Week 4 NFL Picks Against the Spread (ATS): Hanson

Here are my Week 4 picks against the spread:

Indianapolis Colts -7.5 over Tennessee Titans (3 units)

After two losses against top-notch opponents to start the season, the Colts pummeled the Jaguars into submission that led to a quarterback switch to Blake Bortles, something they planned to avoid until 2015. Behind the 1-2 punch of Ahmad Bradshaw and Trent Richardson, the Colts should be able to run effectively against the Titans, who have allowed 134.3 yards per game, ninth-most in the NFL, and four rushing scores. With Jake Locker (who won’t play today), the Titans offense has scored only 14.3 points per game — second-fewest to only the Oakland Raiders — and have been outscored 17-59 in their past two games.

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San Francisco 49ers -4.5 over Philadelphia Eagles (2 units)

So far this season, the 49ers have really struggled offensively in the second half (just one third-quarter field goal through three games) and the Eagles have made second-half comebacks routine. At just 1-2 to start the season, I expect the 49ers to control the clock while also having success through the air against an Eagles defense that has allowed eight passing touchdowns through three weeks.

Green Bay Packers -2 over Chicago Bears (1 unit)

Maybe Aaron Rodgers is right and Packer fans should just “R-E-L-A-X,” but their offense has not looked sharp early this season against the tough defenses they have faced. The offense has a good chance of getting back on track against the Bears, who rank in the bottom 10 in total defense this year. I’m not usually a fan of going with road favorites especially in divisional matchups, but the Packers are 17-6 against the spread at Soldier Field going back to 1992.

Note: NFL lines are from sportsbook.ag

-> All of our 2014 NFL Weekly Picks Against the Spread will be tracked here.

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