Week 4 NFL Picks Against the Spread (ATS): Beazley

Here are my Week 4 picks against the spread:

Dallas Cowboys +3 over New Orleans Saints (4 units)
Dallas Cowboys vs. New Orleans Saints — Over 54.5 (4 units)

A couple of numbers stand out to me in this game — the underdog is 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings and the Saints are 2-8 ATS in their past 10 road games. The Cowboys might not be among the NFC elite, but they did show heart coming back last week from a 21-0 deficit. Their defense will be tested against one of the league’s best offenses, so I like the over as well in this one. Cowboys win in prime time, 34-31.

New York Jets +2.5 over Detroit Lions (4 units)

Calvin Johnson returned to practice on Friday so he’s likely to suit up Sunday. On paper, the Lions should be able to beat the Jets by 10 points, but that’s why they play the game. The Jets secondary was torn apart by Jay Cutler and the Bears Monday Night, but I think Rex has something up his sleeves for the Lions. Matthew Stafford is prone to making mistakes, and I think a pick-six is the difference in the one. Jets 23, Lions 21

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Green Bay Packers -2 over Chicago Bears (5 units)

I absolutely love this game. The Bears are on a short week over confident after a Monday night win, and Aaron Rodgers and Eddie Lacy are off a miserable week vs. the Lions. I think the Packers come out firing on all cylinders and both Rodgers and Lacy have monster games. Packers win big, 37-20.

San Francisco 49ers -4.5 over Philadelphia Eagles (3 units)

I don’t think the Eagles can come back again this week against the 49ers. I love Colin Kaepernick this week. He is one of my favorite plays on DFS sites. I also think the 49ers feed a disgruntled Frank Gore as well. 49ers win at home, 27-19.

Note: NFL lines are from sportsbook.ag

-> All of our 2014 NFL Weekly Picks Against the Spread will be tracked here.

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