Have the U.S. Just Reached Peak Stock Market Absurdity?
Sales cannot be gimmicked. Either money comes in the door, or it doesn’t. And if a company is caught messing around with its sales numbers, someone is going to jail.For this reason, Price to Sales is perhaps the single most objective and clear means of measuring stock valuations.This metric, above all others, you can point to and say, “this is definitively accurate and has not been messed with.”On that note, as Bill King recently noted, today the S&P 500 is sporting a P/S ratio that is massively higher than it was in 2007 and is only marginally lower than it was during the Tech Bubble (the single largest stock bubble of all time for most measures).
Twitter has never turned a profit, and for the first time since going public in 2013, it reported a decline in revenue from the previous year. Its revenue was $548.3 million, down 8 percent.Net loss was $61.6 million, or 9 cents per share, compared with a loss of $79.7 million, or 12 cents per share, a year earlier.
(Given that investing in an early stage company is high-risk, investors might provide a few hundred thousand dollars in funding, at most. Clinkle raised $25 million.)The company went on to burn through just about every penny of its investors’ capital.There were even photos that surfaced of the 21-year old CEO literally setting bricks of cash on fire.At the end of the farce, Clinkle never actually managed to build its supposedly ‘world-changing’ product, and the website is now all but defunct.
Netflix might be my favorite example.The company’s most recent earnings report for the period ending March 31, 2017 shows, yet again, negative Free Cash Flow of MINUS $422 million.Not only is that a record loss, it’s 62% worse than in Q1/2016, and over twice as bad as Q1/2015.Netflix just keeps losing more and more money.
http://nunezreport.blogspot.com/
Source: http://nunezreport.blogspot.com/2017/04/have-us-just-reached-peak-stock-market.html
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