Week 4 NFL Picks Against the Spread (ATS): Yanotchko

Here are my Week 4 picks against the spread:

Atlanta Falcons -3.5 over Minnesota Vikings (3 units)

The Falcons have started off fast this year, going 2-1 yet losing to a very tough Bengals team on the road. For the Vikings, it sure seems that almost everything that could go wrong, has so far. The Vikings have lost Matt Cassel for the year, and of course Adrian Peterson’s status will be in limbo for quite some time.

The Falcons have been impressive through the air, and they get a great matchup this week, in a Vikings secondary that allows a 70-percent completion rate, and 225 yards per game. Although Minnesota is at home and outdoors, I still like the Falcons over a rookie QB, and I will make this one a three-unit play.

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Philadelphia Eagles +4.5 over San Francisco 49ers (4 units)

The Eagles have been steady so far this year starting a perfect 3-0, while the 49ers have been one of the leagues most disappointing teams by going 1-2 out of the gate. The Niners have struggled with their defense this year, and they have been especially bad at stopping the pass. The 49ers allow 226 passing yards per game, and of course Chip Kelly and the blur offense are the perfect team to take advantage of that. The Eagles also will have history on their side, as they are 4-0 against the spread in their last 4 visits to the Bay Area. I feel that this game will be close, but I really think the Eagles getting 4.5 is a bargain. I am making this one a four-unit play.

New Orleans Saints -3 over Dallas Cowboys (5 units)

Another week, and yet another Dallas controversy, as this time Morris Claiborne left the building for being benched in favor of Orlando Scandrick. This is all the Cowboys needed, as they have struggled against opposing passing games, giving up 250 yards per game. The Saints have quite the high-powered offense to exploit this stat, and you will see a huge night from Jimmy Graham. Dallas has had a bright spot in running back DeMarco Murray, but he will face the eighth-best rushing defense in the league that gives up 101 yards per game and 3.1 yards per carry. I also love that the Saints have gone 5-2 against the number in their last seven with Dallas. This one has blowout potential all over it, so I am going with a five-unit play here.

Note: NFL lines are from sportsbook.ag

-> All of our 2014 NFL Weekly Picks Against the Spread will be tracked here.

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