Sweden Isn’t Anywhere Close To Herd Immunity
Low prevalence in Stockholm.
There’s some new Covid-19 survey data out of Sweden this week: 0.9% of those tested nationwide had an ongoing infection (that is, positive PCR test) as of April 21-24, 2.3% of those in greater Stockholm (1/n) https://t.co/MbuiNhGR7p
— Justin Fox (@foxjust) May 14, 2020
A similar survey from March 26 through April 3 found a 2.5% infection rate in the Stockholm area (2/n) https://t.co/6tgJ3JyVde
— Justin Fox (@foxjust) May 14, 2020
A similar survey from March 26 through April 3 found a 2.5% infection rate in the Stockholm area (2/n) https://t.co/6tgJ3JyVde
— Justin Fox (@foxjust) May 14, 2020
As @AdamJKucharski pointed out a couple weeks ago, the model assumed that people with Covid-19 would only test positive over a five-day period (at least, I think that’s what he’s saying) 4/n https://t.co/dF8V5XEkXT
— Justin Fox (@foxjust) May 14, 2020
Meanwhile, a new study out of @IcahnMountSinai finds that people sometimes test positive for SARS-CoV-2 as much as 28 days after their Covid-19 symptoms have gone away 5/n https://t.co/u8IwTILOMg
— Justin Fox (@foxjust) May 14, 2020
So how many people in the Stockholm region have or have had the coronavirus? If you just take the 1,779 deaths reported so far and assume an 0.5% infection fatality rate, you get 355,800, or 15% of the population. Which seems reasonable enough, give or take 5 percentage points
— Justin Fox (@foxjust) May 14, 2020
In other words, the assertions that Stockholm was or is nearing herd immunity seem to have been wrong. On the other hand, infections and deaths are declining. Even a pretty relaxed social distancing policy can keep Covid-19 more or less in check, it seems.
— Justin Fox (@foxjust) May 14, 2020
So was the Swedish approach right? The best argument for it always seemed to be that it avoided lockdown fatigue. But neighboring countries are now easing their lockdowns with far lower infection rates than Sweden … (8?/n; sorry for losing the plot on numbering)
— Justin Fox (@foxjust) May 14, 2020
… meaning that they may get back to truly normal(ish) life sooner than Sweden, which will presumably still be dealing with Covid-19 cases and even localized outbreaks for a while to come. Plus, a lot more people have died in Sweden. (9/n)
— Justin Fox (@foxjust) May 14, 2020
Still, I also think this means that people who freak out at photos of people sitting in parks in New York or going to the barber in Georgia are maybe overestimating how much behavior like that contributes to transmission. 10/10
— Justin Fox (@foxjust) May 14, 2020
Source: http://www.occidentaldissent.com/2020/05/14/sweden-isnt-anywhere-close-to-herd-immunity/
Anyone can join.
Anyone can contribute.
Anyone can become informed about their world.
"United We Stand" Click Here To Create Your Personal Citizen Journalist Account Today, Be Sure To Invite Your Friends.
Please Help Support BeforeitsNews by trying our Natural Health Products below!
Order by Phone at 888-809-8385 or online at https://mitocopper.com M - F 9am to 5pm EST
Order by Phone at 866-388-7003 or online at https://www.herbanomic.com M - F 9am to 5pm EST
Order by Phone at 866-388-7003 or online at https://www.herbanomics.com M - F 9am to 5pm EST
Humic & Fulvic Trace Minerals Complex - Nature's most important supplement! Vivid Dreams again!
HNEX HydroNano EXtracellular Water - Improve immune system health and reduce inflammation.
Ultimate Clinical Potency Curcumin - Natural pain relief, reduce inflammation and so much more.
MitoCopper - Bioavailable Copper destroys pathogens and gives you more energy. (See Blood Video)
Oxy Powder - Natural Colon Cleanser! Cleans out toxic buildup with oxygen!
Nascent Iodine - Promotes detoxification, mental focus and thyroid health.
Smart Meter Cover - Reduces Smart Meter radiation by 96%! (See Video).