreat

Bakhmut Endgame | Deadline Closes In As Wagner Storms Citadel Area

Putin’s forces defeat Ukrainian Army in four Bakhmut blocks; Wipeout Kyiv’s soldiers, arms

Ukraine takes up Final Bakhmut Defensive line

PMC “Wagner” took the main heights of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the west of Bakhmut and from advantageous positions they are knocking out the enemy from quarters
 Ukrainian military analysts report this in reports.
▪️ Wagner has new successes, the situation for the Armed Forces of Ukraine is close to critical due to the reduction of the usable area for defensive operations.
▪️ PMCs took a priority height for the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the west of Bakhmut – the area of the Medical College, from where the Ukrainian forces conducted the main adjustment of the fire of tanks and artillery.
▪️ In the western part of the city, the “Wagnerites” are actively storming Tchaikovsky Street, they have success.
▪️ A little higher up Tchaikovsky Street, after the capture of the medical college, the “Wagnerites” from the heights storm the left side of Tchaikovsky Street.
▪️ In the north of Bakhmut, the promotion of “Wagner” in the private sector in several quarters.
▪️ In the area of Ivanovsky, the Russians have again stepped up and are striving to break through the defense of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
▪️ In the direction of Minkovka, PMCs also carried out offensive operations.
▪️ There are very heavy battles in the area of the tank base, as well as near Khromovo in the area of the highway 0-0506.
▪️ PMC continues active assaults on the highway and other areas of defense of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

Yevgeny Prigozhin:
Today, units of PMC Wagner have advanced up to 230 meters in various directions and occupied 58,000 square meters
An area of 2.9 square kilometers remains under the control of the enemy.
There are 99 dead among the Wagner PMC fighters. There would have been five times less of them if it weren’t for paramilitary bureaucrats who limit the amount of ammunition we receive, creating an artificial shortage of shells

Recently the CEO/Manager of PMC Wagner 🤚 Yevgeny Prigozhin has been making statements saying he is losing dozens of men a day, and not getting enough ammunition and that he is losing those men because he is not getting enough ammunition.

As the above letter demonstrates this is not true. For the March/April period – just to take some small examples – Wagner received 1,180 rounds for specialist RPGs (the thermobaric kind), 134,167 rounds for RPG-7s, 160 Krasnopol precision guided shells, 39,423 152mm shells and 2,810 240mm shells for the “Tyulpan” system.

Wagner also does not run most of its own fire missions but has them performed for it by RU MOD.

I don’t have a clue what is happening with that ammo supplies, despite my best efforts to get into things. It is certainly an issue, but how big and how serious, is a mystery. Many rumors are circulating around but its hard to say which version is closest to the truth, if any. Russia doesn’t have problem with ammo in general, so why this is the case here is question that needs to be addressed as soon as possible. It’s also possible that psy op is ongoing.

According to a reliable UA source (yes it’s all true so far) UA has started to withdraw to the last line in Bakhmut. Some units cover the retreat. Should it prove to be true, this will save Wagner from conquering some high-rise buildings. That’s why I’m a little surprised at the step of withdrawing at this point in time. I’ll wait and see what my sources tell me. But the UA source has always been right up until now. We will see.

We publish a request from the editors of RuNews24 and the answer:
 Dear Evgeny Viktorovich! Deputy Chairman of the State Duma Sergei Neverov offered to invite you to speak in the State Duma and discuss the position that you voiced in your interview with Semyon Pegov.
I would like to know your reaction. Will you agree to such an invitation, if it comes?

We publish a comment by Evgeny Prigozhin:
 “I am ready to speak in the State Duma, in hell, in heaven, in the underpass, wherever you say. In order to change the situation for the better, in order to understand the true situation that is developing today. I think that the State Duma is by far the best place for such a dialogue.”

After the battle for Artyomovsk (Bakhmut), the Ukrainian conflict may move to a new stage due to the losses of the Ukrainian army, said retired US Marine Corps intelligence officer Scott Ritter.

 “ The Battle of Artyomovsk broke the back of the Ukrainian army, and I can’t imagine how the Ukrainians could have fought another battle like this. They have used up all their resources, including the military and ammunition,” Ritter said.

He noted that in Ukraine there were no fortifications similar to Artyomovsk.

Zaporozhye direction situation as of 16.00 April 30, 2023

Ukrainian formations are finishing preparations for the announced offensive. In the Zaporozhye region, a comprehensive training was held with reserve units to enter the designated area and organize communications in the field.

🔻A battalion of the 116th mechanized brigade of the 10th army corps of the Armed Forces of Ukraine arrived at the Orekhovsky section . In addition, the command of the 128th Guards Rifle Brigade began moving assault groups to the front line. One of the units of the brigade arrived in Shcherbaki .

▪️In Omelnik, a forward command post for a group of troops was equipped. The other day, Ukrainian signalmen established a closed communication channel between the 108th troop unit and the country’s leadership in Kiev for interaction during the offensive.

🔻Paratroopers of the 46th airborne brigade of the Airborne Forces of Ukraine were deployed to the Gulyai-Polye sector . At least one battalion of the formation was understaffing in Pavlograd in the Dnipropetrovsk region.

▪️A group of special operations forces of Ukraine arrived at the Belogorye-Charivnoe line. SSO sniper crews equip firing points on the front line.

🔻Over the past few days, fuel, ammunition and military equipment have been actively transported through the island of Khortytsya to the Zaporozhye direction .

❗️Also, additional tactical aircraft Su-25 and MiG-29 from the base in Starokonstantinov flew to the airfields Shirokoe and Dolgintsevo near Zaporozhye and Krivoy Rog .

#Chronicle of the Special Military Operation for 29-30 Apr 2023⚡️

🔹#Russia’s Border Areas:

▪️ In #Bryansk region, Ukrainian terror formations launched missile strikes on the village of #Suzemka, four people were killed, two more taken to hospital.

▪️ In #Kursk region, the AFU terrorists shelled residential buildings in the village of Krasnooktyabrsky. Civilians were not injured.

▪️ In #Belgorod region, the enemy terrorists hit private households and power lines in Novaya Tavolzhanka. Residents of five villages were left without electricity.
➖ Russian air defence assets intercepted an AFU drone in #Belgorod region, according to preliminary information, no casualties.

🔹#Lugansk People’s Republic:

▪️ In the town of #Bryanka on Saturday, the AFU terrorists fired at least four rockets from HIMARS at civilian targets, residential houses, a petrol station, an employment centre and a power transmission line were damaged.

🔹#Soledar (#Bakhmut) Direction:

▪️ Wagner PMC assault squads have taken control of the Military Unit in the western districts of #Bakhmut.

▪️ Russian units advanced along Pobeda Street and Levanevsky Street.

▪️ The Wagnerians dislodged Ukrainian formations from Polevaya Street and also stormed enemy positions on Chaykovsky Street.

🔹#Donetsk Direction (MAP (https://t.me/sitrepmaps/2186)):

▪️ North of #Avdeyevka, heavy positional fighting continues along the entire line of contact near #Krasnogorovka.

▪️ To the south, assault squads of the AFU 53rd Mechanized Brigade have twice attempted to attack Russian army positions near #Vodyanoye over the past few days.
➖ The Russian forces successfully repulsed the offensive and launched a counterattack, pushing the enemy back to their initial lines.

▪️ The AFU terrorists once again shelled #Donetsk agglomeration with barrel and rocket artillery, several people were injured and more than five civilian buildings have been damaged.

▪️ In the centre of #Maryinka, Russian troops broke through enemy defences near Druzhba Avenue and advanced along Polygraphic and Kashtanova Streets.
➖ On the southern outskirts, Russian Armed Forces units are fighting near Gorgaz and a timber processing plant.

🔹#Zaporozhye Direction (MAP (https://t.me/sitrepmaps/2201)):

▪️ Overnight the enemy shelled Tokmak, damaging a railway depot and a maintenance station, casualties avoided.

▪️ Over Energodar, two drones were shot down by air defence, no civilian casualties or destruction.

▪️ Ukrainian formations have almost completed preparations for the counteroffensive. The enemy has transferred additional fighter aviation to airfields in the region.

🔹#Dnepropetrovsk Region:

▪️ In Pavlograd, Russian troops hit an enemy facility, a precise hit led to a munitions detonation and a major fire.

🔹#Kherson Direction on #SouthFront:
 
▪️ Mutual shelling continues along the entire contact line. Russian troops inflicted fire damage on the identified enemy positions in #Kherson, #Berislav and #Tyaginka, and also used guided aerial bombs on a cluster of APU in Kizomys.

▪️ Ukrainian formations shelled the left bank of #Kherson region, civilian infrastructure was damaged in Novaya Kakhovka, Golaya Pristan and #Alyoshki.

🔹#Crimea:

▪️ On Saturday, at least ten Ukrainian drones attempted to attack ground facilities on the Crimean peninsula.
➖  In #Sevastopol, a fuel tank was damaged and a large fire broke out at the facility. The remaining drones were successfully shot down.

🔸Political and other Events:

▪️ Czech President Petr Pavel visited #Dnepropetrovsk, where he promised to allocate more shells to the AFU for the counteroffensive.

▪️ AFU Commander-in-Chief Valery Zaluzhny has discussed the prospects of the counteroffensive with the chief of the US Joint Forces in Europe, General Christopher Kavoli.

▪️ Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky held a phone conversation with French President Emmanuel Macron.

▪️ Germany has confirmed the transfer of a second Iris-T air defence system to #Ukraine, as well as ten off-road trucks.

Ukrainian Front Update [30 April 2023]

Special Operation, 30 Apr 2023, Main; pub. 21:38⚡️

▪️ Assault squads took control of four more neighbourhoods in #Artyomovsk, Russian Ministry of Defence (MoD) said;

▪️ As a result of a missile strike on the temporary deployment points of the Ukrainian military in #Konstantinovka, more than 200 people were killed, the military department said;

▪️ In the #Donetsk direction, the enemy suffered over 480 Ukrainian servicemen and mercenaries in a day, MoD said;

▪️ The death toll in overnight shelling of the village of #Suzemka in the #Bryansk region has risen to four, the governor said;

▪️ Zelensky said he had briefed Macron on the situation on the frontline and its prospects for May-June;

▪️ Russian military shoots down UAV carrying US-made explosives near #Energodar, law enforcement official said;

▪️ Lithuanian president said that #Ukraine cannot join #NATO until the conflict is over, he said, “it would be too difficult”.

Russian Defence Ministry Report on the Progress of the Special Military Operation (30 April 2023)⚡️
 
The RF Armed Forces continue the special military operation.
 
💥 In Kupyansk direction, Operational-Tactical and Army aviation and artillery of the Zapad Group of Forces inflicted fire damage on the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) close to Sinkovka, Kislovka, Kamenka, Masyutovka (Kharkov region), and Novoselovskoye (LPR).

◽️ Two sabotage and reconnaissance groups of the AFU have been disabled close to Olshana and Berestovoye.

◽️ Up to 85 Ukrainian troops, 2 AFVs, and 3 pickup trucks have been neutralised.
 
◽️ In Krasny Liman direction, ground-attack aircraft and artillery of the Tsentr Group of Forces engaged the units of the AFU close to Makeyevka and Chervonaya Dibrova (LPR), and Serebryanskoye forestry.

◽️ Up to 65 Ukrainian personnel, 1 AFV, 3 motor vehicles, and 2 D-20 and D-30 howitzers have been eliminated.

💥 In Donetsk direction, the assault squads continue forcing the enemy out of the western part of the city of Artyomovsk, and have seized 4 blocks. Russia’s Airborne Troops have been paralysing the enemy in the northern and southern outskirts of the city.

◽️ Aviation, Missile Troops and Artillery, and heavy flamethrowers of the Yug Group of Forces have engaged the AFU units close to Bogdanovka and Artyomovskoye (DPR).

◽️ The Russian aviation have made 4 sorties in this area during the day. The artillery of the Yug Group of Forces have performed 61 firing missions.

💥 More than 200 Ukrainian troops have been eliminated and around 280 more have been evacuated with injuries of varying severity as a result of a missile strike on temporary deployment areas of the 24th Mechanised Brigade and a unit of the AFU Special Operations Forces close to Konstantinovka (DPR).

💥 An artillery ammunition depot  of the 54th Mechanised Brigade of the AFU has been annihilated near Belogorovka (LPR).

◽️ The enemy losses in this direction have amounted to over 480 Ukrainian troops and mercenaries, 12 AFVs, 30 motor vehicles, 1 D-20 howitzer, and 1 Gvozdika self-propelled artillery system during the day.

💥 In South Donetsk and Zaporozhye directions, aviation and artillery of the Vostok Group of Forces inflicted fire damage on the AFU units close to Ugledar and Vladimirovka (DPR).

◽️ Up to 30 Ukrainian troops, 1 AFV, 2 motor vehicles, as well as Msta-B and D-30 howitzers have been neutralised in these directions during the day.

💥 In Kherson direction, over 10 Ukrainian servicemen, 1 motor vehicle, 1 one Msta-B howitzer have been neutralised by fire.

◽️ In addition, a U.S.-made AN/TPQ-36 counter-battery radar station was obliterated near Ponyatovka (Kherson region).

💥 Operational-Tactical and Army aviation, Missile Troops and Artillery of the Russian Group of Forces have engaged 82 AFU artillery units, manpower and hardware in 115 areas during the day.
 
◽️ The command post of the 81st Airmobile Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces was hit near Belogorovka (LPR).

💥 In the vicinity of Svessa (Sumy region), a military equipment and armament repair facility of the 117th Territorial Defence Brigade was hit.

💥 In addition, up to 200 tonnes of AFU troops ammunition have been destroyed as a result of a strike on a train at a railway station near Kramatorsk (DPR).

💥 Air defence facilities have intercepted 7 HIMARS and Uragan projectiles.

💥 Moreover, 4 Ukrainian UAVs have been downed close to Novenkoye (Sumy region), Trudovoye, Chistopolye (Zaporozhye region), and Kirillovka (DPR).

‘Won’t wait for your fighters’: Zelensky unhappy with U.S. as Biden refuses F16 jets

Kyiv to launch counter-offensive, Zelenskiy says

“The main battles are coming soon,” Ukraine’s president says

Bad forebodings of professor, political scientist Dmitry Evstafiev: “Remark.
 Again short (a lot of work).
 According to the results of observations of the information flow of the last ten days:
 We again have a lot of bravura PR.  And very often it doesn’t work at all.  And out of place.
 Bad symptom.
 According to recent experience, our boasting ends in grandiose failures and defeats, for which, as usual, no one bears any responsibility.
 Does climate affect this?
 It’s chilly, colleagues, it’s very chilly on the eve of important events” https://t.me/dimonundmir/11304

And I won’t sing victory marches. But I won’t scare you either, you’re already scared. I already told you that with what  the more successful the possible offensive of the Ukrainian army of the United States and NATO, the stronger will be the response of Russia and, as a result, the less will be left of Ukraine, NATO and the United States.

Putin threatens NATO nation; Moscow fumes at Poland’s action against Russian Embassy school

Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki said the razor wire fence along the border with the Russian exclave Kaliningrad would be reinforced again.

‘Russian Army tried to capture my Kyiv office’: Zelensky’s big reveal amid war in Ukraine