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Russian Hackers Breach the Federal Reserve, Fall of the US Petrodollar & The Solar Boom! Collin Plume

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WATCH THE FULL INTERVIEW ON YT CLICK HERE 

https://youtu.be/i6BSjRXXiyU

The Economist’s In-Depth Analysis of Solar Power’s Exponential Growth and Future Impact

https://www.economist.com/interactive/essay/2024/06/20/solar-power-is-going-to-be-huge

https://boabmetals.com/blog/solar-energy-powering-silver-demand/

This comprehensive essay explores the remarkable growth of solar power, its current state, and its potential future impact on global energy production, economics, and society. 

 

It looks at the technology behind solar cells, the industry’s economics, geopolitical considerations, and the transformative effects cheap, abundant energy could have on various sectors and innovations.

 

  • Silver is used in photovoltaic (PV) cells within solar panels due to its exceptional electrical conductivity. It is transformed into a paste and applied to silicon wafers, facilitating the efficient capture and conversion of sunlight into electricity

  • The solar industry has seen a substantial increase in silver demand. In 2019, the photovoltaic sector accounted for 10% of total silver demand, and this figure has been rising. Each solar panel typically contains around 20 grams of silverSolar cells produced 1,600 terawatt-hours of energy in 2023, about 6% of global electricity

  • The growing demand for silver in renewable energy, particularly solar panels, has made it an attractive investment. The price of silver has been on an upward trajectory, driven by its critical role in clean energy technologiesWorld will make about 70 billion solar cells in 2024, mostly in China

  • Despite the rising demand, silver supply has not kept pace. Most silver is produced as a by-product of other mining activities, and there has been underinvestment in new silver mines. This supply-demand imbalance could drive silver prices higher, presenting further investment opportunities

 

  • Solar capacity is doubling every three years

  • Solar investment expected to reach $500 billion in 2024

  • Solar projected to surpass nuclear power generation by 2026, wind by 2027

  • Could become largest source of primary energy by 2040s

  • Levelized cost of solar energy has dropped by a factor of 1,000+ since 1960s

  • Solar outperforming expert predictions consistently over past decades

  • China produces 93% of world’s polysilicon for solar cells

  • Chinese manufacturers following aggressive investment strategies

  • Solar cell production requires far less material than fossil fuel extraction

  • Fierce competition in solar manufacturing due to product standardization

  • Solar’s “experience curve” shows 27% cost decrease for each doubling of capacity

  • Solar and wind now have lower levelized cost of electricity than coal in many markets

  • Grid pricing issues arise as solar becomes larger factor in electricity supply

  • Long-distance connections could allow sunnier regions to power less sunny areas

  • Battery storage enables time arbitrage for solar energy

  • Battery costs have fallen 99% over past 30 years

  • Innovative concepts like SunTrain propose using railway networks for energy transport

  • India’s solar expansion driven by energy security and economic concerns

  • Adani Green Energy building massive solar farms in India

  • Solar growth in developing countries may not always displace fossil fuels

  • Financing challenges for solar projects in Africa due to political instability concerns

  • Off-grid solar growth potential in sub-Saharan Africa

  • Electric vehicle adoption could drive solar growth in Africa

  • 600 million people in sub-Saharan Africa lack access to electricity

  • Cheap solar could stimulate innovations increasing electricity demand globally

  • Green hydrogen production becoming more viable with cheaper solar

  • Terraform Industries developing low-cost electrolyzers for green hydrogen

  • Brute-force approaches to various problems become feasible with cheap, abundant energy

  • Potential for solar to enable carbon dioxide removal technologies

  • Solar panel efficiency continues to improve

  • Integration of solar into existing grids poses challenges

  • Geopolitical implications of China’s dominance in solar manufacturing

  • Potential for solar to reduce fossil fuel imports in developing countries

  • Solar enjoys more “social license” than other forms of energy generation

  • Negative electricity prices occurring in solar-rich grids

  • 2.6 TW of generation and storage capacity queuing for grid connections in USA

  • Solar’s standardization allows for diverse range of applications and users

  • Potential for solar to transform energy access and living standards globally

  • Solar growth not dependent solely on climate change mitigation efforts

  • Challenges in connecting large-scale solar projects to existing grids

  • Potential for solar to disrupt traditional energy geopolitics

  • Solar’s role in reducing energy costs for various industries

  • Impact of cheap solar on global economic productivity

  • Potential for solar to enable new technologies and innovations

  • Solar’s role in addressing growing energy demand for air conditioning

  • Challenges in recycling and disposing of solar panels at end-of-life

  • Potential for solar to transform agriculture and water desalination

  • Long-term implications of solar for global energy markets and international relations

 

 


What It Would Take for the U.S. Dollar To Collapse?

https://www.investopedia.com/articles/forex-currencies/091416/what-would-it-take-us-dollar-collapse.asp


This article explores the hypothetical scenario of a U.S. dollar collapse, discussing the factors that contribute to the dollar’s strength, potential threats to its dominance, and the unlikely but possible circumstances that could lead to its downfall.

 

  • The U.S. dollar remains the world’s primary reserve currency, making up 58% of worldwide currency reserves

  • Historical examples of currency collapses include Argentina, Hungary, and Zimbabwe

  • Types of currency crises include current account problems, financial excesses, and sovereign debt issues

  • A hypothetical dollar collapse scenario involves geopolitical tensions, cyberattacks, and loss of investor confidence

  • The dollar’s strength stems from its status as a global reserve currency and the size of the U.S. economy

  • Weaknesses of the dollar include its fiat nature and dependence on government monetary policy

  • U.S. fiscal and monetary policies, including large deficits, could potentially threaten the dollar’s status

  • The Federal Reserve’s expansionary policies in response to crises have raised concerns about long-term stability

  • Rising strength of foreign currencies like the euro and Chinese renminbi pose potential challenges

  • Geopolitical tensions and trade wars could accelerate efforts to reduce reliance on the dollar

  • The “weaponization” of the dollar in international politics may encourage some countries to seek alternatives

  • High inflation combined with high debt is considered the most realistic threat to dollar stability

  • A dollar collapse would likely lead to skyrocketing import costs and rapid inflation

  • Foreign exporters like China and Japan have a vested interest in maintaining dollar stability

  • Cryptocurrencies are speculated to potentially impact the dollar’s status, but currently lack necessary stability

  • Ways to hedge against a potential dollar collapse include investing in foreign currencies and international stocks

  • The commercial viability of the U.S. dollar remains unchallenged in global transactions

  • De-dollarization efforts by some countries have not significantly impacted the dollar’s global dominance

  • A dollar collapse would significantly reduce the value of 401(k) retirement accounts due to exponential inflation

  • The real value of dollar-denominated assets would decrease relative to other global currencies in a collapse scenario

  • Hedging strategies against potential dollar collapse include purchasing foreign currencies

  • Investing in mutual funds and ETFs based in other countries can provide some protection against dollar weakness

  • Purchasing shares of domestic stocks with large international operations can help diversify currency risk

  • Cryptocurrencies are sometimes proposed as potential alternatives to traditional fiat currencies

  • While cryptocurrencies may gain traction as alternative stores of value, they currently lack the stability to replace the dollar

  • Cryptocurrencies’ high volatility and limited scalability hinder their potential to replace major fiat currencies

  • The decentralized nature of cryptocurrencies poses challenges for implementing monetary policy and financial regulation

  • The U.S.’s position as the world’s largest economy and its political stability support the dollar’s continued dominance

  • A complete dollar collapse is considered highly unlikely due to its integral role in the global financial system


Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen Discusses Housing, Inflation, and Economic Outlook

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yblBRl02kgE

 

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen addresses key economic issues, including housing affordability, inflation trends, the federal deficit, and U.S.-China trade relations. 

She outlines new Treasury initiatives to improve housing affordability, offers insights on inflation expectations, and discusses the administration’s approach to fiscal policy and strategic industry protection.

  • Treasury announces $100 million program over three years to finance housing affordability

  • Biden administration proposes construction of two million new housing units

  • Federal home loan banks urged to increase affordable housing contributions to 20% of income

  • Bipartisan bill to increase low-income housing tax credits supported by administration

  • Food prices remain high despite decreases in shipping costs and global commodity prices

  • Some retailers cutting prices on essential items to help struggling households

  • Yellen expects inflation to reach Fed’s 2% target by next year

  • Housing costs expected to decrease over next year, helping lower inflation

  • Fed projections suggest possible interest rate cuts later this year or next

  • Yellen sees no basis for recession in current economic outlook

  • CBO estimates deficit to rise by $400 billion more than expected to nearly $2 trillion this year

  • Treasury plans to increase long-term debt issuance if deficit projections continue to rise

  • Biden’s 2025 budget proposes $3 trillion in deficit reduction over next 10 years

  • Interest cost of debt at normal historical levels despite higher interest rates

  • Administration aims to address 2017 tax cut expirations in fiscally responsible manner

  • New tariffs on $18 billion of Chinese imports implemented in May

  • Administration focusing on protecting strategic industries like semiconductors and clean energy

  • Other countries also concerned about Chinese overcapacity and dumping in certain industries

  • Biden not proposing broad-based tariffs, maintaining most Trump-era tariffs on China

  • Yellen emphasizes strong economy with low unemployment and healthy consumer spending


Russian Hackers Claim to Have Breached Federal Reserve, Demand Ransom

ht/breaking-americans-bank-info-could-be-risk-possible-fed-reserve-hack


Russian cybercriminal group LockBit 3.0 claims to have hacked the Federal Reserve, threatening to release 33 terabytes of sensitive banking information unless a ransom is paid. 

This alleged breach comes amid ongoing cybersecurity battles between LockBit and U.S. authorities, raising concerns about potential impacts on financial system stability and data security.

  • LockBit 3.0 claims to have hacked the Federal Reserve, threatening to release 33 terabytes of banking data

  • The group set a deadline of June 24, 2024, at 4:27 p.m. EDT for ransom payment

  • The Federal Reserve has not yet confirmed the alleged hack

  • Some cybersecurity experts suggest the claim might be a publicity stunt by LockBit

  • U.S. authorities recently seized LockBit’s darknet websites in Operation Cronos

  • The FBI released 7,000 decryption keys obtained from LockBit to help previous ransomware victims

  • The U.S. government indicted and sanctioned LockBit’s administrator, Dmitry Yuryevich Khoroshev

  • A $10 million reward is offered for information leading to Khoroshev’s arrest or conviction

  • LockBit has conducted high-profile attacks on major companies, banks, and government departments globally

  • If real, the hack could compromise citizens’ private information and undermine confidence in the Federal Reserve

  • The breach might accelerate efforts to implement a central bank digital currency (CBDC)

  • The incident highlights the ongoing challenges in cybersecurity for critical financial institutions



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