Read the Beforeitsnews.com story here. Advertise at Before It's News here.

By My View by Silvio Canto, Jr. (Reporter)
Contributor profile | More stories

Story Views
Now:
Last hour:
Last 24 hours:
Total:

The perils of predicting 23 months before election day

Friday, December 7, 2018 7:10

% of readers think this story is Fact. Add your two cents.

The 2020 campaign is on! We have not seated the new Congress and the pundits are already making predictions. I guess that we live in the age of perpetual campaigns.

However, 23 months before election day has not turned out to be a very reliable indicator in years past.

Let’s go back to December 1990: Did anyone see Governor Clinton winning the 1992 election? What about Ross Perot taking 19% of the popular vote? As I recall, most of the Democratic heavyweights decided to pass on 1992 because President Bush (41) seemed unbeatable.

Let’s go back to December 1998: Did anyone see a Bush-Cheney ticket? Wonder how many people saw a close election in 2000?

Let’s go back to December 2006: Did anyone see Senator Obama winning the nomination or the presidency? My guess is that most Democrats did not either.

Let’s go back to December 2014: Did anyone see Donald Trump? I did not.

My point is that 23 months is not exactly a good barometer for the next election.

What will happen over the next 23 months?

First, let’s look at the Democrats. As Camile Paglia wrote:

The Democrats (my party) have been in chaos since the 2016 election and have no coherent message except Trump hatred. Despite the vast pack of potential candidates, no one yet seems to have the edge.

They will present their “hate Trump” ticket to enter the party but can they agree on anything? What about all of those “billionaires” who financed a lot of 2018 campaigns? How will they react if the new House cannot deliver?

My guess is that Harold Bloomberg will go solo in 2018 because he really wants to run against President Trump. As I recall, Ross Perot really wanted to run against President Bush and elected Governor Clinton.

Second, let’s look at President Trump. He has to improve some of the electoral shortcomings, from suburban women to minority groups, as our friend Richard Baehr outlined a couple of weeks ago. Last, but not least, the U.S. economy will make or break President Trump. My guess today is that it will work for him.

So don’t bet your life on predictions 23 months before. They are usually wrong!

What happens in 2020? My guess is that President Trump will be reelected, but it’s only a guess.

PS: You can listen to my show (Canto Talk) and follow me on Twitter.

Tags: The perils of predicting 23 months before election day To share or post to your site, click on “Post Link”. Please mention / link to the My View by Silvio Canto, Jr. Thanks!

Source: http://cantotalk.blogspot.com/2018/12/the-perils-of-predicting-23-months.html

Before It’s News® is a community of individuals who report on what’s going on around them, from all around the world.

Anyone can join.
Anyone can contribute.
Anyone can become informed about their world.

"United We Stand" Click Here To Create Your Personal Citizen Journalist Account Today, Be Sure To Invite Your Friends.

Please Help Support BeforeitsNews by trying our Natural Health Products below!

Order by Phone at 888-809-8385 or online at https://mitocopper.com M - F 9am to 5pm EST

Order by Phone at 866-388-7003 or online at https://www.herbanomic.com M - F 9am to 5pm EST

Order by Phone at 866-388-7003 or online at https://www.herbanomics.com M - F 9am to 5pm EST

Humic & Fulvic Trace Minerals Complex - Nature's most important supplement! Vivid Dreams again!

HNEX HydroNano EXtracellular Water - Improve immune system health and reduce inflammation.

Ultimate Clinical Potency Curcumin - Natural pain relief, reduce inflammation and so much more.

MitoCopper - Bioavailable Copper destroys pathogens and gives you more energy. (See Blood Video)

Oxy Powder - Natural Colon Cleanser! Cleans out toxic buildup with oxygen!

Nascent Iodine - Promotes detoxification, mental focus and thyroid health.

Smart Meter Cover - Reduces Smart Meter radiation by 96%! (See Video).

Comments

Online:
Visits:	1,599,796,315
Stories:	8,140,349