Week 1 NFL Picks Against the Spread (ATS): Beazley

Earlier today, John Trifone kicked off our 2014 NFL weekly picks against the spread (ATS).

Now, it’s my turn.

Here are my Week 1 ATS picks:

Tennessee Titans +4 over Kansas City Chiefs (2 units)

I think the Titans are going to fly under the radar and surprise some people this season. [Editor's note: Sean is a die-hard Titans fan.] Jake Locker has looked good this preseason and second-year wideout Justin Hunter is poised for a breakout season. Their other big-time WR Kendall Wright might be the most underrated WR in the league. He always seems to get open. Looking back at it, I wonder how much of RG3‘s success was because of Wright …

The Chiefs will be without their top WR Dwayne Bowe on Sunday so they will have to rely on other weapons. If you are looking for a sleeper for Sunday in DFS, take Travis Kelce. I think the Chiefs will utilize the big TE, and historically the Titans are pretty bad defending opposing TEs.

I think the Chiefs are a bit overrated going into this season and could struggle in this one. I think this game comes down to a field goal: KC, 23-20.

New York Jets -5.5 over Oakland Raiders (4 units)

I love the Jets at home this week. I am really low on the Raiders this season. I think they are a team who is destined to be picking in the top 5 of the draft this season. On the flip side, I really like some of the veteran additions the Jets made on their offense. I don’t think Chris Johnson is done yet, and adding the solid vet Eric Decker at WR is going to be great for young Geno Smith.

I think this game is won on defense though. The Jets front-seven is as fierce as any in the league, and I think they will pressure the QB all day. The Jets are one of my favorite DFS plays as well this week. I think they have a stat line like six sacks, four turnovers and a TD. Jets roll at home, 27-10.

Chicago Bears -7 over Buffalo Bills (2 units)

The days of the fierce Bears defense is over. The Bears now rely on their offense and they have one of the most talented group of skilled players in the league with Brandon Marshall, Alshon Jeffery and Matt Forte. I think this Bears offense is going to be very hard to stop this season, and they face a semi-mediocre Buffalo defense. I think Cutler & Co. roll at home. Chicago, 31-17.

San Francisco 49ers vs. Dallas Cowboys —Over 51.5 (3 units)
Dallas Cowboys +5 over San Francisco 49ers (2 units)

The Cowboys are going to put up some big offensive numbers this season. I think Tony Romo is poised for his biggest season yet, and I expect Dez Bryant to challenge Calvin Johnson as the league’s top WR. They are going to get plenty of chances this year because their defense is pretty bad.

The 49ers are healthy on offense, and I expect Colin Kaepernick to air it out more this year, and their defense will feel the loss of Aldon Smith and NaVorro Bowman to start the year. I think both QBs have three-TD games, and I think this game will be around 40 points by halftime. I like Dallas to pull the Week 1 upset behind a mega 12/200/2 game by Dez. Dallas 38, San Francisco 34.

Note: NFL lines are from sportsbook.ag

-> All of our 2014 NFL Weekly Picks Against the Spread will be tracked here.

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• 2014 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule

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