The Long March To #Brexit : Current analysis

I’ve been on the March To Leave for a week, and just got a day off to visit family and give my plates of meat a rest. I’m back on the march tomorrow, so no time for a big write up yet. Above is my simple summary, as delivered to ITN news two days ago, and below, some more complex analysis of the current situation from Chris Pearson on twitter

4. Which means EU dates become irrelevant and we still leave on 29 March.
5. Unless, that is, Remainers sieze control of Govt business from the back benches and across party?
6. But can they? To stop UK leaving on 29 March requires primary legislation – it is the law if the land.

7. To do so would set a precedent effectively trashing 400 years of parliamentary democracy. Unwise.
8. The Conservatives must have finally realised two key facts…the WA is truly dead and …
9. To force it through as a Fake Brexit, pro-EU, Remain Minus, German-written, tribute-paying, vassal-state, Union-breaking, for absolutely nothing in return, would incur electoral oblivion from their own members & the rest of the country.
10. What is the first duty of the party?
11. To get re-elected.
12. So they have a binary choice now, as does the country. Leave or Remain. Leave on WTO in 5 days or Revoke A50.
13. Every other option less than leaving on WTO boils down to (effectively) remaining or worse.
14. All the other options short of Remaining (or worse) are fantasy cherry picks which the EU will not accept.
15. All these other options, except revoking A50, are ONLY available AFTER the WA is signed. (Ask the EU – but this is the case)
16. So, if WA is dead, and it is, the whole indicative votes farrago is pointless. They have already all been proposed and rejected as amendments anyway.
17. Therefore we have either WTO or Revoke A50.
18. Revoking A50 is Parliament versus the People…
19. Revoking A50 tells not only 17.4 million people that their votes are worthless, but tells the entire electorate that if, in future, they don’t vote for what the EU masters want then the ruling technocrats have the right to ignore them again. And again. And again.
20. And how do we think revocation might play out in the UK? Not well I suspect. Possibly in Civil War. 
21. But regardless it will be the end of the Conservative party.
22. So the Conservatives can only conclude that their best option is WTO (by stealth).
23. If their analysis is any good they will finally have realised that 17.5 to 19 million voters are not going away. 
24. They can win these voters instantly to the Conservative cause by going for WTO. The alternative is end of party.
25. It very odd but we have 500 odd MPs and the entire MSM all fighting to woo the Blairites – because that’s what they all are.
26. The loudest voices are the Soubry, Adonis, Umuna, Starmer, Elwood brigade. They and MSM (and TM) all inhabit the same thought space.
27. What they have in common is they that are all despised by Leave voters of every hue.
28. The UK is an amazing, wonderful, resilient, law-abiding nation full of opportunity for people of any and every background and identity.
29. Economists, and their forecasts, are always very wrong, sometimes 100% (500k unemployed vs 500k more employed) because they don’t understand what it is to be “a nation of shop keepers” (that so annoyed Napoleon).
30. British business will always thrive if free to do so.
31. But it’s not about the money…
32. It is about taking our place in the world alongside first tier non-superpower nations such as Japan, Australia and Canada.
33. It is about rejecting being the naughty child cash cow trading colony of the EU superstate project.
34. So…all May has to do is nothing until Friday.
35. WTO will be disruptive of course, but it won’t be Armageddon.
36. A mutually beneficial FTA with the EU will undoubtedly follow rapidly, along with fair payment for membership cancellation.
37. You made it this far? Well done. 
38. Ladies and gentlemen I commend to you all of the above course of action.
39. It is the only one to respect the vote, save democracy, avoid chaos, provide business certainty, save the Conservative Party and keep the U in UK and G in GB.