Week 3 NFL Picks Against the Spread (ATS): Yanotchko

Here are my Week 3 picks against the spread:

Dallas Cowboys -1.5 over St. Louis Rams (4 units)

The Rams have had a very tough start to the season, but they seemed to have righted the ship in Tampa last week. The Cowboys struggled at home in Week 1, but put on quite the convincing performance last week at Tennessee. Behind that massive and expensive offensive line, the Cowboys and DeMarco Murray have put up 285 yards on the ground. I love this matchup, as the Rams have one of the worst rush defenses in the league, as they give up 171 yards per game, and 5.0 yards per carry.

I also like that Dallas has a great trend going against the Rams, as they are 3-1 against the spread in their last four. I am making this one a four-unit play, as I think the Rams have too many holes.

Indianapolis Colts -7 over Jacksonville Jaguars (3 units)

The Colts have had a tough start going 0-2, but then again, they had to play against two teams that made the playoffs last year in Philly and Denver. The Jags have seemed to regressed, as they have been blown out by both the Eagles and the Redskins so far this year. The Colts have dominated the Jags as of late, as they have outscored them 95-23 in their last 3 meetings. The Colts also always play well in Northern Florida, as they are 5-2 against the number in their last seven when visiting Jacksonville.

I love the Colts passing attack going against a 24th-ranked passing defense that gives up 267 yards per game. I think there is just too much offensive firepower for the Jags to hang tough. I will make this one a three-unit play.

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Carolina Panthers -3.5 over Pittsburgh Steelers (3 units)

The Steelers are coming off a nice mini bye, but they lost pretty handily to the Ravens last Thursday night to start 1-1. The Panthers have been one of the surprise teams out of the gate this year starting 2-0, and having to do it without Cam Newton at 100 percent. The Panthers have been a perfect 2-0 against the spread this year so far while the Steelers are 0-2 ATS.

The Steelers are starting to show their age on the defensive side of the ball, and they now yield 174 yards per game and 5.0 yards per carry to opposing runners. I like the Panthers at home this week, with a stifling defense, and a great ball-control rushing offense. I also love the matchup of Kelvin Benjamin and Greg Olsen going against a weak Pittsburgh D. I like this one enough to be a three-unit play.

Note: NFL lines are from sportsbook.ag

-> All of our 2014 NFL Weekly Picks Against the Spread will be tracked here.

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