I definitely think COVID was a big part of it.
I loudly said so at the time. I took an enormous amount of shit for saying that it is “just the flu” and “let it rip” was a fatal mistake. The descent of the Right into Alex Jones-tier conspiracy theories and crankish, do nothing libertarianism was the actual terrible optics that alienated college-educated, moderate suburban voters. It sealed Trump’s image as a moron with Independent voters.
In the end though, Joe Biden was always ahead in the popular vote and he ended up winning by just over 4 points.
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