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Can Germany's Plan for Confrontation With Russia Work?

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Can Germany’s Plan for Confrontation With Russia Work?

Thursday, December 8, 2022

Drago Bosnic, independent geopolitical and military analyst

On November 14, Der Spiegel published a report according to which leaked documents of the German Ministry of Defense indicate that the Bundeswehr is preparing for a war with Russia. The secret draft titled “Operational guidelines for the Armed Forces” was authored by the German Chief of Defense Staff, General Eberhard Zorn. It was written in late September and according to General Zorn, “an attack on Germany can potentially happen without warning and can cause serious damage, even existential. Therefore, the defense capabilities of the Bundeswehr are essential for the survival of the country.” The German Chief of Defense Staff stressed the need for a “mega-reform” of the Bundeswehr, adding that “for approximately 30 years, the focus placed on missions abroad no longer does justice to the current situation, with possible consequences that endanger the system.”

Instead, General Zorn thinks it’s crucial for Germany to focus on “the Atlantic defense of the Alliance,” with the “capacity to provide visible and credible deterrence, to dominate Germany’s military action plan.” In this regard, specifically, “the Bundeswehr must arm itself for a forced war, since a potential confrontation on NATO’s eastern flank has once again become more probable.”

The draft clearly identified Russia as the “immediate threat”. However, the designation makes little sense, as Russia is now over 1,500 km away from Germany, with Belarus, Poland and Ukraine standing between the two countries. While it made some sense for Germany to maintain a large, highly trained military force with constant combat readiness during the (First) Cold War, as the USSR had approximately half a million soldiers in East Germany at the time (in addition to other Warsaw Pact member states), the situation is effectively reversed nowadays.

It’s precisely NATO that’s encroaching on Russia’s western borders, with the crawling expansion including coups and other interventions in various Eastern European and post-Soviet states. This aggression by the political West forced Moscow’s hand, culminating with the February 24 counteroffensive. However, the German plan has already been set in motion and no matter how ill-conceived it is, an analysis of how it could play out is in order. The plan certainly isn’t new, as it has been in the works for well over half a year. Back in early March, the German government announced it would allocate approximately €100 billion to upgrade the Bundeswehr, which has become a mere shadow of what it was during the heydays of the (First) Cold War.

The 2021 budget for Bundeswehr was approximately €50 billion. If Berlin was to increase that by close to 100%, it would put extreme pressure on the struggling German economy. Such a massive upsurge in military spending wouldn’t only take away from other branches of the government, but it would also come at a time when the sanctions boomerang from the failed economic siege of Russia is ravaging all of the European Union. The bloc hasn’t even begun recovery from the fallout of the COVID-19 pandemic, but it’s already facing severe economic contraction resulting from anti-Russian sanctions and policies. Much of Germany’s prosperity was based on access to cheap Russian energy, which is now a thing of the past thanks to Berlin’s suicidal subservience to “Euro-Atlantic values”.

In essence, this means that Germany is doomed to massively increase military spending while having significantly fewer resources at its disposal to do so. This doesn’t even factor in how the German people would react to such a momentous foreign (and, to a large extent, domestic) policy shift. As the EU’s largest and most important economy, Germany would also cause shockwaves throughout the bloc if it were to go ahead with such a plan. With Russian energy supplies either gone or effectively unaffordable, any government in power in Berlin would have virtually the entire German private sector against it, with the notable exception of the arms industry, which would be the only one not contracting thanks to increased orders for the Bundeswehr.

On the other hand, even this plan is bound to hit several major snags before it’s even put in motion. The US Military Industrial Complex dominates in NATO, making it the primary beneficiary of German (re)militarization. Domestic weapons production has atrophied significantly in the last 30 years, while the globalization of the world economy led to the rest of it being outsourced to other countries, both in Europe and elsewhere around the globe.

New reports indicate that Berlin’s decision to supply weapons and munitions to the Kiev regime is severely depleting German stockpiles, a problem further exacerbated by the significant slowdown of component imports from China. This is also the result of the German government’s self-destructive push for an economic decoupling of the EU and the Asian giant. Beijing has been extremely patient with the bloc’s subservience to Washington DC, but it seems this patience has now run out.

Another major issue will be the reaction of other EU members. With the notable exception of the clinically Russophobic Baltic states and Poland, the rest of the bloc is extremely concerned with the economic fallout of the failed sanctions war on Russia. As the German economy contracts, the rest of the EU will almost certainly follow suit, causing massive political instability.

At least half a dozen European governments have already fallen so far, while the neoliberal elites in Brussels are now forced to contend with new anti-liberal political parties in power in several EU member states. This is bound to cause further rifts within the bloc. It will be followed by the general militarization of the EU, which will further erode the already falling living standards and cause more political instability. This will turn Europe into an economically devastated bulwark that serves no other purpose except to contain Russia while the US shifts focus to the Asia-Pacific region.

Source: InfoBrics

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    Total 3 comments
    • DON ROBER>to

      [" THIS is pure DESIFORMATION and FICTION and wrapped as a BLUE WHITE-FALSE FALG OPERATION at its best. WHY? The Germans are int. officially registered as rightless SLAVES called: STRANDED FOREIGNER OF AN OCCUPIED COUNTRY of the STATUS of WAR and OCCUPATION by the 3 ALLIENS plus one, GB-US-CHINA and RUSSIA. The formal "BUNDESWEHR" is just a private commercial LABEL, belonging 100% o the private commercial otan Corp. Called nato. So NO defence of the Nation and the People possible. The WORLD-WAR 1, 1.2 and 1.3 are still ongoing, never ever brought to Peace, just transformed into private commercial fictional NGO STATESIMULATION, never ever elected by the People, because, they have NO RIGHTS and NO JURISDICTION by sovereign courts. BANKSTER&COURTS-are sailing under the private commercial Command of the Royal Admiralty Land&Sea, with the Martime Law and the MARTIAL LAW on ALL SEVEN CONTINENTS, controlled by the ROMAN CANON LAW, and the JESUITBROTHER BERGOGLIO is the GENERAL-POSTMASTER, which owns and controls ALL UPU-CORTHOUSE-CORP. SHIPS ww. To this CORP. belongs the BAR-ASSOCIATION in which all LAWYER-JUDGES be FREMASONS-and sworn to serve the DeepState and their IDEOLOGIES. ALL GOVs of and REPUBLICS of..are private commercial NGOs ´controlled by the US-MUNICIPAL-GOVERNMENT CORP. working together with the IRS and the DEP. of the Treasury, with all our COLATTERAL-ACCOUNTS by the FREEMASONS and the ZIONSM-BANKSTER-FAMILIES. The Germans are absolutely helpless and totally defenseless and helplessly at the mercy of the war and occupation powers, and the NGOs with their parties are private limited companies, under the control of the U.S.-GB-CHINA OCCUPATION FORCES, per S.H.A.E.F regulations…”].

    • DON ROBER>to

      ii) [“..And today, the NATIONAL-SOCIALISTS as ILO-EMPLOYEES in their GmbHs, playing their ZIONISM-ROAD-BOOKS in Corporation with all so called PARTIES and their ILO-EMPLOYEES. Playing MINISTER up to CHANCELOR and PRESIDENTS. The real valid constitution like the real valid Basic Law has been put into a waking coma since 1918 and a pure fictional governments were installed. Read 33°SCOTISH-RITE SIR WINSTON CHURCHILL, with his BUSINESSPARTERS EISENHOWER and ROOSVELT. Read HOOTON-KAUFMAN; COUDENHOVE-KALERGI & MORGENTHAU PLAN as EISENHOWERS MIL-RE-EDUCATION Program and all AGENDAs 21;2030;2050, GreatReSet, DEPOPULATION PROGRAM, UN2001REPLACEMENT MIGRATION, OWMING THE WEATHER by 2025..than you will recognize, nothing is, as indoctrinated, the given history is the history the Freemasons and the ZIONIST agreed with their BIG FAMIIES up to the Black NOBILITY and the BLAXCK POPE and the ILLUMINATI in Kazakhstan in which are the ROTHSCHILDS are related with. So…the Germans, the People do know nothing and will never ever be able to play worriors, noap, they are victims again and again, claimed as CAIPATL-LOSSES than, but deleted by CAPITAL-CRIMES, So ... the Germans, the people know nothing of the fact that they are all betrayed, sold, traded, bullied and killed with pure PSYOP KNOWLEDGE TERROR, BIO-WATER ENERGY WEAPONS, and that the human being, the PERSON, are naked PRODUCTS of the NGO CORPORATIONS, whose CAPITAL VALUES, BONDS, OBLIGATIONS, but accepted by the people, called Humans…”]

    • DON ROBER>to

      iii) [“….and they will never ever be able to play warriors, no, they are always victims, declared as CAPITAL LOSSES on the high seas, but wiped out by CAPITAL CRIMINALS, who like to the old brown National-Socialist dictatorship, as contractors of the NATIONAL ZIONISTS, from the ARISTOCRATS HOUSES BANKING FAMILIES and the illuminati Freemasonry, who sell themselves as the benefactors and peacemakers... “ read the 12 Books of the jisraelian-babylonian Talmud…than you will see, what will be. This is all organized fraud and scam business, carried out by the private commercial UN-companies, like the UN-EU-WEF etc. All set up to make as much as possible CAPITAL out of it. They need however for their war lists again a fool, who officially instigates the WAR, so that they can extinguish their DEBTS to us CREDITORS with the PEOPLE'S CONFUSION BUSINESS. A BALANCING PROCESS over and over again. Because where the CREDITOR no longer exists, the CONTRACT is no longer active and dormant, thus silently annihilated. This is the point. And just by the way the AUGSTEIN family, who publish the MAGAZINE derSPIEGEL and others, are FREEMASONS and ZIONISTS and belong to the old guard. A pure lying propaganda sheet, like all private commercial media and television in BLUE-WHITE but owned by which Families making their businesses in their jisrselian-babylonian Empire-GLASTOWERS on behalf of our costs and lives?“]

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