Week 5 NFL Picks Against the Spread (ATS): Trifone

Here are my Week 5 picks against the spread:

New Orleans Saints -10 over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5 units)

Plain and simple, the Saints need this one badly to stay in the hunt. The Bucs played well against Pittsburgh last week, while New Orleans got throttled by Dallas, but it’s a week-to-week league. One win doesn’t mean Tampa is going to go on a run all of a sudden, and the Saints are a totally different team at home. I don’t think this one will be close, with Drew Brees and the offense pouring on the points.

Houston Texans +6 over Dallas Cowboys (4 units)

I actually think the Cowboys are a pretty good team, but they are benefiting from an inflated line after destroying the Saints on the Sunday night game. Dallas may very well be a playoff team, but they’re not one of the handful of elite teams in the league. The Texans have a solid defense led by the first quarter MVP J.J. Watt. I think they’ll keep it close.

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New York Jets +7 over San Diego Chargers (4 units)

I’m taking the Jets again this week. They’ve disappointed the last two weeks, but I think they’re better than they’ve played. San Diego is hot, so I’m a little weary of picking against them. However, they can win the game and still not cover 7. With New England looking anything but good so far on the year, the division is wide open for the first time in a decade, and the Jets will be hungry to get a win. I’ll take the points here.

Washington Redskins +7.5 over Seattle Seahawks (3 units)

The Seahawks are still the class of the NFL, or at least one of the three or four best and most complete teams. Still, we saw them look pretty ordinary on the road in San Diego. The Redskins are coming off their worst game of the year, getting pummeled by the Giants last Thursday. However, just the week before, they lost a shootout to the Eagles, one of the best teams in the league. Although it didn’t show last week, Washington has a lot of weapons on offense, and since Seattle can’t take their 12th man with them this week, I’ll take the 7.5 on the Skins this week.

Note: NFL lines are from sportsbook.ag

-> All of our 2014 NFL Weekly Picks Against the Spread will be tracked here.

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