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Moving Targets: Week 13: Stedman Bailey, Charles Sims & More

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by Ivar Anderson

No more byes! Say it with me, NO MORE BYES! Felt good, did it not? Byes are an essential, if repellant, part of fantasy football, so once we get past that point in the season it is time to celebrate.  And we shall do so this week by making our chart larger, containing the top 100 targeted players on the season. Give thanks for the chance to reflect upon those whom you want to focus on in PPR leagues. Give your further thanks for the inclusion of both Receptions and Yards in this week’s chart. On to this week’s target chart:

Player
Position
Team
Games
Targets
Receptions
Yards
Catch %
Demaryius Thomas WR DEN 11 121 82 1192 68
Antonio Brown WR PIT 11 120 88 1161 73
Julio Jones WR ATL 11 113 72 980 64
Jeremy Maclin WR PHI 11 106 63 980 59
Emmanuel Sanders WR DEN 11 104 76 1084 73
Jordy Nelson WR GB 11 103 68 1066 66
Golden Tate WR DET 11 102 72 1047 71
Dez Bryant WR DAL 11 101 63 879 62
Vincent Jackson WR TB 11 101 48 678 48
Andre Johnson WR HST 11 99 58 667 59
Julian Edelman WR NE 11 97 70 694 72
Kelvin Benjamin WR CAR 11 95 52 768 55
Rueben Randle WR NYG 11 93 53 557 57
T.Y. Hilton WR IND 11 91 63 1084 69
Anquan Boldin WR SF 11 90 65 825 72
Keenan Allen WR SD 11 90 61 641 68
Alshon Jeffery WR CHI 11 89 58 783 65
Steve L. Smith WR BLT 11 87 53 820 61
Brandon Marshall WR CHI 11 87 52 618 60
Sammy Watkins WR BUF 11 86 48 684 56
Roddy White WR ATL 10 86 56 662 65
Rob Gronkowski TE NE 11 86 58 812 67
Mohamed Sanu WR CIN 11 85 49 719 58
Jimmy Graham TE NO 11 85 65 670 76
Reggie Wayne WR IND 10 84 50 605 60
Greg Olsen TE CAR 11 84 56 720 67
Matt Forte RB CHI 11 82 72 598 88
Martellus Bennett TE CHI 11 81 57 628 70
Mike Wallace WR MIA 11 80 48 592 60
James Jones WR OAK 11 79 54 545 68
Randall Cobb WR GB 11 78 58 837 74
DeAndre Hopkins WR HST 11 78 51 803 65
Michael Crabtree WR SF 11 78 48 567 62
Andrew Hawkins WR CLV 10 77 50 695 65
Mike Evans WR TB 10 76 49 841 64
Brandon LaFell WR NE 10 76 48 674 63
Allen Robinson WR JAX 10 76 48 548 63
Eric Decker WR NYJ 10 75 47 513 63
Jordan Matthews WR PHI 11 72 50 639 69
Calvin Johnson WR DET 8 72 38 578 53
Robert Woods WR BUF 11 70 44 477 63
Kendall Wright WR TEN 11 68 44 501 65
Le’Veon Bell RB PIT 11 68 57 484 84
DeSean Jackson WR WAS 11 66 42 858 64
Pierre Garcon WR WAS 11 66 46 498 70
Delanie Walker TE TEN 10 66 43 667 65
Brandin Cooks WR NO 10 65 53 550 82
Larry Fitzgerald WR ARZ 10 65 46 658 71
Riley Cooper WR PHI 11 65 39 425 60
Jared Cook TE SL 11 65 37 489 57
John Brown WR ARZ 11 64 37 529 58
Greg Jennings WR MIN 11 64 40 501 63
Justin Hunter WR TEN 11 63 27 480 43
Dwayne Bowe WR KC 10 63 44 551 70
Jason Witten TE DAL 11 63 43 461 68
Jarvis Landry WR MIA 11 62 49 447 79
Andre Ellington RB ARZ 11 62 46 395 74
A.J. Green WR CIN 7 61 41 629 67
Marques Colston WR NO 10 61 38 618 62
Andre Holmes WR OAK 10 61 32 474 52
Doug Baldwin WR SEA 11 61 46 491 75
Markus Wheaton WR PIT 11 61 36 452 59
Larry Donnell TE NYG 10 61 46 461 75
Cecil Shorts WR JAX 8 60 34 381 57
Antonio Gates TE SD 11 60 40 491 67
Torrey Smith WR BLT 11 59 32 544 54
Shane Vereen RB NE 11 59 44 353 75
Odell Beckham Jr. WR NYG 7 58 41 609 71
Miles Austin WR CLV 11 58 40 482 69
Allen Hurns WR JAX 11 57 31 488 54
Taylor Gabriel WR CLV 11 57 31 548 54
Michael Floyd WR ARZ 11 56 26 457 46
Mychal Rivera TE OAK 11 55 38 334 69
Charles Clay TE MIA 10 55 39 346 71
Jermaine Gresham TE CIN 11 55 42 322 76
Andre Roberts WR WAS 11 54 28 294 52
Heath Miller TE PIT 11 54 43 501 80
Zach Ertz TE PHI 11 54 34 460 63
Malcom Floyd WR SD 10 53 36 604 68
Jerricho Cotchery WR CAR 10 53 32 424 60
Coby Fleener TE IND 11 53 31 467 58
Kenny Britt WR SL 11 52 27 477 52
Cordarrelle Patterson WR MIN 11 52 30 350 58
Julius Thomas TE DEN 10 52 40 426 77
Travis Kelce TE KC 11 52 41 542 79
Jeremy Kerley WR NYJ 11 51 31 303 61
Eddie Royal WR SD 11 50 34 451 68
Owen Daniels TE BLT 10 50 37 355 74
Kenny Stills WR NO 10 49 39 529 80
Brian Hartline WR MIA 11 49 31 371 63
Terrance Williams WR DAL 11 48 28 444 58
Hakeem Nicks WR IND 11 47 24 243 51
Wes Welker WR DEN 9 47 34 282 72
Fred Jackson RB BUF 9 47 40 306 85
Jermaine Kearse WR SEA 11 46 26 380 57
Ahmad Bradshaw RB IND 10 46 38 300 83
Niles Paul TE WAS 11 45 34 457 76
Jace Amaro TE NYJ 10 45 34 291 76
Louis Murphy WR TB 8 44 27 355 61
Scott Chandler TE BUF 11 44 29 335 66

As I have noted this season, as we expand the target chart we see more involvement with both tight ends and running backs although the ratio skews heavily toward the tight end portion (by my count, 21:6). If we toss out Bradshaw, with his season ending injury, it ends up about four to one. You already know who is at the top of the RB list, Forte (CHI) and Bell (PIT). Ellington is a sneaky one to use in PPR leagues, with his production on the ground having declined of late. Vereen is always a PPR back that you can use, despite the fact that he plays for that frustrating Head Coach Bill Belichick. Fred Jackson is also an interesting RB, coming off injury and potentially available if a disgruntled owner dropped him.

Target changes to wonder about:

As occurs on a weekly basis, there are players whose targets increase. Below are those that stood out for increases in their target totals based on their Week 12 production with the percent of their total targets that occurred in last week’s games:

  • Josh Gordon WR CLE 100%
  • Tony Moeaki TE SEA 80%
  • De’Anthony Thomas RB KC 40%
  • Charles Sims RB TB 40%
  • Stedman Bailey WR StL 39.1%
  • Charles Johnson WR MIN 36.7%
  • Rashad Jennings RB NYG 33.3%
  • Garrett Graham TE HOU 25%
  • A.J. Green WR CIN 24.6%

Nothing tremendously dramatic with regard to the RB numbers this week, except for the aberration with Thomas in Kansas City. He is the third RB on the depth chart and his production in Week 12 is probably due to Junior Hemingway (WR KC) going out early on in the game.

Sims has seen four targets in each of the past two weeks and that figures to continue, as the Bucs are in a RBBC mode presently. Jennings numbers are inflated just because of his time out with injury.

Our tight end entries, Moeaki and Graham, are best left on the waiver wire, especially given the limited passing production coming out of Seattle and the confusion currently going on in Houston, where we are back to relying on Ryan Fitzpatrick at QB with the other Ryan on the roster, Mr. Mallett, going to the DL with a torn pectoral muscle (sidenote: OUCH!).

Of the wide receivers, I would be interested in Charles Johnson first, as Ted Bridgewater seems to have a connection with him. Obviously, you need to pick up Gordon if he is available, but I would suspect that is unlikely. Bailey is an interesting free agent, and facing the Raiders in Week 13 makes him a tempting addition for a “what-the-heck” flex option, to borrow from the lexicon of FootballGuys.com. Nice to see Green getting back to what he does best, catch passes and run for after the catch yardage. Of course, he is not available except via trade, and that deadline in many leagues is expiring soon, if it has not already.

I am going to keep working on developing this series of articles to best determine how you can use target information to succeed at your fantasy football efforts. I am open to suggestions as to how best to present this information for your use, so feel free to comment or send me a message at [email protected]



Source: http://rotoprofessor.com/football/?p=10608


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