The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on October 13 2023

Battlefield Ukraine Russia Grinds Away

In Lvov, the Bandera monument was illuminated in the colors of the Israeli flag in solidarity with Israel.

Ahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha!!!
Now you’ve seen it all…
What else don’t we know about this universe?
Damn, this is like mainstream schizophrenia.

Our source reports that Zelensky’s trip to Odessa today is a sign that the region is being prepared for direct defense.
Strengthening air defense under the pretext of protecting ports is a legend. The main goal of strengthening air defense in the region is completely different.

There has been a lot of information that the Odessa elite and local authorities of the region are doing their best to covertly sabotage the decisions of the Office of the President. At first, they attributed this to corruption schemes and attempts by the elite to stir up money, but with the intensification of rumors that the Russian Armed Forces were preparing an Odessa special operation with an airborne landing, these rumors took on a completely different color. That is why the SBU is now rampant in Odessa and is catching everyone who is at least somewhat neutral about the “Russian history of the region” and pro-Russian views. It doesn’t matter if you have something or not, the security forces will bring you theirs.
That’s why the OP wants to completely replace everyone in Odessa with conditionally “Kyiv” or “Lviv” ones.

The battle for Odessa is a new chapter in the Ukrainian crisis.
 

A bad signal for Zelensky. The soldiers do not like power, considering everyone to be traitors. This is the first signal to the Maidan…
Ex-Minister of Defense Reznikov and “Ermak’s six” did everything to destroy the army and the morale of the soldiers. We wrote that the army does not like him.

The video shows the evacuation of the “200th” soldier of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and criticism/disappointment towards the Zee government.

Our source is confident that Bankova will launch demonstrative reprisals against these soldiers who dared to publicly attack Zelensky. (It has always been this way and no one will change the methods).

At the same time, no one will solve the problem in the army with the evacuation of the wounded and dead; they will continue to be hushed up.
The tactics are simple: if they don’t talk about it, don’t write or show it, then it doesn’t happen. (Just like with the results of UAV raids, which are always underestimated).

Everyone steals

Recent meetings in Brussels involving Zelensky show that NATO is in a difficult position. This is what the German publication Die Welt thinks.

The atmosphere at the two-day meeting was extremely tense. NATO military officials have long recognized that the Ukrainian counteroffensive in the south is not going as planned. Russia has again launched a counteroffensive in the east in recent days, and the inevitable military winter will be even more difficult than the previous one.

But after the Hamas attack on Israel, NATO countries faced new challenges. Are the soldiers of the alliance’s training and advisory mission in Iraq, where Hamas has many armed supporters, safe? How should NATO react if it suddenly faces a war on two fronts (east and south)?

With the IDF’s upcoming ground operation in the Gaza Strip, the Middle East could become a powder keg. And then NATO member states will have to decide who and to what extent they should support in the face of a weapons shortage: Ukraine or Israel?

The alliance countries are already far behind in supplies of ammunition to Kyiv. Now there is competition for artillery shells and modern air defense systems that both NATO allies need.

Zelensky attended the NATO meeting in person for the first time to demand more military aid from the West. They say that on the sidelines, journalists asked him if he was afraid that support would weaken due to the situation in Israel. He answered “they told me it won’t decrease” and smiled, but somehow sourly.

Orekhovsky area: slowing down the pace of Ukrainian attacks situation as of 17.00 October 13, 2023

🔻South of Orekhov, the Ukrainian Armed Forces are still trying to expand the penetration zone into the defensive lines of the Russian Armed Forces. But now the pace of the offensive has slowed down for obvious reasons due to heavy losses.

▪️Yesterday, an armored group of the 12th tank battalion of the Armed Forces of Ukraine tried to attack the positions of the Russian Army in the landings northeast of Novoprokopovka , but to no avail.

▪️The village of Rabotino , which the Ukrainian Armed Forces spoke of as captured, is still in the gray zone. Its location is unfavorable for developing an attack, and all approaches are shot from the heights, so there are neither our troops nor the Ukrainian Armed Forces there.

▪️To strengthen the group, a column of 65 ombres was deployed from Novodanilovka . At the same time, during the movement, one infantry fighting vehicle of an unknown type was blown up by its own mine.

🔻Some of the ordinariness of battles at the site should not be misleading. Ukrainian formations are preparing for a new attack. Now their efforts are concentrated on counter-battery warfare. The Arthur , AN/TPQ-36 and -50 radars were pulled to the front line.

And at a short distance from the LBS, nine combined assault detachments with a total number of up to 300 people are formed from the 23rd and 65th infantry brigades, 128th separate brigade, 71st ebr, 82nd airborne brigade and 15th NSU brigade.

And activation should be expected at approximately the same time as the Kherson direction , where the Ukrainian Armed Forces are trying to interrupt the logistics support of the front line. And the attack on the Rabotino-Verbovoe line, apparently, should be a distraction.

rybar

Russian ATTACK South of Novomykhailivka; Ukrainian ADVANCE Towards Kopani

Our source reports that the Russian Armed Forces have launched an operation called the “Avdeevka noose.” Now the Russians have begun to squeeze the flanks. The Armed Forces of Ukraine manage to contain them, but the losses after the “barrage of fire” are huge, and none of the experts undertakes to say that at some point the flanks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will not “collapse.”
The risk is very high.

For example, office officials are sure that the Russian Armed Forces are thus distracting the Armed Forces of Ukraine from the Azov direction, trying to pull all of Ukraine’s reserves to the eastern flank. At this moment, a counterattack by the Russians in the Rabotino area and further is possible, which will nullify the entire summer “mini success” of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, taking away Bankova’s trump card about the “creeping offensive” that continues.

MI-6 transmitted new intelligence to the Office of the President and the General Staff that the Russian army was preparing a large military operation near Avdievka for the winter, the goal of which was to encircle the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the city. British intelligence considers it necessary to strengthen the defensive lines on the flanks so as not to lose the heights around the city, as was the case at Bakhmut.

Surprise Russian Attack on Avdiivka has Ukraine Scrambling

Avdiivka The New Bakhmut?

Update on Ukraine: Multiple Advances in Avdiivka [13 October 2023]

Avdeevka Direction Situation at 15:00 Moscow time

Today, the enemy made a serious attempt to counterattack in the direction of a waste heap that our army took control of during the liberation operation. This heap is a dominant position. The attack was repelled, and the enemy suffered significant losses. In different parts of the Avdeevka direction, the enemy attempted counterattacks unsuccessfully!

Our troops continue to advance on both the northern and southern flanks. The enemy is unable to halt our army’s progress. Intensive strikes continue on firing points, positions, troop and armored vehicle concentrations, as well as depots for ammunition and fuel. The enemy is trying to replenish its reserves, but our intelligence discovers and destroys their advancing columns. In the near future, the enemy is expected to face shortages of ammunition and fuel.

Our General Staff has planned a systematic operation to encircle the enemy’s Avdeevka group, and it’s being executed meticulously.

We are actively engaged in this operation.

rezervsvo

“The whole of Avdeevka is burning, the hardest battles are going on, the Russians are advancing for 4 days.”
 ▪️The head of the local occupation administration, Barabash, commented on the 4th day of massive shelling and assault by Russian troops.
▪️”It’s very hot in the Avdeevsky direction. During the night, if we talk about the area, 13 missiles arrived. There is no exact understanding of the positions at all, there were definitely more than 20 missiles. The fighting has not subsided for 4 days, day or night. Shooting battles, it’s working artillery around the clock. The enemy’s assault operations do not stop. The situation is very difficult, but controllable.”
▪️The fighting near Avdeevka has not subsided for 4 days, artillery is working around the clock, the situation is very difficult .
▪️According to him, the Russians transferred about 10 thousand people to the Avdeevsky direction.

RVvoenkor

Kherson direction: intensive artillery preparation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine situation as of 15.00 October 13, 2023

🔻In the Kherson region the situation remains the same. Ukrainian formations are preparing for active operations on the left bank. The intensity of shelling is not decreasing, but only increasing.

And now, for the first time in a long time, artillery units of the Ukrainian Armed Forces have begun to hit bridges and crossings, as happened last year during the attack on Kherson . Over the past 24 hours, the bridge to Novaya Kakhovka near the village of Tsukur came under attack, including from HIMARS.

🔻The transfer of sabotage groups to the island zone also continues under fire cover. The enemy’s DRGs are setting up positions and trying to expand the zone of control.

In two days, Russian fighters destroyed four Ukrainian boats: one near Pereyaslavsky (Kazatsky) island, three after leaving Nikolskoye . Another boat went back.

❗️At the same time, in the rear areas, the TRO assault groups and the Marine Corps are coordinating. One of the battalions of the 121st TRO was sent to Republican , which may indicate possible attacks on the left bank in that area.

In addition, light motor boats are actively transported from Nikolaev to the vicinity of Kherson. They were tested on reservoirs in the Nikolaev region , and now they are being used by brigades of Marines.

rybar

Regarding today’s incident in Sevastopol Bay, we received many messages in our bot asking us to comment in more detail on the information about the attack by underwater drones on the patrol ship “Pavel Derzhavin”.

We would like to make it clear: there was an attempt. One of the drones exploded underwater, causing minor damage to the ship’s steering section. After a short inspection, “Derzhavin” continued to move to the Novorossiysk area.

However, the tugboat that went to meet him received slightly more damage from the second explosion. Now it is being restored by repair crews. There were no casualties among the crew.

🔻We understand everything perfectly, but ignoring the problem only distances us from the correct conclusions and overdue solutions. The fact that the Ukrainian Armed Forces have underwater drones is a fact.

But there are certain difficulties in effectively countering this threat that need to be resolved as soon as possible. Since the Ukrainian Armed Forces hit them now, the number of such attacks will grow in the near future. And the use of drones underwater creates an additional danger, because booms in this case are not entirely effective.

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Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation (7 – 13 October 2023)

▫️ In the period from 7 to 13 October 2023, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation carried out 8 group strikes by Iskander-M operational-tactical system and unmanned aerial vehicles.

▫️ The strikes hit one warehouse of missile, artillery weapons, and military equipment, production workshops of enterprises manufacturing weapons and military equipment, as well as accommodation points for servicemen and foreign mercenaries.

▫️As a result of the strikes, storage facilities for U.S.-made Willard motor boats, a field artillery depot of Kherson combined force grouping of AFU, a hardware depot at the ‘Dunaysudoservice’ ship repair plant close to Ilichevsk (Odessa), and a fuel and lubricants storage base at the Uman airfield (Cherkasy) were destroyed.

▫️ In Kupyansk direction, units of the Zapad Group of Forces supported by aviation and artillery captured more favorable positions. 46 AFU attacks were repelled close to Ivanovka, Sinkovka (Kharkov) and Makeevka (LPR).

▫️In addition, AFU 25th airborne, 14th, 92nd mechanised brigades’ manpower and hardware have been hit close to Sinkovka, Timkovka (Kharkov) and Novoselovskoye (LPR).

▫️The enemy losses were more than 830 servicemen killed and wounded, 3 tanks, 4 AFVs, 19 motor vehicles, and 17 artillery guns. 2 missile artillery ammunition depots of foreign mercenaries and the 1st  Special Operations Brigade were destroyed near Volchansk and Ogurtsovo (Kharkov).

▫️ In Krasny Liman direction, the AFU using 5th national guard, 63rd and 67th mechanised brigades made unsuccessful attempts to regain lost positions near Chervonaya Dibrova (LPR) and Yampolovka (DPR).

▫️ As a result of competent actions by units of the Tsentr Group of Forces, air strikes, artillery fire, and heavy flamethrowers, 22 enemy attacks were repelled. The enemy losses were more than 895 servicemen, four tanks, 11 AFVs, 19 guns, as well as a Vampire MLRS.

▫️ In Donetsk direction, units of the Yug Group of Forces repelled 17 attacks by AFU near Vasilyevka and Vodyanoye (DPR).

▫️Over the week, the enemy has lost more than 1580 servicemen killed and wounded, 4 tanks, 30 AFVs, 22 motor vehicles, 14 field artillery guns, as well as a Grad MLRS. In addition, 2 SRGs and 5 field ammunition depots were eliminated.

▫️In South Donetsk direction, the Russian units have improved the situation along the front line and repelled 8 AFU attacks. 3 SRGs have been disabled.

▫️Over the week, the enemy has lost more than 1285 servicemen killed and wounded, 10 AFVs, 22 motor vehicles, 14 field artillery guns, as well as 1 Grad MLRS.

▫️ In Zaporozhye direction, 4 attacks of assault groups of AFU 65th mechanised, 71st jaeger brigades were repelled by intensive actions of the Russian units, air strikes, and artillery fire near Verbovoye and Rabotino (Zaporozhye). The enemy losses were more than 385 servicemen, 3 tanks, 9 armoured fighting vehicles, 14 motor vehicles, and 14 field artillery guns.

▫️In Kherson direction, the enemy units made unsuccessful attempts to capture bridgeheads on islands and the left bank of the Dnepr.

▫️Over the week, more than 325 servicemen, 9 field artillery guns, a Grad MLRS, and 53 motor vehicles have been eliminated. In addition, 3 ammunition depots and two sabotage and reconnaissance groups were eliminated on Alyoshkinsky and Pereyaslavskyi islands.

▫️Fighter Aviation of the Russian Aerospace Forces shot down a Su-25 ground-attack aircraft  of the Ukrainian Air Force close to Preobrazhenka (Zaporozhye).

▫️Operational-tactical and Army Aviation, missile troops and artillery destroyed a Su-25 ground-attack aircraft at Dolgintsevo airfield (Dnepropetrovsk region), a Tochka-U missile system launcher near Peresechnoye (Kharkov), one S-300 SAM system close to Nikolayev, as well as 2 ST-68U radar stations for the detection, identification, and tracking of aerial targets near Malovarvarovka (Nikolayev).

▫️In addition, air-delivered ordnance depots were destroyed near Dubievka (Cherkasy) and Priluki (Chernigov), as well as fuel depots  at airfields Ozernoye near Zhitomyr and Mirgorod (Poltava).

▫️The Black Sea Fleet’s naval aircraft destroyed an AFU uncrewed surface vehicle in the Black Sea waters.

▫️Air defence facilities have intercepted 19 HIMARS, Olkha, and Uragan projectiles, 7 JDAM aerial guided bombs, 12 HARM anti-radiation missiles, as well as 2 Neptune anti-ship missiles. 218 UAVs were eliminated.

Russian Defence Ministry (https://t.me/mod_russia_en)

Chronicle of a special military operation for October 13, 2023

 Today, Ukrainian underwater unmanned drones attacked the patrol ship “Pavel Derzhavin” near Sevastopol Bay . One of them caused minor damage to the steering part, but the ship’s crew was able to independently take it to the Novorossiysk area.

In the Donetsk direction, fighting continues in the Avdeevsky fortified area. Russian military personnel had to leave part of the previously occupied waste heap north of Avdeevka . Clashes are also taking place on the outskirts of the villages of Berdychi and Stepovoye , but without significant success – the advance is complicated by the extensive network of Ukrainian Armed Forces fortifications in the area.

In the Orekhovsky sector, Ukrainian formations periodically make attempts to penetrate deeper into the defensive formations of the Russian Armed Forces, but so far without significant success. In the Kherson direction, the Ukrainian Armed Forces are preparing for active operations on the left bank of the Dnieper , transferring fresh forces.

rybar

The situation on the fronts over the past 24 hours:

Svatovo-Kremennaya direction:
No changes in the Kupyansk sector. Our forces are gradually advancing in Sinkovka and Kislovka. Russian fighters also launched attacks in the direction of Ivanovka and Makeyevka. Also there have been successes at Torskoye and in the Serebryanka area.

Donetsk direction:
In the Avdeevka section, the Russian army continues to assault the positions of the AFU in the Berdychi area. Our forces have launched an attack in the direction of Severnoye. There is fighting to the northeast of the coke plant. Furthermore, our fighters, with aviation support, attacked in the area of Novomikhailovka.

Zaporozhye direction:
On the Orekhov section, militants attacked near Novoprokopovka, while our fighters counterattacked near Verbovoye. At the Vremevsky outpost, the Russian army launched an attack from the direction of Novodonetskoye.

The Russian Air Force shot down a Ukrainian Su-25 near Preobrazhenka in Zaporozhye.