Depending on what continues to happen in Ukraine, the odds are better than 50/50 that China will attack Taiwan sooner than later. This will happen for two reasons. The first is that the US stockpile of defensive weapons is now so low because of shipments to Ukraine that it will take 2 – 5 years to replenish what is needed. This means that we just don’t have the weapons to ship to Taiwan for their defense. And, then there is feckless, weak Joe Biden. The Chinese Communist own Joe Biden as a result of Biden Crime Family bribes. They can count on old Joe to back down if China attacks Taiwan.
If the goal is to stop an invasion of Taiwan by China, strategic actions must happen now. Japan must announce it is going nuclear, developing both offensive and defensive weapons. We should place missiles with nuclear weapons in Australia. We must double the size of all Navies in Asia; so that means the US, Australia, Japan and South Korea. These things should be done anyway to counter North Korea; but unless China see formidable power in Asia, they will be tempted to attack Taiwan. Unfortunately, while theoretically India should be a counterweight to China, they are not really a very reliable ally.
China watched the shameful pull out from Afghanistan, which they saw as incredible US weakness. Don’t be surprised if China does not lease Bagram Air Force base in Afghanistan to further project their power in the region and to stick it to the United States that invested billions in that base. They could care less about what the Taliban is doing to women in their country. And, since the EU has only given minimal support to Ukraine, they sense weakness in Europe as well. The only way to stop an invasion of Taiwan it by exhibiting overwhelming allied power in Asia.
China wants Taiwan among many reasons to take over the Taiwan Semiconductor Company, one of the largest manufacturers of state of the art chips in the world. This is the reason Taiwan Semiconductor is building a huge plant in Arizona. They see this train coming. So, the US better act now or forget about protecting Taiwan because it would take nuclear weapons to otherwise stop China and then we are into World War III.
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