An Optimistic Assessment of COVID-19, Part 4

PIcture credit: Aleph Blog, and the same for all the graphs and charts in this post. All liability for mistakes here is mine.

To my readers: I’m having a WordPress issue where I can’t get images to show up in new posts. Here’s my summary for my article.

Summary

• The rate of growth of new cases is declining for most nations
• And, the absolute number of new cases is falling as well
• About half of the countries that I track are now posting new case counts that are below what the models estimate. Sadly, not the USA… American exceptionalism, you know. We’re #1, in total cases of COVID-19.
• Most of the developed world hits the 99% mark for cases for the first wave by the end of April. Slower than what I projected earlier, but faster than what most have argued.
• Will the cost of the COVID-19 crisis be a financial and/or political crisis?

Here are my models for States and Cities, and Nations. Have a look.

This is all I am writing on this tonight, as I am worn out from trying to fix the blog images.