Week 12 NFL Picks Against the Spread (ATS): Beazley
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Here are my Week 12 picks against the spread:
Indianapolis Colts -14 over Jacksonville Jaguars (2 units)
The Colts just got smacked at home by the Patriots last Sunday night, but I fully expect them to rebound in a big way Sunday vs. the last place Jags. I believe the loss of Colts RB Ahmad Bradshaw will end the Colts hope for a legit shot at the Super Bowl, but they don’t need him this week. I smell a monster 400/4 type of game from Andrew Luck. If you are looking for some DFS love, then start Jaguars WR Allen Hurns. Hurns is almost at the site minimum ($3200) on DraftKings. The Jaguars will be behind so I expect double-digit targets headed his way. Colts 41, Jaguars 20.
Dallas Cowboys -4 over New York Giants (3 units)
The Cowboys had an extra week to prepare for this Sunday night clash. I hate playing small road favorites especially in division rivalry games, but I really do think the Cowboys are light years better than the Giants. Eli Manning looked absolutely horrible last week vs. the 49ers and I think he could struggle ahead in this one, especially since I think the Dallas defense will be fresh from pounding the ball with DeMarco Murray. Murray is my hands down No. 1 fantasy player of the week and I think Murray could set career numbers in this game. Dallas big road win, 30-17.
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Denver Broncos -7 over Miami Dolphins (5 units)
Peyton Manning at home after a humiliating loss against the lowly Rams. Sounds good to me! The Broncos are definitely not as good as people think, but neither is Miami. Ryan Tannehill is a pretty mediocre QB in my opinion, and I think early mistakes lead to a big Denver lead. Tannehill and the Miami offense are not the types to come from 14 points behind. Peyton throws five in this one. Broncos 44, Fish 18.
Washington Redskins vs. San Francisco 49ers — Over 44.0 (3 units)
I’m currently in 5th place in my big fantasy money league. I’ve gone against the league’s high scorer multiple weeks. I’ve been a 25-point “favorite” and lost twice. It’s just been one of those years. What does that have to do with this game? EVERYTHING! My opponent this week has Colin Kaepernick, Vernon Davis ($3,000 DK), Alfred Morris, and Pierre Garcon. The way my luck has been this year in this league, I fully expect them to blow up this week. Good thing I am running multiple lineups on Draft Kings with these players in it! All joking aside, I really do think Kaepernick and Davis have big games this week. I also believe the 49ers may be overlooking the Redskins since they have a big matchup with Seattle on Turkey Day. 49ers escape the Skins, 30-27.
Note: NFL lines are from sportsbook.ag
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Source: http://eatdrinkandsleepfootball.com/blog/2014/11/week_12_nfl_picks_against_the_spread_ats_beazley.html
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