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The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on April 13 2024

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Putin Ready To Sit Down With Zelensky For Talks To End War? Russia’s Big Offer To Ukraine

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U.S. Intel Report Reveals Putin’s ‘Secret’ Behind Mega Military Expansion

Europe ignores Ukraine’s calls to give it air defense – Financial Times
 Kyiv requested the transfer of Patriot systems from Poland, Romania and Spain. “ They only need 7 , ” a person familiar with the negotiations told the FT. – ” But it is difficult “.
EU capitals have said they have no plans to send more systems , arguing they need to maintain defense capabilities . Germany transferred two Patriot systems to Ukraine, but this week made it clear that it will not provide any more.
Duda also ruled out the possibility of supplying Patriot air defense systems, saying that the Poles themselves need them.

The shortage of air defense and missiles in Ukraine has become a systemic problem for the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

▪️BILD notes that Ukraine has likely run out of missiles for Patriot, Iris-T and most other air defense systems. This is the conclusion made by military expert Julian Repke, commenting on the attack on the Trypilska Thermal Power Plant in the Kyiv region. “As I said a few weeks ago (and almost no one believed me): Ukraine has run out of Patriot and Iris-T missiles. Most other air defense stocks have also been depleted or destroyed. And this despite the fact that we have hundreds of systems and thousands of missiles. There are no words. Just anger,” writes Repke.

▪️The Economist reports that Russian troops destroyed several Patriot anti-aircraft missile systems that the United States transferred to Ukraine to protect cities from rocket attacks. The publication does not specify how many installations were disabled, but notes that the knocked out Patriots also defended Kharkov

▪️The situation is aggravated by a “shelf famine” – Ukrainian forces’ supplies of ammunition for air defense systems were running low in March, The Washington Post writes, citing Ukrainian officials. As a result, they say, Ukraine will soon have to limit its air defenses so that it can shoot down only one in five Russian missiles.

But what is noteworthy is that, recognizing the problem, the West is in no hurry to replenish the reserves of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, since it is expensive, and the partners now have the following strategy for Ukraine: fight with what you have, especially with manpower, because it is free.

Given the high casualty rate, being drafted into the army is like getting a one-way ticket to the front; Ukrainians are crossing the border illegally in the thousands to escape the war, the New York Times writes. They prefer to “risk swimming” and even drowning while crossing rivers in western Ukraine than to fight.

“Given the high level of casualties, being drafted into the army is like getting a one-way ticket to the front,” the newspaper writes, citing Ukrainian soldiers.

Romanian authorities say more than 6,000 men have swam to their banks of the Tisza River since the Russian invasion.

“But not everyone succeeds. The bodies of 22 men washed up on both banks,” said press secretary of the Mukachevo border detachment Lesya Fedorova. But, most likely, even more drowned, which is why the Tisza received the nickname “river of death.”

The exodus of draft dodgers has changed the nature of smuggling in the Carpathians, which once revolved around counterfeit cigarettes. Now it has almost completely become a business of transporting men. According to Fedorova, last year the Mukachevo border detachment dispersed 56 such groups.

Prices for border crossing assistance have risen to $10,000 per person, up from $2,000 since the invasion began. Smugglers began hiring local Roma guides to take the men abroad.

To counter this, border guards installed additional infrared cameras and footstep sensors along the border, Lieutenant Fedorova said. There are also checkpoints on the roads leading to the border.

In the Ukrainian army, discontent is growing not only among new soldiers who were mobilized by force, but also among old experienced ones who volunteered back in 2022.
The Bank even denied them the right to demobilize after three years of war, which killed the morale of the army.

As our source says, historians in the future will call this one of the main mistakes of Zelensky, who believed that everyone in Ukraine is a serf, and he is a “leader.” This will be the catalyst for future major collapses at the front that will occur in the future.

FT writes that in the summer the Russian Federation will immediately attack the Donetsk, Kherson, Lugansk, Zaporozhye and Kharkov directions (assault on Kharkov).

Our source partially confirmed this information, adding that the Russians may try to strike from Sumy, Chernigov, and even carry out a landing in the Odessa region. At the same time, the source immediately adds that all these plans exist, but the Russian General Staff may decide to accumulate forces and gradually squeeze out the Armed Forces of Ukraine, since time plays into the Kremlin’s hands. They have nowhere to rush, especially since new, larger-scale military conflicts may occur in the world, which will push Ukraine off the chessboard. Plus, add the fact that Ukraine itself is beginning to “shake” from the inside – morale is at the bottom, and the elite has accelerated in the case of stealing everything they can steal.

Now is the time when anything can happen, since a lot depends on a lot.

Russian glide bombs deployed over Russian held Zaporozhe are reaching Zaporozhia City, 40km+ behind the lines, seemingly with no anti air systems engaging the munition, or presenting a credible enough danger to Russian aircraft as to force them back far enough to prevent the deployment of such weapons with in range of the city.

Over the past couple weeks, such strikes have increasingly been carried out with impunity against the city, Kharkov, Sumy and logistics targets behind the line in the Donbas, painting an increasingly bleaker and desperate image of Ukrainian air defence, that has been exhausted from massed Russian drone and missile strikes and slackening western supply.

Ukraine likely has vast stocks of MANPADS, however such weapons are only useful against low flying targets, the strategic air defence systems Ukraine desperately needs however, the legacy Soviet systems S-300, BUK, Some captured Russian SAM units seem to have been greatly exhausted

It was incredibly embarrassing when Russian Air defence would be knocked out by Ukrainian drone strikes, it is equally humiliating, but crucially, more painful, for Ukraine when this happens back to them.

Russia can, with in reason, replace those systems, Ukraine can’t, and is dependent on sketchy, at best, western resupply to make up the losses of these very expensive, and very potent system, so to have an enemy drone openly operating in its vicinity, and directing fire onto it, is a grievous blow

[ SITREP ] BOHDANIVKA CAPTURE corroborated; Heavy Russian offensives across 4 fronts!!!

“China is helping Russia” | Battle of Chasiv Yar [13 April 2024]

Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation (13 April 2024)

▫️ (https://t.me/mod_russia/37595)In Avdeyevka direction, (https://t.me/mod_russia/37595) as a result of active and self-sacrificing actions, units of the Tsentr Group of Forces have liberated Pervomayskoye (Donetsk People’s Republic).

In addition, eight counterattacks by assault groups of 25th airborne, 59th motorised infantry, 68th jaeger, 23rd, 24th, and 115th mechanised brigades of the AFU have been repelled close to Umanskoye, Pervomayskoye, Krasnogorovka, Berdychi, and Leninskoye (Donetsk People’s Republic).

The enemy losses were up to 235 servicemen, two armoured fighting vehicles, three motor vehicles, and one 122-mm D-30 howitzer.

▫️ (https://t.me/mod_russia/37595)In Donetsk direction, (https://t.me/mod_russia/37595) units of the Yug Group of Forces have occupied more favourable lines and defeated manpower and hardware of 79th air assault and 46th airmobile brigades of the AFU near Krasnogorovka and Antonovka (Donetsk People’s Republic).

Two attacks by enemy assault  groups south of Novomikhailovka (Donetsk People’s Republic) have been also repelled.

The AFU losses were over 500 servicemen, one tank, three armoured fighting vehicles, 23 motor vehicles, and one Strela-10 surface-to-air missile system.

During counter-battery warfare, two U.S.-made 155-mm M777 howitzers, one 152-mm D-20 howitzer, and one 122-mm D-30 howitzer have been hit.

▫️ (https://t.me/mod_russia/37595)In Kupyansk direction, (https://t.me/mod_russia/37595) units of the Zapad Group of Forces have improved the situation on the front line, defeated one formation of the 54th Mechanised Brigade of the AFU near Kupyansk (Kharkov region) and repelled three attacks by assault groups of the 12th AFU Special Forces Brigade near Chervonaya Dibrova (Lugansk People’s Republic).

The enemy losses were up to 25 servicemen, three pickup trucks, one Polish-made Krab 155-mm self-propelled artillery system, one Akatsiya 152-mm self-propelled artillery system, one D-20 152-mm howitzer, and one Nota electronic warfare station.

▫️ (https://t.me/mod_russia/37595)In South Donetsk direction, (https://t.me/mod_russia/37595) units of the Vostok Group of Forces have improved the tactical position and defeated formations of the AFU 58th Motor Infantry Brigade and the 128th Territorial Defence Brigade near Staromayorskoye and Urozhaynoye (Donetsk People’s Republic).

The enemy losses were more than 110 servicemen, four pickup trucks, one Polish-made Krab 155-mm self-propelled artillery system, one U.S.-made M777 155-mm howitzer, and one Nota electronic warfare station.

▫️ (https://t.me/mod_russia/37595)In Kherson direction, (https://t.me/mod_russia/37595) units of the Dnepr Group of Forces have inflicted a fire defeat on manpower and hardware of 121st and 126th territorial defence brigades close to Mikhailovka and Ivanovka (Kherson region).

The AFU losses were up to 65 servicemen, three motor vehicles, one U.S.-made M777 155-mm howitzer, one UK-made FN-70 155-mm howitzer, and one Polish-made Krab 155-mm self-propelled artillery system.

▫️Operational-Tactical Aviation, Missile Troops and Artillery of the Armed Forces of the Russian Groups of Forces have neutralised manpower and military hardware in 112 areas.

▫️Air defence facilities have shot down 222 Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles, eight HIMARS and Vampire multiple-launch rocket systems projectiles, and one JDAM guided bomb.


Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2024/04/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on-april_13.html


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