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Yes, You’ll Likely Get It – Harvard Epidemiologist Predicts Most of the World Will Be Infected by Next Year

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The Harvard epidemiology professor Marc Lipsitch is exacting in his diction, even for an epidemiologist. Twice in our conversation he started to say something, then paused and said, “Actually, let me start again.” So it’s striking when one of the points he wanted to get exactly right was this: “I think the likely outcome is that it will ultimately not be containable.”

Containment is the first step in responding to any outbreak. In the case of COVID-19, the possibility (however implausible) of preventing a pandemic seemed to play out in a matter of days. Starting in January, China began cordoning off progressively larger areas, radiating outward from Wuhan City and eventually encapsulating some 100 million people. People were barred from leaving home, and lectured by drones if they were caught outside. Nonetheless, the virus has now been found in 30 countries.

Despite the apparent ineffectiveness of such measures—relative to their inordinate social and economic cost, at least—the crackdown continues to escalate. Under political pressure to “stop” the virus, last Thursday the Chinese government announced that officials in the Hubei province would be going door to door, testing people for fevers and looking for signs of illness, then sending all potential cases to quarantine camps. But even with the ideal containment, the virus’s spread may have been inevitable. Testing people who are already extremely sick is an imperfect strategy if people can spread the virus without even feeling bad enough to stay home from work.

Lipsitch predicts that, within the coming year, some 40 to 70 percent of people around the world will be infected with the virus that causes COVID-19. But he clarifies emphatically, this does not mean that all will have severe illnesses. “It’s likely that many will have mild disease, or may be asymptomatic,” he said. As with influenza, which is often life-threatening to people with chronic health conditions and of older age, most cases pass without medical care. (Overall, around 14 percent of people with influenza have no symptoms.) Lipsitch is far from alone in his belief that this virus will continue to spread widely. The emerging consensus among epidemiologists is that the most likely outcome of this outbreak is a new seasonal disease—a fifth “endemic” coronavirus. With the other four, people are not known to develop long-lasting immunity. If this one follows suit, and if the disease continues to be as severe as it is now, “cold and flu season” could become “cold and flu and COVID-19 season.”  –The Atlantic


Source: https://theextinctionprotocol.wordpress.com/2020/02/25/yes-youll-likely-get-it-harvard-epidemiologist-says-most-of-the-world-will-be-infected-by-next-year/


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    • Anonymous

      MOVE ALONG FOLKS – NOTHING TO SEE HERE – ALL OVER – JUST MOVE ALONG – GET ON WITH YOUR LIVES

      Yes 2,400 Died Of Caronavirous in 2 months (60 Days) – An Average >>> 40 Deaths A Day
      - Seasonal Flu Kills An Average 88,000 Per Year (caronavirus Has Managed 2,400)
      - 7 MILLION Chinese Die Per Year – Caronavirus Has Accounted For 2,400

      Move Along Folks – Eveywhere Is Openung Up Again – Just Move Along Folks – It Was Just Usual Fear PORN – Move Along
      ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….

      INTERNATIONAL NEWS CHANEL RT NEWS

      Evidence …..Propaganda Fatigue ….Setting In Already

      Macau CHINA , the world’s biggest gambling hub, …..will allow casinos to resume operations from…. February 20, …. after authorities imposed a two-week suspension to curb the coronavirus’ spread, authorities said on Monday,

      Macau has not reported >>> any new cases of the virus>>> since February 4, … officials said.

      There have been >>>> ONLY 10 confirmed cases of the virus – in total there.

      Government services, which had mostly been suspended since the start of February,
      ….. have gradually resumed operations this week.

      https://www.rt.com/newsline/481005-macau-casinos-virus-fear/
      …………………………………………………………………………………………

      On the other side of the scales from the propaganda FEAR PORN – are >>> 3/4 OF A MILLION – INFECTED – WITH SYMPTOMS SO MILD

      - THEY WONT EVEN …. HAVE NOTICED IT

      Read On Facts & Figures Links To FULL EXPERT SOURCES
      ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..

      IT’S All JUST More Fear Porn

      Annually on Average …..Approx 7 Million Die Each Year In CHINA
      (ALL CAUSES) https://www.quora.com/How-many-people-die-every-year-in-China?share=1
      AND …..

      2,500 Die In China In 2 Months = approx average 40 a day coronavirus deaths
      - That’s FecK All out ot 1.3 BILLION Chinese

      - and insignificant within – ALL CAUSES DEATHS Of 7 MILLION CHINESE – PER YEAR

      - and as usual with all these type viruses

      - the deaths will predominantly be those over 80, the frail, the sick, those with existing multiple underlying health issues, the imuno-compromised and those nearing death anyway.

      Meanwhile – as you will see below including links to full details – back in the REAL WORLD …..3/4 MILLION have been infected
      - but symptoms SO MILD they don’t even NOTICE

      AND THERE ARE More people in CHINA DIE…. OF RUN OF THE MILL SEASONAL FLU (NB DIE) 88,00 Deaths
      – than all the Chinese … that have only been infected ….with caronavirus (80,000 only INFECTED)
      …………………………………………………………………………

      To Put Things In Persective From The Start – THE LANCET Medical Journal

      We estimated that an….. annual …. mean >>> of 88100 – influenza-associated …… excess respiratory deaths
      occurred in China (in the 5 years studied)

      https://www.thelancet.com/action/showPdf?pii=S2468-2667%2819%2930163-X
      …………………………………………………………………………..
      Same Old Same Old Rinse & Repeat FEAR PORN PROPAGANDA PLAYBOOK – IN PLAY – YET AGAIN

      - China Annual Seasonal Flu Average Deaths >>>> 88,000 – vs – Coronavirus So Far >>> Under 2,400

      AND according to experts -vs- only the 2400 deaths and 80,000 infected HYPED PROPAGANDA SIDE
      ….There are probably >>> 10X as many

      ie >>> 3/4 MILLION >>> that will have been infected

      - BUT – the symptoms …. ARE QUOTE >>>>> “SO MILD – THAT NOBODY NOTICED”

      Read some FACTS with links to the SOURCED EXPERTS !!
      …………………………………………………………………….

      EMPHASIS >>> ITS SO INSIGNIFICANT AS A VIRUS… THAT

      Real Experts state – there are probably…. 10X as many people infected – that have symptoms >> TOO MILD TO EVEN NOTICE
      - than those…. that are being recorded

      SO THAT’s >>> 3/4 of a MILLION infected – but – THEIR SYMPTOMS ARE TOO MILD….. TO EVEN NOTICE !!!
      …………………………………………………………….

      LETS GET INITIAL OFFICIAL GOVERNMENT CONFIRMATION (Fuller Details Lower Down on THE ACTUAL NUMBERS)
      ………………………………….CANADIAN GOVERNMENT / HEALTH CANADA ……………………………….

      QUOTE “coronaviruses are common …..and are typically associated ….with mild illnesses,
      similar to the common cold. (Unquote)

      QUOTE >>> Those who are infected with COVID-19 may >>>>have little to >>> NO symptoms.

      You may… NOT KNOW ……you have symptoms ….of COVID-19

      because they are similar to …. a COLD or flu. (UNQUOTE)

      https://www.canada.ca/en/public-health/services/diseases/2019-novel-coronavirus-infection/symptoms.html
      …………………………………………………………………………………………………

      >>> BREAKING >>> MUST READ >>> BREAKING >>> MUST READ !!
      UK GOVERNMENT >>> OUTS >>> POPEYE – PRATTchett & LISA HAVEN >>> As FEAR MONGERORS – SPREADING FEAR PORN !!
      QUOTE “For those who are in contact …. with a suspected case ….in a childcare or educational setting, >>>> no restrictions…. or special control measures ….. are required (Unquote)

      ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
      FULL QUOTE 17 Feb Public Health England and the Department for Education
      have…… issued headteachers and childcare providers …with fresh guidance

      Schools and nurseries ….do not need to close…. or send pupils home

      …. in the event of…. contact with someone …. suspected of having … the coronavirus,

      according to new guidelines to be issued to schools across the UK this week.

      For those who are in contact …. with a suspected case ….in a childcare or educational setting,

      >>>> no restrictions…. or special control measures ….. are required

      https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/feb/16/headteachers-are-told-to-stay-calm-and-keep-schools-open

      For most – THE Actual Symptoms are JUST ….

      - A RUNNY NOSE
      - A COUGH
      - A SORE THROAT / Fever (high temperature).

      The vast majority of patients – at least 97 per cent, – will recover from these >>>> without any issues…. or medical help.
      ……………………………………………….
      LOS ANGELES TIMES

      Thousands of people in China and elsewhere ….have been infected ….. but have had…

      >>>> such mild reactions that >>>> no one even noticed,

      - said Dr. Tom Inglesby, director of the Center for Health Security at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health.

      https://www.latimes.com/science/story/2020-01-24/china-coronavirus-panic

      The UK’s BBC News COMMENTS – Re INFECTED – HAVING SUCH MILD REACTIONS >>> NO ONE NOTICED >>> FROM THE LARGEST STUDY TO DATE (The paper by the CCDC, released on Monday and published in the Chinese Journal of Epidemiology, looked at more than 44,000 confirmed cases of Covid-19 in China as of 11 February
      ………………………………….
      – So Known Infections 72,436 x 10 = 724,000 Who Will Have Had Symptoms – Too Mild – To Notice – YES >> ¾ Million
      …………………………………..
      QUOTE >>> Re The Known 72,436 infections
      - Scientists have estimated there could be …..10 times as many people infected ….. as are ending up in the official statistics.

      That ALSO means the….. overall death rate IN THE REST OF CHINA (Outside Hubei) is likely to be
      >>> lower than the 0.4% (rest of China) reported in this study (ie 10X LOWER – Making the death rate potentially ONLY 0.04)

      https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-china-51540981

      Its a lightweight WIMP in Viral Terms
      ………………………….……………………………..
      AND ALSO

      EXPERT OPINION FROM – HEALTHLINE.COM
      The bottom line

      Extensive news coverage of the new coronavirus outbreak …. can make the situation
      >>> seem much worse …. than it actually is.

      >>> Influenza virus …. still causes>>>> far more >>> illness and death worldwide.

      EXPERTS also emphasize – that this outbreak >>>> is significantly …… less dangerous
      >>>> than previous….. coronavirus epidemics…. . like SARS and MERS.

      https://www.healthline.com/health-news/dont-freak-out-about-the-coronavirus-just-yet#The-bottom-line
      ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..

      THE NATIONAL POST
      A recent article by University of Hong scientists published >>>>> by the journal Lancet states …..

      Based on the number of reported deaths when the paper was published Friday,
      Coronavirus would actually produce….. a mortality rate of >>>> just 0.2 per cent — akin to that >>> of regular influenzas.

      “We don’t freak out about seasonal flu, …..we experience it every year,”
      said Matthew Miller, a microbiologist who studies viruses at McMaster University.

      “The people most likely to die from seasonal flu are …….the elderly and the very young
      … The same is very likely to be true …….with this …… new coronavirus outbreak.
      The people who are at highest risk …..are the people at the highest risk >>>> for any type of infection.”

      There seems to be so much…. active disinformation spread,” said Falzarano.
      “Things coming out …. >>>> are just nonsense, ….. and then are picked up ….by the media.”

      https://nationalpost.com/health/new-coronavirus-may-be-no-more-dangerous-than-the-flu-despite-worldwide-alarm-experts

      Experts DAILY MAIL NATIONAL NEWSPAPER 10th Feb 2020

      What does the virus do to you? …… What are the symptoms?

      Once someone has caught the COVID-19 virus it may take between two and 14 days, or even longer, for them to show any symptoms.

      IF … and when …they do become ill, …. typical signs include

      - A RUNNY NOSE
      - A COUGH
      - A SORE THROAT / Fever (high temperature).

      The vast majority of patients – at least 97 per cent, ….. based on available data – will recover from these >>>> without any issues or medical help.

      https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-7987001/Death-toll-killer-coronavirus-10-TIMES-higher-average-Chinas-Hubei-province.html

      SYMPTOMS A Runny Nose, Sore Throat, A Cough & A Raised Temperature & OVER 97% Fully Recover With NO Medical Help.

      So There You Have It – CoronaVirus – Ranks the lowest of the low, the bottom of the bottom
      in a weakest of the weak league of it’s own – when it comes to viral threat & dangers

      The REST is Just CLICK BAIT & FEAR PORN PROPAGANDA
      xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
      10 February 2020 BLOOMBERG

      The new coronavirus might have infected at least 500,000 people in Wuhan, the Chinese city at the epicenter of the global outbreak, by the time it peaks in coming weeks.

      But most of those people…..>>>> won’t even know it.

      https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-02-08/virus-outbreak-in-wuhan-may-soon-peak-with-more-than-5-infected

      14 FEB 2020 CNBC
      It appears infections among medical workers…. peaked >>> in mid-January

      and have >>> “rapidly” decreased since, ……according to the World Health Organization.

      https://www.cnbc.com/2020/02/14/who-and-china-investigate-1716-health-workers-infected-with-coronavirus.html

      18 February 11:00 gmt

      — Has the outbreak in China peaked?

      A study of nearly 45,000 confirmed COVID-19 cases in China suggests that the outbreak might already ….have reached its climax.

      The peak — the day with the highest number of new infections — occurred around … the end of January.

      The number of new laboratory-confirmed cases per day ……declined from then….. to 11 February, ….. the end of the study period.

      https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-00154-w

    • Slimey

      Preparing?? Preparing for WHAT??? You leave us hanging. So much for brains….. :twisted:

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