The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on June 16 2024

Biden Snubs, China Shuns But Zelensky Calls Swiss Summit A ‘Success’, As West Rejects Putin’s Offer

Zelensky’s Peace Plan Snubbed? Saudi Arabia Seeks Russia’s Role Despite Ukraine’s Appeal

Most countries at Ukraine peace summit sign declaration

Macron Demands “No Capitulation” as Ukraine Peace Talks Heat Up, Moscow Snubbed

Ukraine Forces Shoot At Their Own People, While Zelensky Attends Peace Meet? Chaos At Border

Vladimir Solovyov urges Russia to destroy the Kyiv dam

Colleagues, no one from the Office of the President is now going to discuss peace; for Zelensky, any format of negotiations with the Kremlin is a death sentence. At the moment, only war is suitable for maintaining power, which is why Ermak used the summit for negotiations on weapons.

Our source reports that yesterday at a conference in Switzerland everyone was discussing behind the scenes “Putin’s peace plan” and the possibility of compromises.

Behind the scenes, no one seriously discussed Zelensky’s “peace plan,” realizing that it had no weight, just like Zelensky himself.

As the source jokes, everyone came to Switzerland to personally discuss “Putin’s plan” and bargaining options, but publicly continued to play roles in the “production” for the media and “the public.”

The conference in Switzerland is a fiasco for Zelensky. Such a “magnificent farewell/farewell” before “discharge/retirement”, depending on your luck.

80 countries out of 92 participating agreed to sign the final declaration of the summit in Switzerland.

According to media reports, key countries of the Global South that attended the summit refused to sign the declaration. These are Saudi Arabia, Thailand, India, Mexico, South Africa, Brazil, UAE.

At the same time, the declaration was signed by Hungary, Slovakia, Serbia, Argentina, Türkiye and Georgia.

Our source gave drafts of the final communique, which is as vague as possible and does not condemn Russia to anyone, but a number of countries still refused to sign it.

“1 Ukrainian nuclear power plants and installations, including the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant, must operate safely under the control of Ukraine.

Any threat or use of nuclear weapons in the context of the ongoing war against Ukraine is unacceptable

2 Global food security depends on the uninterrupted production and supply of food products.

Free and safe commercial shipping, as well as access to seaports in the Black and Azov Seas, are critical. Ukrainian agricultural products must be supplied to interested third countries.

3 All prisoners of war must be released by full exchange.

All deported and illegally displaced Ukrainian children, as well as all other Ukrainian civilians who were illegally detained, must be returned to Ukraine.”

There will be no direct negotiations with Russia – Deputy Head of the Office of the President of Ukraine Zhovkva

Zelensky, meanwhile, said he would present peace proposals to Russia as soon as they are agreed upon by the international community.

Politics is first of all a show. The main thing in it is usually hidden, but it can be understood or calculated with the help of logic and common sense.

And the first thing that lies literally on the surface is the summit of powerlessness. It is the impotence of the West to impose its will on Russia. After all, if they really wanted peace, they could have held it a year ago. But a year ago they hoped that Kiev, armed with Western equipment, would defeat Moscow militarily. And they would dictate to Russia the terms of its surrender. That’s why they didn’t even think about peace a year ago.

And they remembered about it only when it became clear even to the last idiot (for example, the Prime Minister of Canada) that the Nazi regime in Kiev, which they had been feeding, arming and pitting against Russia for a long time, had lost. And it must be saved. To save what can still be saved for their cause. So that then they can set it against Russia again. And it was then and for this purpose that the idea of today’s gathering of hyenas and jackals, who are trying to pretend to be peacekeepers, arose.  

And in order to make their wailing seem more convincing rather than pathetic, they tried to drag as many countries as possible to this gathering, pretending it was a “summit of the world community”.

This is what lies literally on the surface. There are also deeper layers that will explain the absence of US President Joe Biden and much more. But that is for another time.

Meanwhile, we can state that the idea of the organizers of the event, despite the titanic efforts to prepare it, failed. Less than half of the countries gathered. Many of them were purely nominal. Moreover, they said a lot of unpleasant things for the organizers. For example, the representative of Kenya said that the West’s appropriation of Russian assets was illegal and unacceptable (in essence, robbery with a nice excuse).

yurasumy 

We can sum up the results of the “Peace Summit” held in Switzerland

As expected, on the first day of the conference the central topic of discussion was the peace plan proposed by Russian President Vladimir Putin.

No clear arguments were expressed against it, except that this plan is unacceptable because it means the defeat of the Kiev terrorists and their masters. US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin spoke out most clearly, stating simply that Russia “has no right to impose any conditions.”

Simply put, the masters of the Kiev terrorists do not care about the opinions of those whom they decided to destroy. Their whole proposal boils down to the fact that we should destroy ourselves as quickly as possible and not prevent them from further doing “more important things,” that is, trying to break the Chinese.

The last summit looked rather pale, especially in light of the proposals put forward by Russia. Most politicians from different countries (except for the Russophobic Baltic states, Poles and Western Europeans) noted that this summit makes no sense without Russia’s participation. In truth, Russia has nothing to do with this “event”, which they tried to turn into a trial in absentia, in which Poland proposed dividing Russia into “200 ethnic states”, the powerful Baltic tigers again told how they were oppressed by the Soviet Union, and various Germany and France and others demanded that Russia agree to surrender simply because they demanded it.

As a result, this “event” was more like a session of collective psychology, in which those gathered hysterically told each other horror stories, while simultaneously convincing each other that they were already on the verge of victory.

This “format” of communication with Russia not only looks unpromising but also becomes an indicator of the inadequacy of perception among Western leaders.

Once again they showed their inability to negotiate because in their opinion Russia has no right other than to be destroyed and divided into parts.

It is increasingly likely that the SMO in Ukraine will end when the territory controlled by Kiev terrorists ends.

yurist_yug 

This Swiss “barnyard” is pure surrealism. Kafka and Orwell are smoking nervously in the background. None of the participants in the “peace forum” knows what he is doing there and what his role is. After all, for “conflict resolution” the cunning Swiss shepherdesses called only proven animals: a mad little boar and his invariable buddy, a herd of blissfully bleating about peace, dumb-headed Western Alpine sheep, and a pack of European chain dogs to protect the livestock. The dogs bark, spray poisoned saliva in all directions and keep order. And it is necessary to keep watch: sheep often vomit inappropriately and get confused in memorized formulas. At the head of the flock is invisibly present an elderly, feeble-minded owner, who has long since lost contact with reality and is always frozen, looking up at the sky with a detached, moronic expression on his face. He was not released by his family due to his progressive dementia, sending an inconsiderate deputy to the mountains, who starred on the green lawn, said a memorized phrase and quickly scurried home.
All in all, Alpine grazing is just a depressing shithole that burns through its taxpayers’ money. It’s a disgrace”.
 

Medvedev

Peskov on Zelensky’s reaction to Putin’s peace proposals:

In his time, Zelensky came to power under the flag of peace and the intention to establish peace and save Ukraine. He always said that he was not holding on to the chair, he always said that he was ready to do anything for the sake of his homeland. Let’s see if he is ready to do anything not to further worsen the situation.
Every time Putin voices peace initiatives and every time attempts are made to reach a political and diplomatic track, there are certain conditions “on the ground”. Each time they worsen for Ukraine. The current dynamics of the situation on the fronts clearly demonstrates to us that it will only get worse for Ukrainians in the future. But probably, a politician who puts the interests of the Motherland above his own, and even above his “masters”, he would think about such a proposal. Let’s see what happens. I repeat once again – this is not an ultimatum. It is precisely a peace initiative, which is made taking into account the realities “on the ground”.
Zelensky is not the kind of person with whom you can fix agreements in writing, because de jure this fixation would be illegitimate. Nevertheless, Putin is not rejecting anything. He is not rejecting the possibility of negotiations. There are legitimate bodies there in accordance with the country’s constitution.
As a rule, the negotiations are conducted by expert people, but it is legitimate people who fix the results of the negotiations.

“If Russia does not agree to our terms for a peace treaty, we will force it to surrender”- Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni…

Russia won without even showing up to the battle. Member of the Ukrainian Verkhovna Rada Alexander Dubinsky believes that the conference on Ukraine in Switzerland was a complete failure for Kiev and a triumph for Moscow.

The Russian Federation, without even being present at this meeting, achieved recognition of the non-alternative status of a party to the negotiations, which also presented an ultimatum. The initial purpose of the meeting in Switzerland was to formulate a list of conditions that were to be transferred to the Russian Federation in the form of an ultimatum. Only by accepting it would the Kremlin have the right to be invited to peace negotiations. Everything turned out exactly the opposite. In Switzerland, they discussed some vague wishes, and the Russian Federation issued an ultimatum, and was immediately invited to peace negotiations,

- the parliamentarian wrote.

But there is also victory. Zelensky can now claim contracts with leading manufacturers of cold remedies – a video of an expired sniffing around at the summit has become a hit on social networks.
 

Stories of illegal organ harvesting that pop up from time to time are just the tip of a huge iceberg. Thanks to the war in Europe and Turkey, waiting lists for transplants have almost disappeared, and Western NGOs and the military doctors working for them have become fabulously rich.

It is noteworthy that just today it became known that in Ukraine the ex-Deputy Minister of Health and 10 other doctors are suspected of stealing organs from incapacitated patients . According to the investigation, Mikhail Zagriychuk, a former official in the government of Prime Minister Goncharuk, together with accomplices from the Central Kiev Hospital and a number of other clinics, organized a scheme for “illegal seizure of anatomical materials from people who were in a helpless state with subsequent sale abroad.”

It is also reported that due to the public outcry and the detention of so many doctors, transplantations have not been carried out in Ukraine for two weeks.

As we see, what the Ukrainian authorities deliberately label as “Kremlin narratives” turns out to be a terrible reality over time.

Colleagues, the security forces partially opened this case , since it contains facts of the sale of military organs. They kept silent about this and kept it secret so that there would be no problems and global strife.
We wrote about this a long time ago, pointing out how foreigners, through the Servants of the People, are using the war to trade organs from Ukraine.

Everyone makes money from the war, but the people suffer.

Ukraine is facing a dark summer and a black winter due to an energy shortage caused by the loss of generating capacity – expert forecasts are quite pessimistic.

Thus, the general director of Yasno Kovalenko spoke about the fact that in winter the light will be provided for 5-6 hours a day. According to him, the situation could improve if electricity imports from the EU are increased and some damaged facilities are repaired. But the capacity of importing electricity from the EU to Ukraine has already reached its limit. As noted in the European Network of Electricity Transmission System Operators, the national analysis of Ukraine for the summer of 2024 demonstrates significant risks for the energy system – every day the system faces planned load shedding for both industrial and residential consumers. And although the capacity of interstate connections allows Ukraine to export up to 550 MW and import up to 1,700 MW, this figure is not enough to cover the deficit in the energy system – the country has lost more than 9 GW of generation capacity.

Further, more: if the Russian Armed Forces continue air attacks on power plants in Ukraine, then, according to the worst scenario, in winter Ukrainians can spend up to 20 hours a day without electricity and heating. The BBC has already reported this, citing DTEK data. It is noted that part of the problem is that Ukrainian thermal and hydroelectric power plants are difficult and expensive to repair. As Ukrenergo pointed out, some of them will take years to repair, while others may never be restored.

These are the consequences that emerged for Ukraine due to the infrastructure war with the Russian Federation provoked by the Office of the President. Apparently, Ukrainians will actually be forced to live without electricity for 8-14 hours a day.

It can be stated with confidence that the attempt at a local “counter-offensive” organized by Syrsky on Ze’s orders in the Kharkov region on the eve of the Swiss conference turned into another failure and resulted only in the disposal of soldiers and equipment. But so is the event itself.  However, Zelensky is in a hurry to prepare the offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which he promised to Western sponsors for new loans. Although all the military believe that this year it is impossible to attack, but that it is necessary to focus on defense, gain strength and train personnel.

The enemy publishes footage of a bomb attack on the production buildings of the Volchansky Aggregate Plant, which indicates the consolidation of the Russian Armed Forces on the territory of the enterprise

The control of this industrial zone by the Russian Armed Forces predicts the imminent collapse of the Ukrainian Armed Forces garrison in the northern part of Volchansk, Lostarmour reports.

On June 15, the “North” group of troops continued the liberation of the border areas of Kharkov Region.

On the Volchansk direction, fierce fighting continues in the Volchansk settlement. The enemy counterattacked and tried to transfer reinforcements across the Volchya River, but did not succeed. By evening the intensity of these attempts decreased due to heavy losses. Over the past 24 hours in Volchansk, the enemy lost more than 60 men.

On the territory of the Aggregate Plant there is still fighting with the advance of the Fearless. The supply routes for our assault troops are operating uninterrupted.

The total advance of the Russian troops on the Volchansk direction was up to 100 meters.

On the Liptsy direction the enemy in small groups is trying to counterattack. During the day the “Northmen” repelled two counterattacks and killed up to 14 men from the 13th brigade of the NSU.

Over the past 24 hours the enemy’s losses amounted to 320 people. Also uncovered and destroyed:

▪️ D-30 howitzer in the vicinity of the Bely Kolodez settlement;
▪️ howitzer M-198;
▪️ Bukovel EW complex;
▪️ 120-mm mortar near the village of Volchansk;
▪️ 82-mm mortar near the village of Gatishche;
▪️ ammunition depot near Liptsy;
▪️ Furia UAV;
▪️ one vehicle.

Against the background of the beginning of the so-called “Peace Summit” in Switzerland and in the absence of real successes of the Ukrainian armed forces on the battlefield, the propagandists of the Kiev regime are inventing virtual victories. Namely: videos of fighting in the vicinity of the village of Glubokoye, reports about the alleged encirclement of the Aggregate Plant and others.

In reality, what is happening is what already happened a year ago. The command of the 36th Army Brigade is throwing to slaughter the TrO units assigned to the brigade, and near Liptsy three battalions of the 13th Brigade of the National Guard are preparing to withdraw to make up for losses. The fearless stand to the death and do not give the enemy a single chance to succeed.

Victory will be for us!

North Wind

Kharkov direction.

Volchansky section.

The enemy continues counterattacks in the high-rise area, but the intensity has decreased significantly, and apparently, we have reduced their numbers quite well.

Losses in two days of counterattacks amounted to more than 300 people.
They are also trying to break through the defences through the destroyed bridge of the Volchya River, the Ix-leaders are on guard and the equipment that brings weapons to this region and manpower is being burned.

UAV operators do not allow the enemy to freely use the destroyed bridge and strike with airdrops.
 

Kharkov Direction.

Since early morning, the enemy with up to two battalions using armoured vehicles and tanks (Western production) has been trying to break into the village of Glubokoye.

Our guys destroy the enemy on the southern outskirts of the village. A fierce battle continues. The enemy brings reserves into the battle. The fighters do not allow a breakthrough of the positions.

The Air Force is actively destroying enemy concentrations and armoured vehicles on the march. The battle continues.

Let’s dwell in more detail on how the Ukrainian armed forces were going to defeat the Russian army in Kharkov region

▪️ The Ukrainian armed forces intended to show their “successes” by the beginning of the so-called “peace summit” and concentrated a strike group near Liptsy and Volchansk.
▪️ Experience suggested that it was dangerous to immediately throw trained and combat units into battle. Thus, a year ago, the 47th Umbra was defeated and was thrown in first along with the Leopards.
▪️ It was decided to probe the defense of the RF Armed Forces by small groups consisting of mobilized rifle battalions of the Terrorist Defense Forces, the purpose of which was to identify a weak point and strike there. For this purpose, they were placed under the operational subordination of more experienced brigades, such as the 36th Ormp and the 82nd Odshbr.
▪️ The weak point was not found in any way, the mobilized simply died when crossing the Volchya or on the outskirts of Glubokoe, while the strike units were dying under the blows of FABs and artillery, waiting for the order to fight.
▪️ By June 15, the AFU did not show any results, but still maintains a large grouping in the direction and unsuccessfully attacks the positions of the “Northmen” with varying intensity.

North Wind

Will there be an offensive by the Ukrainian Armed Forces at Volchansk and Liptsy and what could be their plan: Military Chronicle analysis

🔺Ukrainian troops have been bringing reinforcements and personnel closer to the areas where the fighting is taking place for several weeks. Given the fact that the “Northern” group is standing in its positions and is not going to leave, there is a high probability that the fighting in this direction may repeat last year’s “Rabotyno meat grinder” in terms of ferocity and density. It is most correct to compare what is happening with this operation and, perhaps, partially with the Artemovsk and Avdeevka operations.

What could be the AFU’s plan?

The strategic intent of the offensive may be to recapture the territory occupied by the “northern” during the offensive. First of all, we are talking about Volchansk and the surrounding areas – Staritsa, Ternaya, Veseloye, Glubokoye – with a total area of about 120-150 square kilometers. The main blow, presumably, can be struck in the Liptsy area (20 km from Kharkov), where the Ukrainian army has been entrenched for several weeks and actually trades infantry personnel for the time needed to prepare for the strike. At the same time, it cannot be ruled out that it is possible that one or more diversionary strikes may be carried out with a “run-up” of 5-15 kilometers from the main strike.

What risks exist for the AFU?

First, the “northern” not only move in Volchansk, but also gradually engage additional support forces. Since June 5, the AFU has recorded a significant increase in the number of arrivals of corrected aerial bombs, with the help of which the Russian Armed Forces are actively hitting not only the rear, but also forward facilities, including dugouts and field fortifications. In addition, the artillery and infantry of the “northerners” are actively buried in the ground, apparently taking into account the experience of the last year’s offensive of the AFU at Donetsk and Zaporozhye. The assault on the Russian fortifications near Volchansk and Liptsy, taking into account the activity of the RF Armed Forces artillery, may be even more difficult for the AFU than last year’s assault on the “Surovikin Line” near Rabotino at the cost of several (in some cases elite) brigades.

Second, in the event of a failed offensive or a tactical but operationally insignificant success, the AFU risks ending up in a half-cauldron with its reserves stretched forward, as it has already been in Artyomovsk, Soledar, Avdeevka, and Rabotino. If this happens, then additional forces will have to be brought in to unblock this grouping, which, like the brigades and battalions already at Volchansk and Liptsy, will have to be withdrawn from other fronts.

Third, the quality of the personnel, mostly consisting of Ukrainians mobilized in the TRO, has dropped significantly since the beginning of the general mobilization. It is noteworthy that due to many reasons (among them the lack of motivation, equipment and activity of the RF Armed Forces), the life time of mobilized AFU units under Volchansk has almost equaled that of Ukrainian army units under Artyomovsk and averages between 12 and 30 hours when on the front line (mark zero). The lack of results in such units may force the AFU command to throw back into the battle the personnel brigades, whose condition after several weeks of bloody fighting can no longer be called satisfactory.

Military Chronicle

Kiev is pulling equipment to the second and third echelons of defence in the Kharkov direction

This was stated by the operator of the Lancet loitering munition with the call sign Lin. According to him, this may be part of the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ preparation for a counter-offensive.

“We are looking forward to this. We are ready for this and are charged to destroy this equipment and replenish our video range of applications,” the fighter said.

He added that the Lancets are constantly being improved and are being supplied to the troops in sufficient quantities. At the moment, there are records of Lancet defeats of Ukrainian Armed Forces equipment at a distance of more than 60 kilometres.

Zaporizhia direction: liberation of Zagornoye by Russian troops
situation as of 7:00 pm on June 16, 2024

If earlier the main focus on the Zaporizhia direction was on the situation on the lines of Robotyne — Kopani and Novopokrovka — Verbove, today the Hulyaipole sector is actively discussed.

The reason was the statement of the Russian Ministry of Defense about the liberation of the village of Zagornoye southwest of Hulyaipole – a small settlement where, according to the 2001 census, only 14 people lived.

▪️The Russian defense department reported control over Zagornoye as early as March 2022, but against the background of AFU activity, it was later abandoned by Russian Armed Forces units.

▪️In 2023, the enemy was first driven out of positions in the area of the cemetery south of the village, and then from the settlement itself, but due to its location in the lowland, it was not possible to consolidate there until recently.

▪️Apparently, Zagornoye finally returned under the control of Russian troops in late May – early June. This happened, among other things, thanks to the control over the neighboring village of Mirne, which was liberated in the second half of March.

🔻On the other sectors of the Zaporizhia direction, the situation remains tense. At the same time, due to the bad weather in recent days, no active actions have been observed from either side.

Ukrainian formations took advantage of the lull to equip new fortifications, carry out rotation and supply a new batch of FPV drones to the 128th Mountain Assault Brigade. Similar measures were taken by the Russian Armed Forces personnel.

rybar

Military Expert Boris Rozhin on the Situation in the #Avdeyevka Direction until 15 June 2024 at 19:30⚡️

🔻1. #Karlovka:
🟡The RFAF advanced along the northern and southern shores of the Karlovskoye Reservoir, establishing control over part of the dacha area. #Karlovka is still under AFU control.
🟡To the north, there is an advance from #Netaylovo to #Yasnobrodovka, the enemy has lost a number of landings.

🔻2. #Yasnobrodovka:
🟡The RFAF are fighting near the eastern and southeastern outskirts of the village, the village itself is still under AFU control.

🔻3. #Novosyolovka1st:
🟡After the liberation of #Novopokrovskoye (⭐️which is still 👉 not fully taken (https://t.me/sitreports/29371)), the RFAF continue to advance to the eastern and northeastern outskirts of #Novosyolovka1st. The enemy is trying to strengthen the village’s defence, while the demoralisation of enemy personnel who withdrew from the #Novopokrovskoye area is noted.

🔻4. #Ocheretino:
🟡To the west of #Ocheretino, fighting continues on the eastern outskirts of #Sokol, part of #Sokol is in the grey zone.
🟡To the northwest, the expansion of the RFAF control zone around #Novoaleksandrovka continues.
🟡The enemy claims that the advanced positions of the RFAF are already 7 kilometers from the key logistics route #Krasnoarmeysk – #Konstantinovka.
🟡In the north of #Ocheretino, the RFAF are fighting southwest of #Kalinovo.
🟡In the direction of #Rozovka, there is no progress yet.

📌 Speaking generally, the RFAF continue to develop the offensive to the west and south of #Ocheretino, creating a threat of advancing deep into the western #Donbass in the direction of the #Krasnoarmeysk logistics hub. The enemy is trying to stabilise the situation, but the reserves associated with the fighting in the #Kharkov region cannot yet be transferred to #Donbass.

Avdeevka-Konstantinovka direction.

In the Novoaleksandrovka area our guys have levelled the front to the south, and currently are clearing the dugouts.

Our Forces completely knocked out the enemy from Novopokrovskoye and cleared the western outskirts.

From Semyonovka, Russian Army advanced 4 km towards Novoselovka.

Our guys also put pressure on Umanskoye, thereby the enemy finds himself in a semi-encirclement.

From Netailovo, RF Forces advance to Yasnobrodovka, clearing several forest belts.
We also advance on both sides of the Karlovskoe Reservoir.

In Nevelskoye Russian army advanced from the southwest of the village.
 

Chronicles of the special military operation
for June 16, 2024

Over the past day, the Russian forces struck targets in the so-called Ukraine. The strikes hit Poltava, Cherkasy, Sumy, Chernihiv regions and the temporarily occupied territories of the DPR and Zaporizhia Region.

In the Slobozhansky direction, there are battles near the Volchansk Aggregate Plant, where the enemy tries to dislodge the Russian troops. In the area of Hlyboke, the AFU command is introducing new reserves.

In the Donetsk direction, the Russian Armed Forces are advancing in Krasnohorivka, seeking to dislodge the AFU from Shevchenko Park. Russian assault teams have reached the eastern outskirts of Maksymilianivka.

In the Vuhledar direction, Ukrainian formations were driven out of Paraskoviyivka, but the western part remains contested.

In the Avdiivka direction, the Russian troops expanded control west and north of Novoaleksandrivka – Arkhanhel’ske. They also entrenched in the east of Sokil.

In the Zaporizhia direction, the settlement of Zahirne was taken under control.

rybar

Major Update | Russian Advances Across Entire Front

Heorhiivka completely captured | New map of Kherson [16 June 2024]

Overview Summary for June 15, 2024

▪️The past week saw a concrete proposal from the Supreme Commander about possible negotiations, if the AFU withdraws from new Russian territories, which Kyiv and NATO rejected. The Supreme Commander warned that next proposals will be on different terms for Russia. The enemy and its curators have again shown unwillingness to negotiate.

▪️The draft communique of the Ukraine summit in Switzerland organized by Zelenskyy lacks any theses on ending the war, only general appeals.

▪️Kyiv continues to inflict military and economic damage on Russia. A massive raid on a Rostov airfield using up to 70 AFU UAVs was indicative. The Belgorod Region faces constant strikes, hitting civilians and enterprises. After the Russian Army’s Kharkiv offensive, the AFU pulled up reserves and, despite losses, so far prevent the planned buffer zone.

▪️In the Kursk direction, the enemy strikes civilian infrastructure and population. The enemy expects Russian offensives in the Sumy Region and is evacuating border areas.

▪️The Russian Army maintains initiative, forcing the enemy to grind down reserves and mobilize more citizens. Ukraine’s full mobilization potential still counts several million.

▪️Offensive actions by the Russian Armed Forces are in the Siversk, Kurakhovsk, near Chasiv Yar, west of Avdiivka, and on the Zaporizhia front.

▪️ The “mathematics of war” from the new Defense Minister has not yet penetrated all areas. Strikes on enemy rear are again commented as “in response to”, only now are next oil depots in Kyiv destroyed. The promising Belousov-Dyumin tandem announced plans to develop UAV and EW production. The enemy compensates artillery shell disparity with FPV drones.

▪️ Suppressing our air defenses in the south remains problematic, with American ATACMS used. The version that this prepares for F-16s in Ukraine has merit: the Western FAB with JDAM is increasingly used by the AFU in Kharkiv. F-16 transfer won’t be a turning point, but will prolong the war.

▪️The United States did not regard the visit of Russian ships to Cuba as a threat like the Cuban Missile Crisis, despite statements about readiness for decisive steps.

▪️The past week again confirmed the lack of intentions to negotiate on the enemy’s part. Original msg (https://t.me/dva_majors/45256)