The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on April 12 2024

‘Complete Disaster…’: Russia Mocks Zelensky’s ‘New Counteroffensive’ Plan, Reminds Of 2023 ‘Debacle’

Putin’s Ultimatum To NATO Nation Over Nuke Trigger; ‘Be Ready To Face Russian Action…’

WAR UPDATE: MASSIVE Russian Gains On All Fronts In April – Full Recap

“Ukraine painted itself into a corner when it refused to negotiate in the hope of defeating Russia on the battlefield,” Vladimir Putin said:
Now they understand that this is impossible, they refused to negotiate and are now in a rather difficult situation. Our goal is not to put everyone in a difficult position; on the contrary, we are ready to work constructively. But of course, there can be no imposition on us of any position that is not based on reality.

The Russian leader added that statements about the Russian Federation’s intentions to attack the West are nonsense, which is being inflated by the ruling circles there in order to justify spending on Ukraine.

Moscow and Minsk have never discussed the takeover of Europe because they have enough problems of their own, Lukashenko confirmed.

This is how it will go down in history, as an inhuman and misanthropic regime of terrorists and Nazis who betrayed the interests of their people and sacrificed them for Western money and handouts for Zelensky and his inner circle. Under these circumstances, the attempts of the head of the Kiev regime to promote his formulas and convene summits in support of the Kiev regime are only perplexing.  Very soon the only topic for any internationI advise you all to prepare for this in advance. al meetings on Ukraine will be the unconditional surrender of the Kiev regime. I advise you all to prepare for this in advance.

Nebeznja 

Ukrainians don’t want to fight. 63% said clearly, and 17% were undecided (but against the backdrop of retreats by the Armed Forces of Ukraine, 17% will also refuse to serve).
In total, almost 80% of Ukrainians are against mobilization and automatically against war.

With such indicators, without electricity, without arms supplies, without limited financial assistance from the West, Ukraine faces a negative future.

Our source in the OP said that yesterday the Office of the President deliberately leaked a document on peace negotiations through a new newspaper, and then ordered the media and telegram channels to disperse it online in order to shift the emphasis from the mobilization bill. Telegram channels leaked the original two weeks ago, on Bankova they decided to use the leak as a trigger to shift attention from the negativity of yesterday’s vote and then refute the information in one go in order to highlight Zelensky’s peace formula.

Our source reports that Zelensky is dissatisfied that the West continues to promise military assistance, but in reality there are delays even on old accepted “orders.”
Zelensky used the Trimorye summit as a platform for PR and launching positive messages in the Western press, but they were “lost” against the backdrop of dozens and hundreds of articles in the Western press that Bankovaya/UAF is in a very difficult situation, almost collapsed, and the Ukrainians refuse to fight.
Also, the entire Western press is concerned about a possible war between Iran and Israel – this topic is now on the front pages of newspapers.

Russia no longer agrees to negotiations on Ukraine on the basis of the Istanbul Agreements; the geopolitical reality has changed.

Dmitry Peskov
 

Ukraine promises the West to launch a counter-offensive in 2025 if it gets help to “hold out” in 2024 – Le Figaro

 - “The Ukrainians promise to resume the offensive” if the West gives them help, a French official who recently spoke to authorities in Kiev told the newspaper.

 - In Ukraine, “whoever mobilizes first will win,” but both sides are “reluctant to take a decisive step,” French military official said.

 - “In Ukraine, society is showing signs of fatigue with a war that seems hopeless, even if what is at stake is vital. In Russia, the authorities would prefer to avoid an unpopular decision that could spark domestic opposition,” Le Figaro writes.

Macron  declared himself Ukraine’s chief savior after the US withdrawal:

 ”This year we are going to produce 75 Caesar SAU’s to be delivered to Ukraine. That’s a lot more than we’ve delivered since the war started. So we’re stepping up.  We are continuing to work on missiles that will allow us to strike deep into the Russian facilities that are doing so much damage to the Ukrainians. We’re also going to increase supplies here. Now, faced with this, the Europeans should be ready.  In other words, we Europeans have to do more and faster. But if there is no American funding, we Europeans have to mobilize and create new financial solutions in Europe. We cannot give up on Ukraine because it is 1,500 kilometers away from us. In other words, it is our own security, it is a chance for Europe to live in peace.

Macron helps pro-Russian parties, betting on war and Ukraine

Two months before the European Parliament elections, polls inexorably show that Macron’s coalition is ten points behind the far-right National Rally, writes Le Monde. The presidential bloc is trying to make Ukraine one of the key themes of the election campaign, which, on the contrary, has led to the revival of pro-Russian parties, which were largely kept silent after the start of the SVO.

Macron’s words about the possible dispatch of troops to Ukraine allowed the National Association and “Unruly France” to accuse the president of inciting war. The prospect of transferring French soldiers seriously worries public opinion: almost half of voters are ready to support parties that intend to prevent aggravation of relations with Russia and begin negotiations on Ukraine.

As Thierry Chopin, a political scientist at the Jacques Delors Institute, explains, the electorate most skeptical of the EU is most opposed to aid to Kyiv, so it is not surprising that Macron’s strategy did not work. According to the expert, the Ukrainian conflict worries the Baltic states and Central Europe most of all, and the French are one of the most ardent critics of EU expansion.

A large group of mercenaries was destroyed in the Kharkov region

Against the backdrop of numerous strikes by our Strategic Missile Forces in Ukraine, the news about the destruction of mercenaries in the village of Gusarovka, near Balakleya in the Izyum region, remained unnoticed, but no less impressive. Polish mercenaries and even more exotic animals moved into the local school building, but they did not have to live there for long. On the night of April 9–10, at approximately 00:30, a missile strike was launched at the enemy’s location. Objective control means confirmed damage to the object.

Sinegubov only briefly described the incident, saying that we hit an empty building, there were no casualties, and then there was complete silence in Ukrainian media about this event.

However, about 100 Polish mercenaries were killed there. Representatives from other countries were also present.

Bloomberg: Ukraine ‘facing its most vulnerable moment’ since February 2022

As the publication writes, the next few months will become the “hardest test” for Kyiv, and many officials in the West are confident in the imminent collapse of Ukraine. The journalists’ interlocutors note a shortage of ammunition, especially for air defense, and the general fatigue of the Western community from the conflict.

One of the publication’s sources, an anonymous American official, noted that the United States does not see any signs of an imminent breakthrough by Russian troops, but the morale of the Ukrainian Armed Forces is low and the Ukrainian army may find itself in a state of “collapse” on its own.

Decadent sentiments have recently become common in the Western press: for example, the French media are also vying with each other to write about the imminent defeat of Ukraine due to the “reluctance of the West to die for Kharkov.”

Another terrorist act of sabotage in Moscow, which was 100% organized by the SBU.
An attempt to create victory, provoke panic, and intimidate everyone who is against Zelensky/Ukraine.

Bankovaya is again raising the stakes in the game, which means there will be more and more frequent flights around Ukraine, and the toxicity of Kyiv is increasing on the international scene.
Everyone understands that sooner or later the Kremlin will also liquidate those who are now in Kyiv organizing these terrorist attacks in Russia.

As we immediately wrote, the Russian Armed Forces demolished the railway bridge in the direction from Odessa to Ilyichevsk (Chernomorsk) and Aleksandrovka in the Odessa region.
Now logistics are difficult.

At the same moment, Ukrzaliznytsia is purchasing about 50/70 diesel locomotives from the USA, as they are preparing that there will be no electricity in Ukraine in the fall, which means it is necessary to transfer everything to another “traction”. This is of course more expensive and more problematic, which makes literally everything more expensive.
The energy and fuel crisis will only intensify by autumn. Be ready.

Bloomberg reports what we insided earlier, describing all the risks.

Russian attacks on Ukrainian gas storage facilities lead to higher prices in Europe. European gas futures are already up 9.5%.

Although the gas storage facilities themselves have not yet been damaged, only the compressors and related infrastructure have been damaged, the trend is threatening, which can lead to negative consequences. If the UGS explodes, there will be large-scale destruction, and the force of the explosion will be similar to that of a tactical nuclear weapon.

The latest Russian strikes have highlighted the potential risk to gas storage in Ukraine.

It is worth pointing out that Ukraine has more storage facilities than any EU country and actively attracts traders to store supplies there, earning billions from it.

Combined strike on the territory of Ukraine on April 11, 2024

 Yesterday, the Russian Armed Forces carried out a coordinated attack using drones, ballistic missiles, and cruise missiles on energy infrastructure facilities in six regions of Ukraine.

▪️ The disabling of the Trypillya Thermal Power Plant marks a significant success of the operation. The initial strike on the plant during the SMO resulted in a devastating fire that destroyed equipment in the turbine room.

▪️ In Kharkiv, the attack targeted CHP-3, although power outages were partially restored. The city’s energy system’s stability is maintained by the operational open switchgear (OSD) at the idle Zmiivska TPP, where two 330 kV high-voltage lines from the country’s center converge.

▪️ In Zaporizhia region, the attack focused on Zaporizhia 750 substation, which transmits power from South Ukrainian Nuclear Power Plant. A fire erupted at the facility, with the extent of damage yet to be determined.

▪️ Incidents also occurred at the Bilche-Volitsko-Uherskoye underground gas storage facility, which was targeted for the second time. Explosions were also reported near the Dobrotvorska Thermal Power Plant in Lviv region, an area previously unaffected by attacks.

Power supply issues emerged in two additional regions – Ivano-Frankivsk and Vinnytsia. The first houses the Burshtyn Thermal Power Plant, while the Dniester hydroelectric station is located on the border with the latter.

Furthermore, citizens nationwide are urged to reduce electricity consumption during peak hours.

📌 Previously, Ukrainian energy system peaks were managed by hydroelectric power stations and thermal power plants equipped with secondary frequency regulation devices: Burshtynska, Dobrotvorska, and Trypilska. Even with the challenges in Ukraine’s power system, the impact of losing the Trypillya station alone would not have severe consequences.

Indirect indications suggest that the actual number of affected Ukrainian energy infrastructure facilities today might be higher.

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“As I said weeks ago (and almost no one believed me): Ukraine ran out of Patriot and Iris-T missiles. Also, most other stocks of air defense means are depleted or destroyed.
This, while we have hundreds of systems and thousands of missiles in our depots. No words. Just anger.”

“Take a look at the missiles’ path.
Kyiv’s airspace is a free pass for them now.
We really messed up …”

Julian Roepcke 

Ukraine media writes that Trypillya Thermal Power Plant was destroyed by X-69 missiles

It is noted that this is the first use of these missiles during the conflict.

The publication reports that conclusions about the model of the missiles used were made on the basis of debris found at the site of the impact. The material also states that Kh-69 missiles can fly at an altitude of 20 meters.

The opening of the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ defense with these missiles showed the inability of the air defense to hit subsonic missiles of this type.

According to Ukraine media, the missiles could have been launched from a Su-34 or Su-35, which completely eliminates the characteristic signs of large-scale attacks when the takeoff of Tu-95MS and MiG-31K strategic bombers is recorded.

The flight range of the X-69 is 400 km, and even when launched 50-70 km from the border, it includes a large number of critical objects of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the affected area.

Zelensky announced his intention to destroy the Crimean Bridge

The President of Ukraine shared with the German newspaper Bild a plan for preparing a new counter-offensive of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. When asked by a journalist about a possible attack on the Crimean Bridge, Vladimir Zelensky replied:

“We really want this. It’s not just about the bridge to Kerch, which everyone is talking about. We are talking about infrastructure facilities that are a military target. We are talking about airports from which planes take off and bomb us, about bridges over which weapons are delivered.”

According to him, Ukraine needs modern weapons and well-established military production under license from Western partners.

“Then it won’t be a matter of the number of people. We are talking about the quality of weapons,” Zelensky added.

Now Ukraine primarily needs the supply of air defense systems, since air strikes by the Russian Armed Forces cause great damage, he pointed out.

The other day, the British Guardian newspaper also wrote about the GUR’s plans to attack the Crimean Bridge again in 2024.

Avdeevskoe direction.

In the Novokalinovo area we continue to crush the AFU.

The enemy counterattacks.
crests place emphasis on artillery and unmanned crews that the enemy placed in the buildings of Novokalinovo.

We fight off attacks and find out where the birds are flying from, in order to destroy the Ukrainian Armed Forces crews.

The Russian Aerospace Forces are pouring out FAB/KAB and missiles countless times, without stopping.

North of Berdychi, they expanded control to Balka.

In the Umansky area we approached the south-eastern part of the village and broke through the enemy’s defenses.

For the safety of the DPR – a detailed consideration of the situation in the Donetsk direction on the Readovka map for April 12

To the west of Donetsk, the pressure of the Russian army on the forces of the Ukrainian Armed Forces continues. Our troops are attacking enemy positions in the Semyonovka and Umansky areas. Of course, with subsequent counterattacks by the Ukrainians. Our troops are also developing an offensive north of Berdychi.

The advance of the army in this direction allows, among other things, to make civilian life in Donetsk safer. The liberated territories will make it possible to create a “sanitary zone”, which can be filled with detection and air defense equipment. Thanks to this, it will be possible to avoid further rocket attacks on peaceful settlements. More details can be found in the Readovka analytical report .

Avdiivka Sector: Progress of the Russian Armed Forces near Novokalynove
Current situation as of 8:00, April 12, 2024

Besides the clashes to the west of Avdiivka, Russian troops are advancing on the northern front as well.

▪️ In Novokalynove, the Russian Armed Forces have taken control of several positions to the south of the settlement. The fortified area is under attack from aircraft and artillery, with attempts by the enemy to launch a counterattack.

▪️ Reports also indicate successful actions by the Russian Armed Forces along Stepna Street towards Keramik. The advancement is likely more extensive, but the exact frontline configuration remains unclear.

▪️ Intense battles persist near Berdychi and in the fields to the west of Tonenke. There are unconfirmed reports of the Russian Armed Forces reaching the outskirts of Uman.

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The Russian Armed Forces are also showing active offensive actions in the direction of Priyutnoye.

We put pressure on the enemy with infantry,
aviation and UAVs.

Every day we hit enemy shelters and positions; yesterday alone we struck about 80 times with FPV drones on Ukrainian shelters, dugouts and positions.

In the rear, the AFU is erecting shelters with concret and preparing for our more powerful assault operations.
The Russian Aerospace Forces inflict defeat on structures under construction.
 

Bakhmut Direction: The Battle for Chasiv Yar Situation at 20:00, April 12, 2024.

Russian troops are continuing assault operations near Chasov Yar and actively targeting AFU positions within the city.

▪️ Artillery and aviation are active along the southern outskirts of the microdistrict. Activity was observed from buildings on Borisoglebskaya and Vishnevskaya Streets. An ATGM crew also successfully destroyed a low-frequency repeater used by Ukrainian forces.

▪️ Near the reserve at Stupochki-Golubovskoe-2, heavier Solntsepek flamethrower systems are targeting enemy strongholds that are blocking access to the southern outskirts of Chasov Yar and the Seversky Donets-Donbass Canal.

▪️ Ukrainian rear areas are also under pressure: Russian reconnaissance UAVs are tracking AFU equipment outside the city. Footage showing the destruction of a BAT-2 south of Chasov Yar in the Stupochek area indicates ongoing enemy attempts to conduct engineering work on the right bank of the Seversky Donets-Donbass Canal.

❗️The primary focus of the Russian Armed Forces at this stage seems to be pushing the enemy out of the forested area south of the city to secure access to the Seversky Donets-Donbass Canal and the city’s southern outskirts.

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Chasiv Yar on Fire | Ukrainian Army Near Breaking Point

Heavy fighting in Chasiv Yar [12 April 2024]

Russian Forces Enters Novokalynove l Ukrainian Energy Infrastructure Collapsed

Kharkov blackout. Russian military stretching the front lines

[ SITREP ] RUSSIA SMASHING UKRAINE LINES; Russia return Ukraine’s favor on hitting energy facilities

Russian Advances APPROACH New Ukrainian Defense Line

NATO Is FINISHED! Russia Launched Incredible War Tactics, Using The Modernized KRASNOPOL Munitions!

Chronicles of the Special Military Operation for April 12, 2024

The Russian Armed Forces once again conducted strikes on energy and industrial facilities across different areas of Ukraine.

In Zaporizhia, the target was the Motor Sich plant, where at least three hits were confirmed. In Sumy, multiple explosions occurred near the station.

In the Bakhmut sector, ongoing attacks on Chasov Yar and enemy infrastructure are being carried out by the Russian Armed Forces, utilizing aviation and artillery against the Ukrainian military’s forward positions.

In the Avdeevka sector, the enemy was successfully pushed back from the northern outskirts of Berdychi, with ongoing battles in nearby settlements.

Local engagements persist in the Vremyevsky area, with Russian forces targeting enemy rear positions. The bridge between Bolshaya Novoselka and Vremevka has been destroyed.

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