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Covid-19: Getting A Grip

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As cases of Covid-19 approach six figures globally and have passed the half-century in the UK, our government has released its Action Plan https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/coronavirus-action-plan(3 March). Before we look at it, let’s consider some other points.
We’ve been relatively lucky here and in the US. The virus reached us towards the end of the winter flu season and thanks to a reasonably cleanly populace and alert medics ready to jump on new cases and take the more serious to specialist facilities, the situation has the appearance of being so well under control that wiseacres are telling us we’ve been over-reacting https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2020/03/coronavirus_stay_calm_and_avoid_the_hype.htmland pass the port, old boy.

However, we could be in a Phoney War period. It seems that although Covid-19 is fatal to a small percentage, the potential scale of deaths relates more to the number of possible infections and nobody has an immunity. It’s not just a Chinese illness: early on, a Chinese study was released saying that East Asians might be more liable to contract the disease because of a genetic difference in their lung cells; yet as of 4 March 16:27 GMT https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6, in Iran 92/2,922 have died, in Italy 75/2,502 – a death-to-case ratio of three per cent in each case.

This coronavirus has now hit Africa, South America and the Middle East, where health screening and treatment systems are not universally well-developed. A coronavirus simulation exercise conducted a few months before the real outbreak concluded that on average, the world’s nations were only forty per cent prepared to deal with a pandemic https://hub.jhu.edu/2019/11/06/event-201-health-security/?fbclid=IwAR36gEPN_cBanQvewvO19pWHifTMP-aZ5PWea8B2GpjygFe2LVc1YTANuMY. ‘WuFlu’ could go on to brew away among the billions in the southern hemisphere, where autumn is on its way. There is also the Islamic community, for whom pilgrimage to Mecca is one of the Five Pillars of religious duty, incurring a ‘super-spreader’ risk as noted by Shahul H Ebrahim and Ziad A Memish in the Lancet https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30466-9/fulltext(27 February). Moreover, there are many other holy sites visited by millions of pilgrims, including internally within Iran, so flight restrictions do not completely solve the problem.

A great global reservoir could be building up, and we shall know what we’re facing when Britain comes again to seasonal flu time. Paradoxically, the fact that for many the illness will be mild, even unnoticed, makes the situation worse because those people will likely go about as normal and stand to infect others. We should use our Phoney War period to plan and rearm.

So we shall. Tony Blair was fond of the phrase ‘joined-up government’, although in practice, joined-up writing looked like a bit of a stretch, except where systemic socio-economic and constitutional vandalism were concerned. Johnson’s first big test has turned out to be, not Brexit but disease. I don’t know whether it’s quite fair to suggest that Etonians generally have a penchant for delegation to ‘little men who do that sort of thing’ but BoJo’s appointee Dominic Cummings has arrived just in time to try out his own theories in respect of the effective management of public affairs, and I assume this ‘Coronavirus: action plan’ document has his fingerprints on it.

The challenge is to strike a balance between showing the government is prepared, and scaring us. It’s not so much a death-puppet that waggles at us, but the prospect of overburdened hospitals and health services, and significant disruption to daily life. 

At present, for every person who dies in hospital (thankfully, nobody in Britain, yet) there are several more in intensive care, plus further numbers within hospitals and even more at home. The team has thought of this (point 2.7) and estimates that at its peak the disease may cause up to a fifth of workers to be absent from duty. This has been repeated in the news media and BoJo has undertaken to allow Statutory Sick Pay to be paid from the first day of illness. https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/coronavirus-news-boris-johnson-statutory-sick-pay-self-isolation-a9374696.html

The general treatment strategy (2.9) is fourfold: Self isolation, managing symptoms, support for patients with complications, but most people to manage at home.

The wider strategy (3.7) is to Contain, Delay (to allow time for more clement weather, for research and the development of a vaccine – but paragraph 4.25 notes the need to weigh the ‘social costs’ of implementing actions), Mitigate the consequences, and continue with Research. À propos the last, the document notes (4.32) King’s College London’s work on ‘Emergency Preparedness and Response’ and (4.33) Imperial College’s unit developing Modelling Methodology.

The plan also reminds us of the complexities of devolved government, so HMG is taking that into consideration. Let’s hope that TV interviewers think twice before macho, pen-twiddling ragging of central government ministers about matters for which regional government is responsible https://conservativewoman.co.uk/narky-newman-plumbs-new-depths/.

A point that is both reassuring and worrying is in (4.8): ‘new powers for medical professionals, public health professionals and the police to allow them to detain and direct individuals in quarantined areas at risk or suspected of having the virus.’ Let us hope the Opposition will keep a beady eye on the potential for abuse of such powers, and insist on periodic reviews and sunset clauses.

The paper reminds us that Dad can’t do it all for us, and the advice is worth quoting in full:

4.34 Everyone can help support the UK’s response by:

• following public health authorities’ advice, for example on hand washing

• reducing the impact and spread of misinformation by relying on information from trusted sources, such as that on www.nhs.uk/ , www.nhsinform.scot, www.publichealth.hscni.net , https://gov.wales/coronavirus-covid-19and www.gov.uk/

• checking and following the latest FCO travel advice when travelling and planning to travel

• ensuring you and your family’s vaccinations are up to date as this will help reduce the pressure on the NHS/HSCNI through reducing vaccine-preventable diseases

• checking on elderly or vulnerable family, friends and neighbours

• using NHS 111 (or NHS 24 in Scotland or NHS Direct Wales) (including online, where possible), pharmacies and GPs responsibly, and go to the hospital only when you really need to. This is further explained on the NHS website – www.nhs.uk/using-the-nhs/nhs-services/urgent-and-emergencycare/when-to-go-to-ae/and http://www.choosewellwales.org.uk/home

• being understanding of the pressures the health and social care systems may be under, and receptive to changes that may be needed to the provision of care to you and your family.

• accepting that the advice for managing COVID-19 for most people will be self-isolation at home and simple over the counter medicines

• checking for new advice as the situation changes.

So far, so good – it feels as though intelligent management is in charge. ‘Keep calm, and carry on.’


Source: http://theylaughedatnoah.blogspot.com/2020/03/covid-19-getting-grip.html



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    • Anonymous

      THEY HAVE BEEN – TESTING FOR IT
      - NOT ROCKET SCIENCE

      AS THE WORLD EXPERT STATES BELOW …. IF THEY WEREN’T TESTING FOR IT >>> NOBODY WOULD HAVE NOTICED IT

      IMPORTANT – HOW DANGEROUS A VIRUS IS – IS NOT – TEST DICOVERED INFECTIONS >> WITH NO OR NEGLIGIBLE SYMPTOMS
      >>>> THE IMPORTANT FACTOR IS
      >>>> KILL RATE

      NOW DON’T LAUGH – WORLDWIDE CARONAVIRUS KILL RATE GLOBALLY IS >>> 67 People (Repeat JUST 67 Individuals)
      outside China …..In >>> 2 MONTHS !!
      ………………………………………………………………………………..
      We Will Repeat That >>>>The Threat…. Of A Virus is ….. it’s Actual – Numerical _ KILL RATE

      So Lets simplify it ….28/2/2020 the W.H.O Director as you will see below
      Confirms THAT – IMPORTANT CARONAVIRUS KILL RATE ….OVER TWO MONTHS …..AS…….

      >>> 67 DEATHS IN TOTAL…. WORDLDWIDE – Repeat >>> 67 Deaths … GLOBALY
      outside China

      In CHINA ALONE – Regular Common Or Garden SEASONAL FLU – KILLS 88,000 On Average PER YEAR
      - Caronavirus in China – A Tiny >>>3,000
      (50 deaths a day, old, sick & already near death over 2 months out of 1.3 BILLION Chinese)

      So whichever way you look at it – Caronavirus – is an irrelevent PI$$ In The Ocean
      ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
      BUT – IN “MODELS” – YOU CAN COME UP WITH >>> HILLARIOUS NUMBERS & HEADLINES

      READ FACTS …. LIKE THE ABOVE – THEY TELL YOU – THE REAL PICTURE – DON’T THEY ??

      Caronavirus is an INSIGNIFICANT IRELEVANCE – The Rest Is Propaganda – FEAR PORN
      ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
      An Opinion From A FULL MONTY QUALIFIED – WORLD EXPERT !!!
      So MILD >>> 95% Of Cases >>> WON’T EVEN NEED TO GO … TO A DOCTOR !!!

      Lets Hear From ….. Dr Craig Dalton is a public health physician and conjoint Associate Professor at the University of Newcastle, Australia.
      He is a former CDC …… Epidemic Intelligence …. Service Officer
      - and runs Flutracking.net one of the largest national surveillance systems …. for influenza-like illness in the world.

      There are many countries with cases that haven’t ….. even detected their ….first cases yet.
      They may have ….thousands of cases…. Before…. the first case is detected.
      - Because …most cases >>>> wont go to a doctor ……

      - In fact ….. most likely >>> 95% >>> are mild
      (allowing for surveillance biases towards more severe cases).

      https://seekingalpha.com/instablog/48606151-craig-dalton/5413058-update-analysts-are-starting-to-understand-coronavirus
      ……………………………………………………………………………………………………
      ANOTHER EXPERT >>> CARONAVIRUS – SO MILD – YOU WOULDN’T… FIND CASES
      >>> WITHOUT ….. MASS TESTING – & LOOKING FOR IT

      Marc Lipsitch, professor of epidemiology >>> at the Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health. He noted that Guangdong, a province in China, conducted surveillance
      - testing of 300,000 people in fever clinics
      - to find about 420 positive cases.

      “If you don’t look,>>>> you won’t find cases,” he said.

      https://www.propublica.org/article/cdc-coronavirus-covid-19-test

      REPEAT >> They Had – TO TEST – Nearly 1/3rd Of A MILLION Chinese – To Scrape up
      >>>> JUST 420 (repeat 420) …. Positive Cases – Yes Moving Heaven & Earth To
      >>> Hype Up The PROPAGANDA Figures !!
      ……………………..…..………..……………………………………………………..…………………

      28 February 2020 >>> WHO Director-General’s…. opening remarks

      As of 6am Geneva time this morning, China has reported a total of 78,959 cases of COVID-19 to WHO, including 2791 deaths.

      Outside China, there are now 4351 cases>>>> in 49 countries, >>>>and 67 deaths.

      Our greatest enemy right now ….is not the virus itself. …. It’s >>>> fear & rumours

      https://www.who.int/dg/speeches/detail/who-director-general-s-opening-remarks-at-the-media-briefing-on-covid-19—28-february-2020
      …………………………………………….
      REPEAT WORLDWIDE … OUTSIDE CHINA >>> A TINY TINY INSIGNIFICANT NUMBER OF …. TOTAL DEATHS >>> JUST 67

      ….. BEING PREDOMINANTLY – THE USUAL _ THE OLD, – THOSE WITH SERIOUS UNDERLYING MEDICAL CONDITIONS – THE IMMUNO-COMPROMISED – AND THOSE ALREADY NEAR DEATH ANYWAY.
      ……………………………………………….
      In contrast, in the US, the Centers of Disease Control estimate that so far for the 2019-20 season, at least …….

      >>> 15 million flu virus illnesses, >>> 140,000 hospitalizations and >>8,200 deaths in the U.S, which has population ……of 330 million,……. about a quarter that of China.

      And there was virtually no coverage or concern regarding
      - the Seasonal Flu,…… which in 2017 resulted >>>>> globally in 650,000 ….deaths.

      https://www.globalresearch.ca/coronavirus-epidemic-who-declares-a-global-public-health-crisis-can-we-trust-the-who/5702360?utm_campaign=magnet&utm_source=article_page&utm_medium=related_articles
      Caronavirus by comparison – is just a PI$$ In The Ocean !!
      …………………………………………….
      IN ADDITION FEB 25th
      RECOVERIES – ARE ALREADY SURPASSING ……the total number of …..daily new infections
      for the first time.

      That occurred on February 19th, …. according to Johns Hopkins University tracking, when there were 439 new cases…. and approximately >>>> 1,800 recoveries.

      The trend has continued since then >>> with fewer than 600 new confirmed COVID-19 cases each day >>>> and an even greater number ….of recoveries.

      https://www.statista.com/chart/20943/new-daily-confirmed-covid-19-cases-and-recoveries
      ……………………………………………………………………………………………………….
      YES … It’s A – Cute Pussycat Of A Virus – In VIRAL TERMS (Yes Really) – READ ON >>>>

      Some TRUTH, FACTS & ACTUAL GENUINE USEFUL INFO
      THE TRUTH IS >>> The Caronavirus PlayBook Is Already Written.

      It’s just a repeat of ……the H1N1 Swine Flu (SARS, MERS, BIRD FLU, EBOLA) – They All Run
      The Same – Fake Propaganda Virus Playbook
      And We Are – Just heading into – Chapter 2.

      So How Did SWINE FLU H1N1 PANDEMIC END >>> Well …, At The End Of 18 months of Swine Flu – Fear Porn

      - The World Health Organisation WHO declared …. the pandemic over – & during the >>> 18 months it had killed JUST ..18,500 people globally

      - averaging the figures of lab confirmed deaths – from the 214 countries that report to the W.H.O
      >>>> That averages out at >>>> LESS THAN 90 (as in Ninety) …. Swine Flu Deaths Per Country
      ……………………………………………………………….
      In Hindsight The 18 months of relentless fear porn fake propaganda headlines, >>> were over ……an insignificant, irrelevant virus – Killing On Average …. Just 90 People – PER Country !!
      ………………………………………………
      QUOTE W.H.O OWN WEBSITE
      6 August 2010 – As of 1 August 2010, worldwide… more than 214 countries and overseas territories or communities >>>> have reported laboratory confirmed cases …. of pandemic influenza H1N1 2009, including over >>> 18449 deaths.
      LINK TO W.H.O. OFFICIAL WEBSITE Confirmation Of Above FACT !! >>> https://www.who.int/csr/don/2010_08_06/en/

      And – This CARONAVIRUS >>> Will Be A Repeat.
      ……………………………………..
      Caronavirus Took 2 Months/60 Days To Kill 2,400 (ie a TINY 40 Per Day)

      - of old, sick, frail, immuno-compromised and already on their last legs Chinese

      - Up to 95% of Infected – Have Symptoms – So Mild – They Won’t Even Notice
      - and in most countries – hasn’t even reached a THOUSAND infected

      Regular Annual Flu – Kills 88,000 …Chinese per year

      7 Million Chinese… Die Of All Causes Per Year

      -vs- Caronavirus – UNDER 3,000 !!!

      Read the facts – Engage Brain & Common Sense – It’s an insignificant irrelevance – the rest is Rinse & Repeat VIRAL FEAR PORN
      ……………………………………………………….…
      LETS GET AN OVERALL OPINION FROM EXPERTS – AT THE UK NATIONAL HEALTH SERVICE (PUBLISHED IN A UK NATIONAL NEWSPAPER) – THE INDEPENDENT

      28/Feb/2020 …. QUOTE….
      “As a member of the public….. you might get… coronavirus

      >>> but your chances…. of being ill …. and in hospital >>>>>is not high.

      On a person …. by person basis >>>>>> IT IS NOTHING TO WORRY ABOUT
      (UNQUOTE)

      https://www.independent.co.uk/news/health/coronavirus-uk-deaths-nhs-intensive-care-flu-wise-men-protocol-a9361916.html
      …………………………………………………………………………………
      So – Total Prepping Required – IF you are one of the …very few that do get infected
      - and NOT one of the 90/95% infected that exhibit >>> NO Symptoms

      Or Symptoms >>>> So MILD – You Would’t Even Notice Them …..
      - then…………
      It may be prudent to perhaps – buy a small box ….of paper hankerchiefs/tissues… & Voila …..FULLY PREPPED & Ready

      >>> READ ON
      …………………………………
      LETS GET INITIAL OFFICIAL >>> GOVERNMENT CONFIRMATION ….(Fuller Details Lower Down on THE ACTUAL NUMBERS)

      ………….CANADIAN GOVERNMENT / HEALTH CANADA …………….

      QUOTE “coronaviruses are common …..and are typically associated ….with mild illnesses,
      similar to the common cold. (Unquote)

      QUOTE >>> Those who are infected with COVID-19 may >>>>have little to >>> NO symptoms.

      You may… NOT KNOW ……you have symptoms ….of COVID-19
      because they are similar to …. a COLD or flu. (UNQUOTE)

      https://www.canada.ca/en/public-health/services/diseases/2019-novel-coronavirus-infection/symptoms.html
      (& see Quotes At Bottom)
      …………………………………….…………….
      For the… very few …that do get infected noticeable symptoms, …. typical signs include
      - A RUNNY NOSE
      - A COUGH
      - A SORE THROAT / Fever (high temperature).

      The vast majority of patients – at least 97 per cent, ….. based on available data – will recover from these

      >>>> without any issues ….. or medical help.

      https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-7987001/Death-toll-killer-coronavirus-10-TIMES-higher-average-Chinas-Hubei-province.html
      ………………………………………………….
      Its such a happy clappy insignificant symptoms virus – its about as pleasant as you could make – thank you to God or Whoever
      - A Good Job !

      Lest We Forget ….. Ooooh 53 Suspected Cases Out Of 300 MILLION Americans – That’s ‘erm, well – nicely .… very significantly LESS than a PI$$ In The Ocean too really ….isn’t it

      And Based On How Things Have Gone In CHINA So Far – It A case Of >>>> READ ON
      …………………………………………………………………………………………….

      MOVE ALONG FOLKS – NOTHING TO SEE HERE – ALL OVER – JUST MOVE ALONG – GET ON WITH YOUR LIVES

      CHINA
      Yes 2,400 Died Of Caronavirous in 2 months (60 Days) – An Average >>> Really VERY TINY >> 40 Deaths A Day

      - Seasonal Flu Kills An Average 88,000 Per Year (Caronavirus Has Managed 2,400)

      - 7 MILLION Chinese Die Per Year – Caronavirus Has Accounted For 2,400

      And Studies/Reports State whilst there are only 80,000 Confirmed Infections – There Will be >>> 10X that number

      - YES 3/4 MILLION + with Symptoms SO MILD – they Won’t EVEN NOTICE THEM
      ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
      So Move Along Folks – Everywhere Is Opening Up Again – Just Move Along Folks – It Was Just The Usual Fear PORN – Move Along …CONTINUED

      INTERNATIONAL NEWS CHANEL RT NEWS ….. Evidence …..
      >>>> Propaganda Fatigue ….Setting In

      Already Macau CHINA , the world’s biggest gambling hub, …..will allow casinos to…. resume operations from…. February 20,
      …. after authorities imposed a two-week suspension to curb the coronavirus’ spread, authorities said on Monday,

      Macau has not reported >>> any new cases of the virus>>> since February 4, … officials said (As At 20 Feb)
      .
      There have been >>>> ONLY 10 … confirmed cases of the virus >>> in total there.

      Government services, which had mostly been suspended since the start of February, ….. have gradually resumed operations this week.

      https://www.rt.com/newsline/481005-macau-casinos-virus-fear/

      So Move Along Folks – Move Along – Nothing To see Here – Get On With Life – It’s All Over Folks 2,400 deaths and new cases plummeting -

      DEATHS >> Predominantly Sick, Elderly, Immunocompromised, & usual already on their last legs ….. out of 1.3 BILLION CHINESE
      ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
      NB 10 February 2020 BLOOMBERG

      The new coronavirus might have infected….. at least 500,000 people in Wuhan, ….the Chinese city at the epicenter of the global outbreak, …..by the time it peaks in coming weeks.

      But…… most of those people…..>>>> won’t even know it.

      https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-02-08/virus-outbreak-in-wuhan-may-soon-peak-with-more-than-5-infected
      …………………………………………….
      LOS ANGELES TIMES
      Thousands of people in China and elsewhere ….have been infected ….. but have had…

      >>>> such mild reactions that >>>> no one even noticed,

      - said Dr. Tom Inglesby, director of the Center for Health Security at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health.

      https://www.latimes.com/science/story/2020-01-24/china-coronavirus-panic
      ……………………………………………………………………………………………..
      The UK’s NATIONAL BBC News COMMENTS

      – Re INFECTED – HAVING SUCH MILD REACTIONS >>> NO ONE NOTICED

      >>> FROM THE LARGEST STUDY TO DATE (The paper by the CCDC, released on Monday and published in the Chinese Journal of Epidemiology, looked at more than 44,000 confirmed cases of Covid-19 in China as of 11 February
      ………………………………….
      – So Known Infections Quoted In Study – 72,436 x 10 = 724,000 Who Will Have Had Symptoms – Too Mild – To Notice
      – YES >> ¾ Million
      …………………………………..
      QUOTE >>> Re The Known 72,436 infections

      - Scientists have estimated there could be …..10 times as many people infected ….. as are ending up in the official statistics.

      That ALSO means the….. overall death rate IN THE REST OF CHINA (Outside Hubei) is likely to be
      >>> lower than the 0.4% (rest of China) reported in this study (ie 10X LOWER – Making the death rate potentially ONLY 0.04)

      https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-china-51540981
      ……………………………………………………………………..
      So Theres Proof Of Precedence – How This Caronavirus Runs

      So Ignore the PROPAGANDA FEAR PORN – ENGAGE BRAIN PUT COMMON SENSE IN GEAR & JUST PARTY ON

    • wheeties

      the corona beer virus…corona beer sales are off 66 percent so it must be true—but one interesting fact–there is a video smuggled out of iran shown on BBC news that shows a hospital in iran with lots of dead people in body bags,lots of em!!!! veeerrrrryyyy interesting…had doubts about the corona beer virus until i saw this video….chilling…coming to your neighborhood soon??!!?

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