The Backdoor Cover: Week 3

Have I mentioned yet that I went 6-1 ATS in this very column last week? That would be shallow and a pointless ego exercise, so I’m going to not even mention that I picked 6 games right to only 1 game wrong seven days ago.

While capping games this week it occurred to me that I was honing in on mostly underdogs. Sure dogs have raced out to a 19-12-1 ATS mark this season, but even I know that will even out eventually. My goal this week is to find the ones that offer value, but are also not named Raiders or Oakland. I believe I have succeeded.

If you were wondering – UNDERS are beating OVERS at an 18 – 14 clip. That seems about the right pace. If you can’t choose a side and want action, take the UNDER. It’s always a little better than 50% and you get to root for things like: punts, tackling in-bounds, penalties, dumb timeouts, etc. Really just a grand time for the whole family.

Any questions about these games or games I’m not taking, I always have an opinion on sports or Jennifer Anniston on the twitter @bryan_CTP and unlike those celebrities you keep stalking, I’ll answer.

Good luck this week amigos.

On to the games!

NFL

TAMPA BAY +6.5 vs. Falcons –Because why not. My Atlanta Braves have completely nosedived to end the season so I don’t feel like I can trust any team in Georgia at the moment. Think this might be a shootout as well.

WASHINGTON +6.5 vs. Eagles – Too many points. And I’m good at spotting too many points. All I had to do was look at this line to see that it was too many points for a football game that should be close. Book it.

NEW ORLEANS -10 vs. Vikings – Not sure why I can’t quit the Saints. Bet against him past two games but ready for them to get on the cover train now. FYI: that train does NOT stop in Metairie.

NEW YORK GIANTS +2.5 vs.Texans – OH NO, HERE COMES RYAN FITZPATRICK!! BETTER LAY THE POINTS ON THE ROAD!! HE’S SURE TO COVER THREE STRAIGHT WEEKS!! These statements are outrageous yet part of normal society it seems. Stop it.

TENNESSEE +7 vs.Bengals –You know how when you are channel flipping and BOOM! There’s the Hannah Montana movie. Of course you have to watch but in the back of my mind I wonder – Does Miley watch this movie ever? Does she even remember who she used to be? I hope so because that’s the whole point of her visiting Tennessee in the film.

PITTSBURGH +3.5 vs.Panthers – Nothing draws me in to a SNF game like getting the hook. This game has field goal spray-painted across its forehead. While their defense is atrocious, the Steelers don’t deserve to be buried just yet.