Have they all gone mad?
Chinese investors bought a net Y541 billion of Japanese government bonds in the first four months of 2010, equal to an estimated 10% of China’s new reserves for the period…ostensibly in reaction to Europe’s debt woes.
Say what?
Buying Japanese bonds to diversify out of Europe would be analogous to playing with a loaded gun “because knives are dangerous.” Europe’s fiscal position is terrible, as we’ve reported ad nauseum in these pages. But Japan’s is the worst in the developed world! You would have to find a basket case like Zimbabwe to get worse than Japan.
The Financial Times reports that Chinese buying of Japanese government debt has been one of the prime drivers of the yen’s recent strength.
Granted, most of the debt was short-term in nature. But I still find the Chinese buying of Japanese debt to be puzzling. It’s a strange world we’re living in.
Charles Sizemore, CFA
Co-author of the recently-published Boom or Bust: Understanding and Profiting from a Changing Consumer Economy
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